July 30th, 2010
12:00 PM ET
4 years ago

CNN Poll: Arizona law's political impact

Washington (CNN) – The heated debate over a controversial Arizona immigration law which partially took affect this week could push Hispanic voters away from a Republican party looking for their support, according to the findings of a new national poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Friday indicates that on the question of which party cares more about people like you, Hispanic respondents pick the Democrats over the Republicans by 27 points. And when asked which party agrees with you on the issues that matter most to you, Democrats hold a 25 point advantage among Hispanics.

Full results[pdf]

But Republicans hold a 44-38 percent advantage among Hispanics on which party can do a better job improving the economy.

"Most Hispanics also say that the government is doing too much that should be left to businesses and individuals," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Although economic conditions are the No. 1 issue to all racial groups, the number of Hispanics who pick the economy is only 34 percent. By contrast, 49 percent of whites and 47 percent of blacks name the economy as the country's top problem.

"Some of that difference between Hispanics and other groups is due to a higher number of Hispanics who name immigration (11 percent) as the top problem, but education (10 percent) and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq (13 percent) also draw attention from Hispanics.

The poll's release comes one day after parts of the Arizona immigration law took effect, while a federal judge blocked several of its most controversial aspects. The preliminary injunction, issued Wednesday, means that police are prevented for the time being from questioning people's immigration status if there is reason to believe they are in the country illegally.

CNN poll numbers released on Tuesday also show that Hispanics remain in the Democratic camp, but there are some indications that the GOP may make headway among them. Hispanics favor the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district over the GOP candidate by a 54 to 39 percent margin.

"That's an indication that Democrats will again capture the Hispanic vote in November. But they probably won't win this key demographic group with the kind of margin they got in 2006, when the Democrats racked up a 69 to 30 percent advantage that helped the party regain control of Congress," says Holland.

According to the survey, 57 percent of Hispanics approve of how President Barack Obama is handling his job overall. Obama gets low marks from Hispanics on the economy and illegal immigration, but they heartily approve of his track record on health care.

What does the future hold for Hispanic politicians?

Fifty-six percent of all Americans say there is an excellent or good chance that a Hispanic will be elected president in the next 20 years. That sounds good, but it lags far behind the number who forecast that a woman will be elected president (81 percent), and also is less than the number who say that a black other than Barack Obama (65 percent) will be elected in that time.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted July 16-21, with 1,018 adult Americans questioned by telephone, including a special sample of 308 black and 303 Hispanic respondents. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

–CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: CNN Polls • Immigration • issues • Popular Posts
soundoff (87 Responses)
  1. Stacey

    "The heated debate over a controversial Arizona immigration law which partially took affect this week could push Hispanic voters away from a Republican party looking for their support, according to the findings of a new national poll."
    ##############

    "Could push?" The Republican National Tea Party pushed hispanics away when they treated Sonya Sotomayer like crap last year! Who said the RNTP was looking for their support? How can they look for hispanic support when they (the RNPT) have treated them so badly?

    July 30, 2010 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  2. obama victim

    most of America supports Arizona...so for every Hispanic the dems pick up....they drive away 2 independents or moderate dems...do the math Barry

    July 30, 2010 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  3. Angus McDugan

    The political impact is that is has shown everyone that Obama and the democrats are not sympathetic to Hispanics but only see them as people that are easily manipulated to vote for them.

    July 30, 2010 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  4. jerry

    The only thing either party in Congress care about the illegals is that it is gives them over 12 million possible votes. They care nothing about the people of this country and what the illegals are doing to it.

    July 30, 2010 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  5. aunt Bea and Opie

    Looks like the smell of money can make you turn your back on anyone,including family and friends.People just dont like competition,just ask any person that plays monopoly.

    July 30, 2010 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  6. S Callahan

    I think this poll may be wrong.....consider...those who came to this country legally..worked hard, established themselves as true citizens. They are the voting power...they did not take the short cut..they HONORED the law of the land and went by the rules.
    Somehow...there is a blurr on the eyes in this discussion about immigration......no one is against anyone coming into this country 'legally'....people from all nations are welcomed..doing it legally. It's the issue of those who violated the law..who failed to respect the guidelines for citizenship that gets the irr of most. Can you imagine the anaracy if everyone took it upon themselves to pick and choose which laws they want to obey. If the government at the National level support illegal entry then they are giving permission for anarachy......so the ball really does lay in the courts hands to speak the truth of the law.

    July 30, 2010 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  7. awaitingliberalizationbyCNN

    It would be interesting to know how many of the Hispanics that responded were illegal. We all know that democrats favor all illegalities (it is the only way that such an unethical, immoral group can survive), If they were really ethical, they would actually work and pay taxes and then they would support the Federal government reimbursing the state governments for the medication and education as well as all other costs associated with the illegality that is supported by the slimy, inept, corrupt, union toady Obozo administration.

    July 30, 2010 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  8. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Hey, look, another poll! Aren't they nice, though they don't accomplish squat.

    Meanwhile, we have a hero in the person of Mr. Weine (D) NY. If you missed his on point tirade in Congress against Rethuglikkklans OPPOSING healthcare for the 9/11 rescuers, you need to watch it on video.

    Mr. Weiner you were so right to be angry, and fed up withe the CONSTANT and UNJUSTIFIED opposition from Republicans to ANY bill that is proposed. You were right in calling out their stall tactics based on "procedures", You were right in pointing out that even if the 'procedures' were different they would still ultimately vote 'No'. And I support the vehement way you expressed yourself.

    The Republicans, ladies and gentlemen, in case you missed it do not want the HEROES of 9/11 to obtain healthcare through this bill. These are the same heroes that they touted, and used to incite us into war againsyt an innocent country. This is the way the Rethugs will treat you after they have USED their servicemen and women in wars, and emergency personnel here at home. They are bloodsucking, lying, opportunistic users.

    You better wake the hell up America!

    July 30, 2010 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  9. Stan Kapusta

    It is up to our elected officials to represent the peoples decision. America would not be in this position if we had politicians who look out for the voters instead each others re-election. Why is this up for discussion.
    Another reason for term limits. They forgot they work for us. Not thier pockets.

    July 30, 2010 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  10. Moses

    I am white and own a business with my partner who is Hispanic. More than half of our employees are Hispanic and most if not all our just as conservative if not more than I am even on illegal immigration. I live in Texas am fluent in Spanish and think this poll is bogus.

    July 30, 2010 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  11. kelly

    Once again we see CNN trying to influence public opinion with a poll that is unreliable because of it's makeup which CNN deliberately manipulated to get the results they wanted.Why not just admit that you are ally of the democrat party?

    July 30, 2010 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  12. Orlando Patriot

    We have a president and current administration that hugs Hugo Chavez, want to sit down and talk with Iran, thumbs their nose at Israel, and now sue a state for simply following the SAME law that the president and administration fail to follow? What is happening to this great nation that I was so proud to grow up in? Obama is creating an atmosphere where business and economic growth is not even desired anymore.

    How can a president even CONSIDER getting reelected when everything he is doing is HARMING this country? Why, 12 million votes from illegal immigrants he makes legal of course. Doesn't the ethics of this president just literally make you want to vomit? Here is a note to the Democrats: OVER 60% OF THIS COUNTRY BELIEVE WE SHOULD FOLLOW THE LAWS OF THIS GREAT NATION AND IF YOU ARE IN THIS COUNTRY ILLEGALLY THEN GET THE HELL OUT AND DON'T LET THE DOOR HIT YOU ON YOUR BACKSIDE AS YOU LEAVE!! It is amazing this is "debate" is EVEN BEING DISCUSSED!!

    July 30, 2010 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  13. hypocricnnation

    I'm Not An Arizona Resident, But I Take Great Issue With The Suggestion That Republicans Are Trusted To Handle The Economy. When Was That Ever The Truth? A Poll Is Not A Reliable Source.

    July 30, 2010 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  14. Dems lie to gain political ratings!!

    This is a CNN poll so what validity doe sit carry? Absolutely none!

    July 30, 2010 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  15. vic

    Republicans lost minorities votes, students votes and poor people votes they are depending on top 2% rich people votes

    July 30, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  16. phoenix86

    Senator Schumer (D, NY) has a bill that would require all employers in the US to verify citizenship status for all employees. This would serve two purposes; it would reduce the employment of illegal aliens and INCREASE the employment of US citizens, and it would reduce the attractiveness of the US as a destination for illegal aliens.

    This has been stalled by Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and the democratic leadership for over 2 years. Pelosi, Reid and Obama would rather have Americans unemployed and illegal aliens voting than put Americans back to work.

    THAT IS WHAT THE DEMOCRATS TRUELY WANT...POLITICAL POWER.

    July 30, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  17. ken

    Both parties are dumb hispanics are going to realize that our politians
    don't even have common sense much less make laws if americans woke up we would vote them all out.

    July 30, 2010 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  18. Marcus

    Orlando Patriot – July 30th, 2010 12:41 pm ET
    We have a president and current administration that hugs Hugo Chavez, want to sit down and talk with Iran, thumbs their nose at Israel, and now sue a state for simply following the SAME law that the president and administration fail to follow?

    Oh, you must be joking!!!!

    'hugs Hugo Chavez', you mean when he was strictly polite (no more than the necessary) with that neodictator when they met on that American (the three continents) Presidents summit.

    'want to sit down and talk with Iran', because there's NO MONEY nor POLITICAL/DIPLOMATIC CONDITIONS to go after those wackos alone.

    'thumbs their nose at Israel', do you mean that the USA should give carte blanche to Israel do whatever they want (like their attempt on legalizing torture) that the USA will back them? Like they OWN us and all we can do is say 'Yeah you're right sir' to EVERYTHING they do?
    I recall that the USA are a sovereign state that can (and usually does) disagree with its allies on specific matters.

    'and now sue a state for simply following the SAME law that the president and administration fail to follow', the problem (and LIE) within this phrase is that the Arizona law is NOT the 'SAME' that the (I can't disagree with the facts) the Federal government had failed to support for the past... 30 years?
    If it WAS the same law there wouldn't be any problem.

    So stop lying if that's all you can do to prove your points.

    July 30, 2010 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  19. Bob

    A note for all Democrats and Republicans: E-Verify is a system that checks SS card against name. This makes it just about impossible for an Illegal Alien to work. It is not manatory because all Democrats voted it down and all but TWO Republicans voted it down. WHY = you know the vote and cheap labor. Does it work? just walk into any Costco Store they voluntarily participate in it and there are NO ILLEGAL ALIENS working there. This program is non racist because it applies to all and is in place and cheap. So if you are against Illegal aliens DO NOT Vote your party just because vote for someone who agrees with you or just live with the problem forever........Press 7 for English.

    July 30, 2010 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  20. ErikS.

    Hooray, sell out your country for a few Hispanic votes, great plan.

    July 30, 2010 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  21. Trythefacts

    It must feel really great to be a democrat and know that you are supported by illegal actions of those supporting the law breakers.

    July 30, 2010 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  22. mj

    We, as Americans, should set up a fund. This fund would be used to purchase one-way, non-refundable bus tickets to Washington, DC for those who are illegal. Instruct them to go to the "Grande Blanco Casa" and ask for the man who currently resides. There they can get free health care, food stamps, and free housing. If Washington won't do anything then send the problem to the source so they have to deal with it.

    July 30, 2010 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  23. Naqib

    Obama doesn't want a right to work act for illegals with a path to citizenship... this is why he does nothing.
    Because the Unions are 100% against it... period

    July 30, 2010 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  24. Todd

    @Oralando Patriot
    "Here is a note to the Democrats: OVER 60% OF THIS COUNTRY BELIEVE WE SHOULD FOLLOW THE LAWS OF THIS GREAT NATION AND IF YOU ARE IN THIS COUNTRY ILLEGALLY THEN GET THE HELL OUT AND DON'T LET THE DOOR HIT YOU ON YOUR BACKSIDE AS YOU LEAVE!! It is amazing this is "debate" is EVEN BEING DISCUSSED!!"

    Link to where you found that statisitc please. Also... every look at the immigration logs at Ellis Island? do you know how many of those names are fudged? Most of the people here have ansestors who came here "illegally." The laws of this great nation? you mean the current, treat everyone equally ones? or the "legal discrimination" ones where if you were a certain colour you cant vote? or do you mean the ones that didnt let women vote? or possibly the ones where if you're Japanese-American you get thrown into an Internment camp... just tell me if Im getting warmer. Or do you mean the religious morals of the founders, because the "Golden Rule" in every creed, Islam, Christianity, Catholicism, Judism, Taoism, Buddism, etc. is to treat others with kindness.

    July 30, 2010 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  25. Ann

    Only a criminal would be against the Arizona law. Illegal means illegal, if you are not resident of a country, you have to carry your passport with you and show it to authorities. If this is called 'profiling' by the Obama administration, get rid of the administration. Actually you have what you deserved.. yeah, electing the Talker in Chief.

    July 30, 2010 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
1 2 3 4