September 2nd, 2010
10:00 AM ET
4 years ago

New prediction in battle for the House

A new forecast predicts Republicans will pick up 47 House seats.
A new forecast predicts Republicans will pick up 47 House seats.

Washington (CNN) – It's the biggest guessing game in this town: Will the Republicans pick up enough House seats in November's midterm elections to win back control of the chamber?

A new forecast out Thursday says yes. University of Virginia political handicapper Larry Sabato estimates that Republicans will pick up 47 House seats in November, eight more than the 39 seats the GOP needs to reclaim the House.

TIME.com: How Barack Obama Became Mr. Unpopular

"2010 was always going to be a Republican year," writes Sabato, "but conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer. The economy appears rotten, with little chance of a substantial comeback by November 2nd."

Two of the best known non-partisan political handicappers in the nation's capitol also point towards major gains by the Republicans. The Cook Political Report forecasts a net gain of 35 to 45 seats by Republicans, "with the odds of an outcome larger than that range greater than the odds of a lesser outcome."

CNN Radio Political Notebook:

And the Rothenberg Political Report estimates "GOP gains of 28-33 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats are quite possible."

There are 61 days left till the midterms. Stay tuned!

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2010
soundoff (125 Responses)
  1. RLG

    Spoken like a true Republican.
    And they have plenty of time to continue screwing things up, infighting with the Dbaggers, and for having more of their tool leadership exposed as the self-interested, corporation- collaborating, obstructionist cretins they are. A few good revelations and the Dems may even pick up some seats.
    "It ain't over 'til it's over." -Yogi Berra

    September 2, 2010 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  2. chris

    It's over liberals/democrats its over! The garbage truck is coming to throw your sorry butts out of office.

    September 2, 2010 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  3. Captian Canada

    I wonder how the Tea Party/Sarah Palin candidates will do. It is one thing to wing your base but history proves again & again that if you lean too far to one side you are unlikely to win when the majority is in the center

    September 2, 2010 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  4. Russ

    OLD NEWS......Isn't there any real news to cover? After all isn't CNN a news organization? Politics day in and day out is not news!!!!!!!!

    September 2, 2010 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  5. greenfish

    Why anyone would hand the keys back to the party that ruined this country's economy is absolutely beyond me. I have defended Americans' intelligence to many people, but I will be at a loss for words if they vote to put these clowns in power.

    September 2, 2010 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  6. Sherry in Kentucky

    You'd think the American people would have learned. . . we are so fickle. . .

    September 2, 2010 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  7. serg

    Is this CNN...its sound more like FOX NEWS…
    NO love for OSAMA...oops I mean for OBAMA and his puppets or is he the puppet.
    Any way you’re going down in November ssuucckkass….

    By the way when you’re out of the White House go back to MECCA…take Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi with you…

    September 2, 2010 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  8. annie s

    Heaven help us.

    September 2, 2010 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  9. obama victim

    of course the libs on this board will deny this...say that this guy is crazy...just like they do to ALL the experts and ALL the polls.....c'mon..man up dems...take your beating and realize how wrong you were to pursue this extreme left wing agenda....you might be destroying your party for years

    September 2, 2010 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  10. America Shrugged

    Gotta love it... Republican year? LOL... They destroyed this country with their de-regulation of financial markets, homeownership society for low income Americans, 2 wars, 2 huge tax cuts and Medicare part D, none paid for and added to our deficit..They talk about cutting SS and Medicare benefits because they are going broke, but everyone thinks they are going to sweep congress? They did nothing all those years they held congress in a stranglehold and all they are promising you is more of the same boloney. Ok...Only foolish people will buy the GOP garbage and vote for them again. Why doesn't CNN put out a few articles on all the good things Obama and congress have done? We know why.. How about talking about the manufacturing bill that Obama signed on Aug 11, 2010? Of course, the main thing is to keep slamming Obama until we get the fundy supply siders back in to take away what is left of the American dream.

    September 2, 2010 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  11. Tim Doogan

    Meh. Is this really going to change anything? It'll be just further filibusters and political gridlock.

    September 2, 2010 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  12. Anonymous

    I can only say one thing to this article- does it matter? Rrpublicans have bocked all legislation for the past 19 months and in 2011, Obama will veto most legislation they propose if its not what he thinks is right, so nothig will change.
    If you want change, don't change parties- change your neighbors habits and het everybody out there to vote. Less than 27 percent of elegible votes actually do so, This is not majority rules- this is zealout do.

    September 2, 2010 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  13. JFS

    Not going to happen...The Dems will maintain control of Both the House and the Senate. Regardless of silly Polls and the Media trying to create a GOP victory in both chambers. The average American is quite aware of the mess the GOP left this Country in and have Done "NOTHING" to offer solutions. We KNOW that they are only trying to trick us and make us believe that we have to elect the bums back-in in order for them to disclose the miraculous solutions. The ymust think all of Americand are as illiterate as theit RED STATE base ??? Apaarently the media (CNN) believes the same ???

    September 2, 2010 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  14. Eric

    Hope and change for the rest of us

    September 2, 2010 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  15. Willie12345

    With the out sourcing of design work by GM on the new Buicks, I get more confused about the goverment's bail out of GM. GM is now bragging about it's German Designed Buicks. So, did my tax money go to Germany as part of the GM bail out ??? What's wrong with US engineering? Why did the UAW support this action?

    September 2, 2010 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  16. Brian, NJ

    The G-No-P back in charge of the House. Amazing the collective amnesia of the American public regarding the 8 years they were in power. Nice job everyone.

    September 2, 2010 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  17. larry

    If you think things are bad now, don't forget it was the Bushy Boy tax cuts that got us here and if the republicans regain control of the congress, God help us all.

    September 2, 2010 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  18. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    The Republicans plan for the economy must be a secret for the rich only and they know who they are, so it's not important that they tell the rest of the country. More of the same.

    September 2, 2010 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  19. Louisiana Man

    Oh golly gee yes- lets put the same party in power that relegated our country to its knees.

    Reminder: A deceitful, expensive war- thousands of our kids killed and maimed- cheesy personally enriching his coffers courtsey of the bodies of our kids in flag draped coffins, a TEN YEAR tax cut to bush's wealthy pals, borrowing from our good firends , the Chinese, to pay for abov e expendures-

    Resulting in gazillions added to bloat our deficit to unfathomable, stratigraphic figures that our great grand will be burdened with.

    Yea, to quote idoit bush 'Bring em on"!!!

    September 2, 2010 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  20. Bob O'Dell

    The Republicans better repeal Obamacare or we the people that did not want it crammed down our throats wlli throw them out and elect new leaders untill we get some that listen.

    September 2, 2010 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  21. Hannah

    What is even scarier is John Boehner taking over as majority leader. But I guess if CNN and the "liberal" media telling us its so, people will believe it. Good-by middle class.

    September 2, 2010 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  22. ck

    Don't care if the candidate elected is a Republican, Libertarian, Conservative, Constitutionalist, or Independent.

    Just, please, no more Democrats, Socialists, Communists, Marxists, Maoists, Racists, Fannie May and Freddie Mac supporter "was for it, but now I'm against it" turn coats (yes, that is you Barney), immigration softies, or Liberals.

    September 2, 2010 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  23. me

    SCARY thought to have Boehner "JOHN THE JANITOR" as speaker of the House.

    September 2, 2010 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  24. Right Leaning Independent

    This will be the first time in my life that I vote straight Republican!! The Dems have no clue what they are doing. They blame Repubs for the economy yet fail to mention Clintons CRA as well as Barney Frank and Chris Dodd's hand in the housing crisis which helped lead to the failure of banks!! They have created a class war and alienated businesses with their anti business rhetoric and policies! The only way to get companies hiring is to get rid of the Dems otherwise there will be another 2 years of high unemployment!! They have added to their legacy of entitlements to those that pay little to no taxes by ramming through a health care plan that most Americans oppose in the current form. November is going to be a good month!!!

    September 2, 2010 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  25. Dave Richman

    Lets hope the Reps. can get it right this time. We sure need some help out here. TOP SPENDING, CUT DEEP INTO ENTITLEMENTS, and LOWER TAXES.

    September 2, 2010 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
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