August 16th, 2010
11:47 AM ET
4 years ago

Early Iowa poll has Huckabee in first, Palin in fourth

 Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.

Washington (CNN) - Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, the come-from-behind GOP winner of the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, is the early choice of Hawkeye State Republicans again, a new poll shows.

The survey was conducted for the website TheIowaRepublican.com may be viewed as simply a matter of name recognition as much as it is a measure of true political support given the caucuses are eighteen months away and no Republican has yet to declare an intention to run for president.

Sill, the survey shows Huckabee has retained a significant number of supporters in the Hawkeye State, leading the field with 22 percent of support. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the runner-up in 2008, is second with 18 percent.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, who visited the Iowa State Fair last week after the poll was conducted and has made clear he is strongly considering a run for president, is in third place at 14 percent.

Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has long believed to be a natural fit for Iowa Republicans, is the choice of 11 percent of voters.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who finished fifth in Iowa in 2008, again finds himself in fifth place with 5 percent of support.

Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, another visitor at the state fair last week and almost-certain presidential candidate, is at 1 percent along with South Dakota Sen. John Thune.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, who also headed to Des Moines and the state fair this week, received less than 1 percent of support in the poll.

The poll surveyed 399 likely Republican caucus goers across Iowa and has a sampling error of plus or minus 5 percent. It was conducted July 25-28.


Filed under: Iowa
soundoff (187 Responses)
  1. Voice of Reason

    "Early polls..."? EARLY?!! The President has now been in office for 18 months, and we're taking polls about the next race??

    Well i guess if you're going to raise a quarter-billion dollars from special interest groups and blow it all on mud-slinging ads and bying favors, then you gotta get an early start...

    Two things drive me crazy about this: 1. Running for president shouldnt be a 3-year ordeal. The current president should have more than a year to actually make a difference before having to go back on the campaignh trail. 2. Why IOWA? My apologies to the folks there, but simply because of a technicality (IA caucuses first) we have to see candidates in flannel shirts talking to hayseed kicks in a diner somewhere instead of hearing them talk about what's really important (NOT farm subsidies, etc).

    Out presidential election cycle has become a complete sham.

    August 16, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  2. lstro

    Don't know why its taken so long for people to realize Palin is in no way shape or form qualified to be anything other than a mouth piece. Her problem has always been the more she opens her mouth the more she shows her incompetance. Not one single educated concrete solution to anything. I wonder what's wronge with the 12% who still support her.

    August 16, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  3. Todd

    When will CNN's obsession with Palin end? Nobody wants to vote for her. Nobody ever did. CNN is the only media outlet that acts like she's popular.

    August 16, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  4. Al

    It doesn't matter whether you're a Republican or not, any poll that pushes Palin farther back has to be applauded. Reality check: the Republicans have to have SOMEONE on the ticket in 2012. There's no way around that. And it's always a 50-50 chance that either the Democrat will win or the Republican will win. With those odds I don't want there to be any chance of Palin becoming the next president. Frankly none of the Republican front runners look appealing, all of them will probably push the US back to the 1980s in some way, but Palin is just dangerous as far as I'm concerned (only Limbaugh or Beck would be scarier candidates). If the majority of Americans want to replace Obama in two years, that's their choice, but they have to be given a better option than her.

    August 16, 2010 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  5. Former Republican, but never again!

    Palin is a moron!!

    August 16, 2010 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  6. kayray

    Can't the Republicans find someone who isn't such a bible-thumping, anti-science religious weirdo? Huckabee actually seems like a nice guy in interviews but he is too religious for me to trust him. Romney is a Mormon, enough said. Ever been to Utah? BORING. That is a theocracy and I'm not interested in living in one. Newt????? Come on guys. This is the man who touts family values and spent time and energy going after Clinton for getting a bj and then divorces his wife who has cancer? Nice family values there. Obviously for better or worse doesn't apply to him. I'm all for fiscal responsibility and does it have to go with religious zealotry? This country is getting scarier and scarier and heading for a new dark age of fear, paranoia and hyper-religiosity.

    August 16, 2010 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  7. Hannah

    Just wait, Jeb Bush will come forward soon and all you Bush lovers can have another chance at more wars, more tax cuts for the wealthy, more jobs going overseas, more deregulation of financial institution, repeal of health care so that health care will go up and up... with these people running our country the middle class doesn't have a chance.

    August 16, 2010 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  8. shadysider

    Gary Johnson/Ron Paul in 2012 or bust. No other way I'm voting Republican. UNfortunately these two are WAY too libertarian/moderate for Conservatives/What's left of the Republican Party and they also have a tendency to speak honestly about real issues whereas the majority of their party speaks almost exclusevily to partisan division and use issues to 'win' at politics rather than make a positive difference to the country.
    /It sucks wanting a viable second party while that party refuses to grow up and continues to see things within/through their own small worldview. Most of us want fiscal discipline and responsibility, but Republican politicians are convinced (and wrong) that the only way to increase jobs is through tax cuts and cutting spending is through 'entitlements.' And on the other side of things, the Republican base thinks I'm a liberal and the enemy because I'm pro-choice and in favor of gay marriage.

    August 16, 2010 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  9. Go Sarah Go !!

    We need you to provide material for SNL. I love it

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  10. stanton cummings

    I will never vote for a republican, they are cluless heartless obstructionist criminals !!!!! JUST LOOK AT THE EIGHT YEARS OF DUBYUH& COMPANY!!!! HUCKABEE IS A RELIGEOUS ZEALOT THAT WE DO NOT NEED!!!!!

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  11. wayne

    Wake up CNN, NO ONE likes, trusts, or wants Sarah Palin.

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  12. Michael in Houston

    dont buy this garbage. Palin will run and the repubs will nominate her. The rest is just the mindless stupid road to getting to that point.
    They will nominate her because their hate exceeds any rational thinking. If they were rational and intelligent they would have not let her get this far. Palin will be the next nominee for the republicans.

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  13. Refudiation

    Palin's poll numbers will rise after her third book is released. "God, Flags and Apple Pie: How I Saved The Constitution" will come out right before the primaries, and will catapult her to number one.

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  14. Anonymous

    Palin will not run, no way would she take the pay cut, not to mention, she has nothing to offer. She has yet to sit down and take serious questions about anything. All she does is attack the President. What the hell would she be doing with all the things Mr. Obama is dealing with right now, with half the elected officals (REPUBLICANS) sitting on their hands hoping for failure. She would probably have quit long time ago.

    August 16, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  15. FRANK - LAS VEGAS

    Just shows that even the nut cases in the GOP know more than the press does about Half Gov. Palin. So now can the press please stop reporting on this non issue of a person?

    Vote NO in NOvember to the party of NO.

    August 16, 2010 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  16. ed fl

    Iowa [I think is the corn state] to bad it isn't the pig state you could put lipstick on Palin and a couple of the male candidates and let them wallow in their own fecal matter. One of them could explain to the others what FECAL means.

    August 16, 2010 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  17. shadysider

    Todd August 16th, 2010 12:47 pm ET

    When will CNN's obsession with Palin end? Nobody wants to vote for her. Nobody ever did. CNN is the only media outlet that acts like she's popular.
    --------------------------------
    CNN's not the one who gave her her own show or the political party that made her the VP nominee. Blame Fox and SoCon Republicans if you're tired of seeing her.

    August 16, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  18. J.Crobuzon

    At least Huckleberry knows you shouldn't change the Constitution. Palin just reads all the papers and stuff, y'know.

    August 16, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  19. joe kauffman

    She would never win let it go Sarah move on.

    August 16, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  20. GSMS

    SARAH PALIN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2012 AND BEAT BARACK OBAMA

    She would win in a landslide..

    August 16, 2010 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  21. barry

    Whomever the Republican candidate I pray it will be Hillary to represent my party. We can't continue with the in experienced President we have, which is ruining our country and we can't go back to the Republicans. They are almost as bad as President Obama. Hillary in 2012!

    Barry

    August 16, 2010 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  22. Palin Power

    This poll is complete utter nonsense. In 2012, Palin WILL win Iowa in the primaries and WILL win not only the nomination, but the White House as well. We will have 8 years of President Palin, the greatest President of all times.

    August 16, 2010 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  23. Jack in Des Moines, IA

    Why do people ( and News outlets) still put so much faith in these or any polls. I used to work for a compay that supplied the data for polling companies. They don't just randomly call people. They request list of people meeting specific qualities, such as race, age, education level, income level, religious preference. In addition to loading the list of participants, they read scenarios to participants that are designed to lead people to respond in a certain way. You'll notice no polling group will ever, EVER disclose the exact numbers of who they polled, what they asked ( they only release info supporting what they want you to think) OR WHO IS PAYING FOR IT TO BE DONE.

    August 16, 2010 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  24. Operation Crush Rush

    I see the same rightwing dropouts here this morning,spewing Limbaugh throwup.

    August 16, 2010 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  25. me

    I'd vote for Sara Lee over Sarah Palin. The food would certainly be more palatable as well as the conversation.

    August 16, 2010 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
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