July 30th, 2010
12:00 PM ET
8 years ago

CNN Poll: Arizona law's political impact

Washington (CNN) - The heated debate over a controversial Arizona immigration law which partially took affect this week could push Hispanic voters away from a Republican party looking for their support, according to the findings of a new national poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Friday indicates that on the question of which party cares more about people like you, Hispanic respondents pick the Democrats over the Republicans by 27 points. And when asked which party agrees with you on the issues that matter most to you, Democrats hold a 25 point advantage among Hispanics.

Full results[pdf]

But Republicans hold a 44-38 percent advantage among Hispanics on which party can do a better job improving the economy.

"Most Hispanics also say that the government is doing too much that should be left to businesses and individuals," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Although economic conditions are the No. 1 issue to all racial groups, the number of Hispanics who pick the economy is only 34 percent. By contrast, 49 percent of whites and 47 percent of blacks name the economy as the country's top problem.

"Some of that difference between Hispanics and other groups is due to a higher number of Hispanics who name immigration (11 percent) as the top problem, but education (10 percent) and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq (13 percent) also draw attention from Hispanics.

The poll's release comes one day after parts of the Arizona immigration law took effect, while a federal judge blocked several of its most controversial aspects. The preliminary injunction, issued Wednesday, means that police are prevented for the time being from questioning people's immigration status if there is reason to believe they are in the country illegally.

CNN poll numbers released on Tuesday also show that Hispanics remain in the Democratic camp, but there are some indications that the GOP may make headway among them. Hispanics favor the Democratic candidate for Congress in their district over the GOP candidate by a 54 to 39 percent margin.

"That's an indication that Democrats will again capture the Hispanic vote in November. But they probably won't win this key demographic group with the kind of margin they got in 2006, when the Democrats racked up a 69 to 30 percent advantage that helped the party regain control of Congress," says Holland.

According to the survey, 57 percent of Hispanics approve of how President Barack Obama is handling his job overall. Obama gets low marks from Hispanics on the economy and illegal immigration, but they heartily approve of his track record on health care.

What does the future hold for Hispanic politicians?

Fifty-six percent of all Americans say there is an excellent or good chance that a Hispanic will be elected president in the next 20 years. That sounds good, but it lags far behind the number who forecast that a woman will be elected president (81 percent), and also is less than the number who say that a black other than Barack Obama (65 percent) will be elected in that time.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted July 16-21, with 1,018 adult Americans questioned by telephone, including a special sample of 308 black and 303 Hispanic respondents. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

–CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Filed under: CNN Polls • Immigration • issues • Popular Posts
soundoff (87 Responses)
  1. jack h

    come november, vote against ANYONE who is in favor of amnesty for illegal aliens or any pathway to citizenship for illegals. you cannot reward people who have no respect for our laws. remember what happened when reagan granted amnesty? millions more illegals poured across the border. nobody wants that to happen again. only
    E-VERIFY OR A BIOMETRIC SS CARD CAN HELP WITH THE ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION PROBLEM. if all employees are checked for citizenship against a database, illegals won't be able to get a job. they will self deport. a wall at the border is stupid, expensive, and will not work if there are jobs here to attract illegals.

    July 30, 2010 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  2. Synful

    The immigration law is ethnic profiling. I was born and raised here but someone who believes that I'm an immigrant here for listening to spanish music can pull me over and ask for citizenship or I go to jail is ludicrous. Let me pull over any caucasian and ask that their identity isn't good enough to verify their status and bring them to jail until someone can verify their status. The humiliation alone should be enough, bring along with a criminal record (or file) to prove your innocence scares me, but thecomputers need to be updated with status, and know that wherever you go you are "on the record" and tell me that it doesn't matter. Where is our freedom to live. If you persecute, it starts with one group but overall it affects everyone.
    The government dosen't solve problems, it keeps the ruling elite in power. Think about your pay, if you can make more that affects profits. Pay has depreciated for the working man since the 70's. Think about a hard working job, they use to pay for quality now they give minimum wage for completion. Being just, righteous, and true works only if you don't affect profits. I hate racial profiling, a large majority of americans are poor. It's never for hard work it's for pay. My brother was working in a warehouse making $9 an hour and got a new job paying $14. When he got paid his rate was $13 and they boss said be happy because it's better than you are doing now. Where is the justice. Every argument has merit but the poor STAY poor, no matter the excuses. In the Navy I was told "Was the job completed?". It's yes or no, no excuses.

    July 30, 2010 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  3. Jean

    i am all for the Arizona law, I am so tird fo the illegal allens comming over here. if they want a better life in the USA the let them come over here learn the english language, get a job so we americans will not have to learn their way of talking and we will not have to give them free medical and reduced housing, and most of the killing and roberies are the mexican race or the blacks. they are a dishonist race of people yet every time the whites say something or the mexican gets arrestesd they yell race. why do you mecicans and blacks go back to your native country and stay out of out USA I am tird of footing the bills fory and take Obama with you.

    July 30, 2010 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  4. JES

    I'm a legal American citizen and I must show my ID when:

    1. Pulled over by the police.
    2. Making purchases on my department store credit card.
    3. When I show up for a doctor's appointment.
    4. When filling out a credit card or loan application.
    5. When applying for or renewing a driver's license or passport.
    6. When applying for any kind of insurance.
    7. When filling out college applications.
    8. When donating blood.
    9. When obtaining certain prescription drugs.
    10. When making some debit purchases, especially if I'm out of state.
    11. When collecting a boarding pass for airline or train travel.

    I'm sure there are more instances, but the point is that we citizens of the USA are required to prove who we are nearly every day!
    Why should people in this country illegally, be exempt!!!!!
    Why shouldn't we guard our borders as closely as every other country in the world does?
    Go ARIZONA !!!

    July 30, 2010 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  5. Gerald

    January 3rd, 2007 was the day the Democrats took over the Senate and the Congress: At the time:
    The DOW Jones closed at 12,621.77
    The GDP for the previous quarter was 3.5%
    The Unemployment rate was 4.6%
    George Bush's Economic policies SET A RECORD of 52 STRAIGHT MONTHS of JOB CREATION!
    Remember the day...

    July 30, 2010 02:03 pm at 2:03 pm |
  6. Denny

    I might be wrong, and this poll does not support what I am about to say, but I think democrats are in for a huge whooping in November 2010 and 2012.

    July 30, 2010 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  7. tcaros

    The Republican racists are to blame.

    I hope the hispanics and other ethnic Americans show up in droves to vote out the Republicans in November.

    Send a Republican packing in the fall, Vote Democrat.

    July 30, 2010 02:09 pm at 2:09 pm |
  8. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    jerry July 30th, 2010 12:30 pm ET

    The only thing either party in Congress care about the illegals is that it is gives them over 12 million possible votes.


    Illegals CANNOT vote. If you're referring to the LEGAL Hispanics in this country, though, our numbers are well beyond the 12million mark. This whole issue has been around forever; under many administrations. Please people: smoke and mirrors.

    July 30, 2010 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  9. Stephanie

    Why no reporting on the Republicans blocking bills to help small business and the first responders with serious health issues due to 911?

    What about Newt Gingrich's comments that we should bomb Iran and North korea?

    Is CNN carrying the Republican water because a more contentious means more ads meaning more revenue?

    Can you actually handle more than one story at a time and will you STOP with all the racial breakdowns in the polls?? Also, when will you provide the exact questions and demographic breakdown that even first year statistics teaches is fundamental in assessing a poll? How do you know the people contacted were of the race they told you they were?

    July 30, 2010 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  10. Stephanie

    Wow you reached these conclusions from polling 303 Hispanics?

    July 30, 2010 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  11. lyn

    i would like to comment to mr. sanchez on CNN questioning mr. murphy regarding illigal immigrants paying taxes. i completely disagree. i had a lot of friends earning $2,700 + a month who don't pay taxes at all. i do home care and i got a lot of patients who work 2 jobs don't pay taxes at all!!!! wake up mr. sanchez!!!!!!!!

    July 30, 2010 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  12. JP

    To Obama immigration reform and voter registration are the same thing.

    July 30, 2010 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  13. JDO4

    Could I just ask, why is CNN so obsessed with polls? CNN's job is to inform us so that we can form our opinions, not inform us on our opinions to further entrench them without having any back-up information to substantiate any of the positions taken. Instead of telling us that the economy is our number one concern, why not tell us what is actually happening with the economy? Instead of feeding into the perception that "securing our border" is a priority above dealing with illegal immigrants already here, how about giving us some information and statistics to inform us as to which issue should be the higher priority? This is a large part of why Americans are so uninformed. Because the news media is derelict and true journalism has been marginalized as an obsolete pastime.

    July 30, 2010 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  14. Immanuel Bisrat

    I’m an American born abroad, Ethiopia: When I was 3 ½ we fled before war broke, AMERICAN EMBASSIES told my mom “U may leave but if at any point they say your son stays you must leave him behind”. Arizona’s blind, unless you’re in immigrants footsteps you’ll never comprehend it. AMERICAN EMBASSIES said I didn’t need1 my parents fought for my birth certificate. Arizona failed Americans born aboard. Under Arizonans’ laws they could honestly deport me. Americans born aboard earlier than 1980 don’t have paperwork unless their parents were wise to get birth certificate, in most case we can’t replace our paperwork. You may not be a jerk, but you’re giving the jerks control. Unlike those born here, we Americans born abroad have no paperwork to proof.

    Immanuel Bisrat

    July 30, 2010 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  15. George of the jungle

    wise up the repos created this economy. we will get better once we get rid of the party of NO

    July 30, 2010 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  16. Dude

    I am hispanic. I am voting Independent or Republican, and so is my entire extended family. In fact, I don't personally know a single person who would vote democrat. We need jobs that only Republicans know how to create. We want work – not handouts!!!

    So, the Clinton News Network conducts their own self-fulfilling poll, and pretends like it means something?

    July 30, 2010 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  17. Rick, AZ

    @Stacey "The Republican National Tea Party" Who? This organization doesn't exist.
    The Republican party (GOP) and the Tea Party are not the same organization.
    They have different conservative viewpoints and are not affiliated.

    I don;t think either party is capable of getting anything done.
    Both are to busy trying to destroy the other rather than focus on the job they were HIRED and getting PAID to perform.

    Get rid of all of them. Vote out anyone who has served more than two terms.
    If the Pres can't serve more the two terms, neither should any Senator or Representative.

    July 30, 2010 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  18. John

    How quickly we forget what or who got us in the mess we're in. If you've been robbed and as a result, you call the cops and when they arrive; they are not being as helpful as you would like them to be - the wrong thing to do is to start debating whether or not you should contact the thief to handle the case.

    July 30, 2010 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  19. John

    You use a bill proposed by some Democrats and blocked by some other Democrats as an example of what all Democrats will do. That's pretty funny.

    Talking about political power, what kind of power would it take for the state and federal to round up, detain, and deport 20 million people? Picture that kind of power, and consider the other outlets it could find. It should scare you, particularly if you're already inclined to take a suspicious and conspiracy-minded approach to the federal government. For Republicans to vociferously (look it up) support giving that kind of unlimited power to a federal government they endlessly criticize for wanting unlimited power strikes me as also being, well, pretty funny.

    Something unrelated that continually confuses this debate is the blurring of the lines between opposition to illegal and legal immigration. Republicans profess that they are opposed to illegal immigration, and have no problems with Hispanics, and that it's all an issue of legality and not race. Well, they say that now anyway. Who remembers the racist arguments against the Supreme Court nomination of Sonia Sotomayor, who most certainly was a legal citizen and also a Latina? They aren't that far back in our past. Republicans say now that they're only against illegal immigration, but you take the illegal immigrants out of the picture and it'll be right back to discrimination against all minorities. Just ask the African-Americans, for them it hasn't stopped.

    July 30, 2010 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  20. malabar

    Im a hspanic on the bordr. if u thnk hspanics arent just as racist as whts n blcks ur truly ignorant. there are racists in every group. the law shud b enforcd, otherwise refund the money my tios, tias, and primos spent on coming here legally. btw dems, ur social security numbers are also up 4 grabs hahaha

    July 30, 2010 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  21. J-wowww

    ID is required for almost anything you do. If you don't have it and you look like you might be part of the problem and you are here ILLEGALLY, then BYE! Try it in Mexico and see what happens.......

    July 30, 2010 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  22. Kristi

    Republicans lost minority support when they started opposing handouts for people who won't work.

    July 30, 2010 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  23. malabar

    im a hspanic on the bordr. ur stupid if u thnk there arent any racist latinos just like there r whte n black 1s. enforce the law or give a refund to my tios, tias, and primos who came here legally. theres a BIG divide btween hspanics, dont assume we r all uneducated sheep that fall 4 patronizing dems. btw, to those dems who thnk every illegal is an innocent charity case, u shud watch ur social secrty number very carefully. ur anti law views will not necessarily protect u frm anti law ILLEGAL immigrants

    July 30, 2010 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  24. april

    This is ridiculous. Republicans and Democrats have BOTH intentionally turned a blind eye to illegal immigration over the last 15 years. BOTH have run our economy into the ground. and neither party is ever going to change. If you vote for a republican or a democrat, then you are voting to continue the same old junk. Really people, vote for somebody else – anybody else. There are libertarians, independents, modern whig party, etc. pick somebody else.

    July 30, 2010 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  25. bitsy, Austin TX

    I ask that all who read this , Read this first , but PLEASE read the words at the bottom: Thank You! Bitsy
    If AZ is unhappy with the Federal effort at controlling illegal immigration, then their choice is simple. They must sue the Fed.'s on the grounds that they have failed to in their efforts to properly protect the Southern border of AZ. . The AZ. Attornney General would then present to a Judge, in a Court of Law, all of the states proof that wouldt support the State's claims against the Government. Then, the Fed.'s would present their answer and try to disprove the State's evidenice. And either way it goes after the Judge decides the verdict, the appeals start. See, No matter if Az. or the Fed's win the argument they end the same. and the Supreme Court will end it all. Thank, Goodness, The wisdom of the 9 know that the the other 49 States settled this issue in the 60's. This is America, Read this every body, it's on that old lady,ohhh, what's her name. This is the whole poem, not just the part on her book.
    Not like the brazen giant of Greek fame,
    With conquering limbs astride from land to land;
    Here at our sea-washed, sunset gates shall stand
    A mighty woman with a torch, whose flame
    Is the imprisoned lightning, and her name
    Mother of Exiles. From her beacon-hand
    Glows world-wide welcome; her mild eyes command
    The air-bridged harbor that twin cities frame.
    "Keep, ancient lands, your storied pomp!" cries she
    With silent lips. "Give me your tired, your poor,
    Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
    The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
    Send these, the homeless, tempest-tossed to me,
    I lift my lamp beside the golden door!"
    Have mercy on these people. We are all immigrants, I'm A Cajun American, TEXAN., are you Irish, Chinese, German, African American.
    Let's offer them a path to freedom. We made this problem not them

    July 30, 2010 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
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