July 26th, 2010
11:47 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Obama not helping Carnahan in Missouri?

A new poll shows Republican Rep. Roy Blunt (left) leading Democrat Robin Carnahan by six points in the battle for Missouri’s open Senate seat.
A new poll shows Republican Rep. Roy Blunt (left) leading Democrat Robin Carnahan by six points in the battle for Missouri’s open Senate seat.

(CNN) – A new poll in Missouri provides more evidence that President Barack Obama and his administration's agenda are hurting more than helping Democratic candidates running in moderate to conservative states in this year's midterm elections.

The president's approval rating stands at 34 percent in Missouri, according to a new Mason-Dixon survey conducted for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV, with 57 percent saying they disapprove of the job Obama's doing in the White House.

The poll, released over the weekend, also indicates that in the battle for Missouri's vacant Senate seat, seven-term Republican Rep. Roy Blunt leads Democratic Secretary of State Robin Carnahan 48 percent to 42 percent, with one in ten likely voters undecided.

Carnahan and Blunt are both expected to easily win their party primary contests, held in eight days. They would then face off in a battle that pits two of the most famous political families in the state against each other. Both candidates are fighting to succeed Republican Sen. Kit Bond, who is not running for re-election this year. The race is one of the few where the Democrats have a chance to pick up a GOP held seat.

Brad Coker, managing director of Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, told the Post-Dispatch that Obama's unpopularity in Missouri was a key reason Blunt was faring better in the Senate battle.

The president visited Missouri earlier this month, for an event on the economy and to headline a fundraiser for Carnahan. It was Obama's fourth trip to Missouri since he narrowly lost the state - by less than 4,000 votes - in the 2008 presidential election to Sen. John McCain.

In March, Republicans pounced on Carnahan when she didn't attend an Obama fundraiser for Sen. Claire McCaskill and a health care reform event in her state, saying she was trying to keep her distance from the president. Carnahan's campaign said she was in the Washington, DC for a conference as part of her duties as secretary of state. Carnahan did team up with Obama when he came back to Missouri a month later to hold an event on the economy.

"He helps with fundraising and, possibly, with turnout, but the single most important reason why Democratic candidates in Democratic and swing states - Ohio, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Washington and even Illinois - are in trouble is President Obama, and his agenda," says Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report.

The Mason Dixon poll was conducted July 19-21, with 625 likely voters in Missouri questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

–Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2010 • Missouri • Polls • President Obama • Robin Carnahan • Roy Blunt
soundoff (39 Responses)
  1. doug

    The people of Missouri are good hearted, honest, fair, responsible people who are selfless not selfish. A lib marxist like Obama's help will result in defeat.

    Your typical Democrat, Obama showed it, giving an ipod as a gift that is loaded up with his own speeches.

    Check Jersey Shore too, this is the Democrat.

    July 26, 2010 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  2. Blake

    I have to laugh. That Hope & Change was all talk and buyers remorse has hit big time.

    July 26, 2010 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  3. JFS

    She's going to win...count on it . You can fiddle with your polls all year long...she's going to win.

    July 26, 2010 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  4. Fair is Fair

    Obama's not helping? What are you talking about, CNN? Of course he's helping... just ask Creigh Deeds of VA, Jon Corzine of NJ, Martha Coakley of MA, and Arlen Specter of PA.

    Oh wait...

    July 26, 2010 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  5. Dennis

    Here is the catch 22. For the US to compete globally we need to have an educated population. We have slipped globally over the past several years as we have watched other industrialized counties and even 3rd world countries surpass us. The South in particular has some of the lowest literacy rates in the country. The focus of the Democrats has always been good sound social agendas like good education, good paying jobs for the middle class, fairness for the consumer etc. etc. The Republicans on the other hand would rather spend money destructively on wars, welfare for the oil companies, tax breaks for themselves and their rich buddies. They would like to abolish the Department of Education all together. So here is the catch. If we educate the population they will be smart enough to know exactly what the Republicans are up to. If we can keep them ignorant they will continue to believe the lies like trickle down economics and tax breaks for the rich will create jobs. Therefore Republicans would rather keep America on a downward economic spiral, because it will continue to benefit THEM until they have redistributed the LAST bit of wealth from the middle class.

    July 26, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  6. T'SAH from Virginia

    "The president's approval rating stands at 34 percent in Missouri..."

    Since Robin – when up against "that other guy" – has 42% of the vote versus "that other guy's" 48% – Doesn't that mean President Obama's 34% approval is added into Robin's 42%??? If yes, then President Obama is HELPING her more than hurting her!!! My CASE and my POINT!!

    July 26, 2010 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  7. gt

    obama is the george bush of the democratic party... she is toast...

    July 26, 2010 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  8. jim

    Obama is a failed president.He has not closed Gitmo as he said he would do,Jan 2010.He's added nearly 60,000 troops to Afghanistan so that he could thump his chest like he does when playing a friendly game of basketball with his friends.He has delibertately kept the nation unemplyment at 9.5% so that these people will rely on the government and hope they will reward them with their votes come Nov.He has hampered the cleanup in the Gulf in order to make it's effect as bad as possible in order to push through his energy bill.Lastly, he has done nothing to stop illegals from pouring across our nation's borders and has filed a lawsuit against a state trying to do a job that the federal government won't do, which is to enforce our laws.

    July 26, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  9. America's Leadership: The-New-Three-Stooges: Obama, Pelosi, & Reid

    How hilarious... It appears "The Messiah", "The One", the great and almighty Obozo, now is a leper in his own party! Look as they all run, screaming from him and his failed socialist policies. The One and his lackeys Pelosi and Reid have lead the DemocRAT Party straight into the abyss. Good riddance come November.

    July 26, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  10. aunt Bea and Opie

    This state produced Rush Limbaugh and his 450lb circus clown daddy.enough said.

    July 26, 2010 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  11. Fair is Fair

    "Since Robin – when up against "that other guy" – has 42% of the vote versus "that other guy's" 48% – Doesn't that mean President Obama's 34% approval is added into Robin's 42%??? If yes, then President Obama is HELPING her more than hurting her!!! My CASE and my POINT!!"

    This will go down as perhaps the worst attempt at logic in recorded history. Congratulations!

    July 26, 2010 01:14 pm at 1:14 pm |
  12. Steve (the real one)

    Here's how this works. When you help and lose in Mass, Va, NJ, and Pa, the new help has now become no help! Got it?
    -------------------
    To Dennis who chimed: The Republicans on the other hand would rather spend money destructively on wars...
    ----------------–
    Well Dennis, as you know the Lower House of the Congress holds the purse strings. And since the Dems are the majority , they are also "spending money destructively on wars". Your post makes it sound like you forgot that little fact! BOTH parties are funding the wars! BOTH!

    July 26, 2010 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  13. Willy Brown

    Oh please keep Obama out there. He's the ace in the hole for republican wins!

    July 26, 2010 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  14. Stop the damage

    Obama hasn't been helping the country either. Bad policies are going to stiffle economic growth for years...

    ... until Obamacare and the financial 'reform' is repealed.

    July 26, 2010 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  15. johnnyhouse

    There is hope for CNN yet. Never thought I would see a story like this written.

    July 26, 2010 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  16. stormerF

    Obama and the kiss of death for Democratic nominees, This is the Summer of recovery and Biden said all the heavy lifting is over,So relax Missouri the economy will improve someday despite Obama's agenda of socialistic moves. You can speed it up with the ousting of every Obama Canadiate,so we can get on the right track of less government wasteful spending and more private job creation.

    July 26, 2010 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  17. anagram_kid

    ...625 likely voters... Another meaningless poll.

    July 26, 2010 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  18. Phil in KC

    The problem is that MO is several states in one. In KC, St. Louis, Columbia and Jeff City, you have more progressives. In the farmland to the north, you have a lot of moderate to conservatives in the traditional mold. To the south, you have more of the redneck, right-wing, bible-thumping conservatives. You also have a lot of the 'militia' nut-jobs in central and southern MO. In the suburbs, you have an interesting mix of progressives, moderates and conservatives.
    Blunt appeals to the right-wingers. Carnahan appeals to the progressives. I think they could split the moderates. The question is, who will show up at the voting booth?

    July 26, 2010 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  19. Deborah/KansasCity

    In the cities Robin is way ahead, As always in Missouir it is the small town, "real Americans", who support policies of hate and discrimination. That is where you see all the racist signs along the highway and where you hear people like Roy Blunt, saying there should be no free lunch programs in the schools for poor children, because "hungery children will motivate the parents to work". Just like approving unemployement benefis for the unemployed will cause them to not work, just like fair healthcare for all is unAmerican. The lies continue from the right, and those who only listen to Fox News and Rush Limbaugh live in rural areas and vote against their own best interest, time after time. They still believe the lie that our taxes went up, when in fact they went down for the middle class. All they have is name calling and hate, as you can see from the posters here, no solutions.

    July 26, 2010 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  20. Big Jim Slade

    I live in Missouri. The problem as I see it is that a lot of people here are either stupid or willfully ignorant. That's why we are a bellwether state...because that reflects the country pretty well.

    July 26, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  21. Edward

    I think it's pretty obvious that the president's approval rating will continue to fall no matter how many legislative victories he scores if the unemployment numbers don't begin to look better. The sad fact is probably that most job that left are never going to come back.

    July 26, 2010 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  22. Dar

    Poor little Robin is riding on her daddy's shirt tail along with her brother Russ, They are both done in the state of Missouri as Russ has sealed the deal for her too.
    We told Russ NO on the HC Bill and he did what Odumbo told him to do anyway. WE are not forgetting like Odumbo said we would.
    The Carnahans need to find another state to screw up because Missouri doesn't want either of you any longer.

    July 26, 2010 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  23. Ron in california

    Kinda like Gore shunned Clinton in the 2000 election...even a loser knows a loser.

    July 26, 2010 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  24. Layla

    The American people are about to stand up and have the last word about this administration and Congress. Can you hear us now?

    Are you tired of the regime apologizing to middle eastern governments? Are you tired of the regime shoving tax legislation down your throat against your wishes? Are you tired of them ignoring the Constitution?

    Nov. 2, VOTE THEM OUT.

    July 26, 2010 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  25. cesar

    I could care less! Being in sales for ten years I have seen Americans go from smart consumers who knew what their needs were to Big dumb babies. Its the same thing with this mess. One day they are republican the next day they are independent and a week later they are fiscal conservative. I really do hope republicans get elected that way they bring all the good Ideas from the past ten years of total control :} with all the good deregulation they put in place and how well they managed the 2 WARS.

    July 26, 2010 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
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