August 16th, 2010
11:47 AM ET
4 years ago

Early Iowa poll has Huckabee in first, Palin in fourth

 Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.

Washington (CNN) - Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.

The survey was conducted for the website TheIowaRepublican.com may be viewed as simply a matter of name recognition as much as it is a measure of true political support given the caucuses are eighteen months away and no Republican has yet to declare an intention to run for president.

Sill, the survey shows Huckabee has retained a significant number of supporters in the Hawkeye State, leading the field with 22 percent of support. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the runner-up in 2008, is second with 18 percent.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who visited the Iowa State Fair last week after the poll was conducted and has made clear he is strongly considering a run for president, is in third place at 14 percent.

Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has long believed to be a natural fit for Iowa Republicans, is the choice of 11 percent of voters.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who finished fifth in Iowa in 2008, again finds himself in fifth place with 5 percent of support.

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, another visitor at the state fair last week and almost-certain presidential candidate, is at 1 percent along with South Dakota Sen. John Thune.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, who also headed to Des Moines and the state fair this week, received less than 1 percent of support in the poll.

The poll surveyed 399 likely Republican caucus goers across Iowa and has a sampling error of plus or minus 5 percent. It was conducted July 25-28.


Filed under: Iowa
soundoff (187 Responses)
  1. MikeBike

    Palin is a bad joke and her 15 minutes are up. Huckabee's a likable guy, but his positions on the major issues are too biased by his religious beliefs. We aren't a theocracy, Mike.

    August 16, 2010 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  2. PDXSerric

    Even as a democrat, I can see there wasn't much of a run here. Palin is nothing more than a political celebrity, not a politician, and Gringrich is... well, Newt. Huckabee is pretty much a household name in this red state so I would have been genuinely amazed if the numbers were any different than they are.

    August 16, 2010 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  3. John

    I can hear it now:It's a smear campaign from the left.

    August 16, 2010 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  4. Eric

    Sorry folks... this news story is a red herring.

    It's all about getting you to focus on the media magician's right hand (ooh, look, something about Palin), so you won't look at their left hand (horrendous economy, highest unemployment in a generation, a failed administration the media helped install in office, a democrat congress polling at historic lows, an angry populace on the verge of mutiny).

    Sorry CNN, we may have been born at night, but not last night. You cannot distract us by saying "Palin" any more. You share in this mess as much, or MORE than, the socialists you helped elect.

    BTW, how are the CNN ratings these days? Will the last person watching CNN, please turn off the TV when you're done?

    August 16, 2010 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  5. The Real Tom Paine

    Does anyone see the irony in the fact that someone who ran against Wall Street in the last election is currently a contender for the nomination of the party who defends their practices? Also, bear in mind he has said that reviewing or changing the 14th Amendment is not in the best interests of this country.

    I guess Sarah could possibly be refudiated: its nice to see some people in the GOP with sense.

    August 16, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  6. hypocricnnation

    O.K. From A Man Who Hasn't Even Announced If He's Going To Run Or Not, Hmm! It Also Shows The Doghouse That Sarah Palin (Yosemite Sarah) Is In.

    August 16, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  7. geecee

    Don't tell me the Republicans have finally realized what a total dimwit Sarah Palin is? Finally, after all these months (years actually) her stupidity has sunk in, and they are rejecting her completely nonsensical rantings and they realize what a completely incompetent political leader she would be. Alas!

    August 16, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  8. Bob in Kansas City

    I hope he does get the nomination as it will ensure 4 more years of Denocratic leadership in the White House.

    August 16, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  9. Pat in IL

    I hope Sarah gets it, and goes away. Her divisiveness has done so much harm to our country, and she needs to take her hatred and trashy morality and go home.

    August 16, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  10. Pedro

    Really, these are the GOP's best candidates for President? Good luck with that Republicans.

    August 16, 2010 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  11. Taxlawyer

    CNN's home page titles this article "Palin far back in new poll." Isn't that curious, that CNN deems Palin more newsworthy and more of an eyecatcher than Huckabee. A more neutral and more informative headline would be "Huckabee ahead in new poll." But hey, Palin's got prettier legs.

    August 16, 2010 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  12. Anonymous

    You have to a real loser when even most Republicans, most of whom are losers, think you are a loser.

    August 16, 2010 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  13. Chip

    Newt is the man. He was in charge the last time the budget was balanced.

    August 16, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  14. Tybar

    Palin will never run for President. Other than being unqualified, she quit her last job to cash in and will never want to spend any of her 'hard earned' money on a campaign. I have always said that it is easier to tear something down than to buit it. Palin, like many, draws her public appeal by criticizing how others approach a problem, not by attempting to fix a problem through hard work and compromise.....the hard work does not pay enough for Sarah.

    Go Huckabee....Go Romney!

    August 16, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  15. Larry

    I hope Palin ends up on someone's ticket.

    Gawd, that was fun in 2008. LOL

    August 16, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  16. Terry - Indiana

    The Republicans better come-up with some new faces and names, because these dogs won't hunt. Sarah Palin has been rowing that same canoe, with one oar, for two years. The rest of those wanting to take a crack at the POTUS cannot get the GOP to fall into "support step" when it is needed. McCain had Palin pushed on him, and in private he admits that he should have told elite Republicans to pound sand, and stick with his early choice for VP. Very weak line-up.

    August 16, 2010 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  17. Peace

    399 Republicans were polled, Sarah got 11% only, which means it is only 44 people supported her. What about she disappears quietly as this result tells all!

    August 16, 2010 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  18. Clint, Wa.

    Sarah who?

    August 16, 2010 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  19. Sam Wilson

    I will vote for Huckabee any day over Palins (Todd, Sarah, Bristol) or anyone from that family even 10 generations down the line!

    August 16, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  20. david john

    guess people are finally realizing she really is a money-grubbing moron and should ride into the sunset........how long do you think it will take for the same crowd to figure out huckabee's "gig"?

    August 16, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  21. Pat

    As much as I agree with with a lot that Huckabee stands for, I'm afraid that too many Independents (which ultimately deside the outcome) will shy away from him for Religious purposes only and therefore can not win the National election. Same can be said about Palin. Romney would of been a better choice for VP for McCain just because his business experience would of appealed to the economy issues we face. For all those Bush blamers, the economy issues were caused by both Democrats and Republicans and the American consumers and manufacturers. Consumers bought gas drinking SUVs, Car industries did not have any appealing gas economical cares to compete with foriegn cars. Consumers rather buy cheap articles from WalMart manufactured in China. It is a domino effect that we all have had a hand in.

    August 16, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  22. Greg, San Francisco, CA

    Kinda disappointed as I believe that if Huckabee were the Republican nominee, he would only lose by 15% to Obama in the 2012 election, whereas if Palin were the nominee, she would lose by about 35%.

    August 16, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  23. John

    Polls this early mean nothing, let's see how it looks in about 18 months!

    August 16, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  24. AmFem

    Ellid, I know what you mean. But, let's face it... The headline on CNN's main page only mentions Palin, and nothing about Huckabee, and here we are reading the Ticker to see why Palin did bad in a poll.

    I personally hope she stays in the news. As a Progressive, and proud Liberal, she can only help the Democrats come November.

    August 16, 2010 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  25. PREDICTA

    Huckabee, Romney or Gingrich. It doesn't matter. Any one of them would be an improvement over the 'incompetent in chief' we currently have.

    August 16, 2010 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
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