September 6th, 2010
12:07 PM ET
4 years ago

Midterm politics by numbers

Washington (CNN) - There are 57 days before Election Day and Democrats and Republicans are preparing closing arguments to try and convince voters as to why their respective political party should control Congress.

Republicans will need a net gain of 39 seats to take back control of the House and a pick up of 10 seats for the Senate majority. One high level Democratic campaign strategist predicted that "up to 30 seats" are "now probably" lost in the House, while Republicans could pick up "8 seats" in the Senate."

Democratic leaders are telling colleagues to localize their races as well as argue that they are seeking solutions to fix the economy, while accusing Republicans of asking people to cast their votes in anger."

"The economy is not going to get demonstrably better," before Election Day, said the Democratic strategist, who would only speak freely about the challenges facing the Democrats on the condition of anonymity. "But Democrats are trying to fix it, and Republicans haven't offered a plan."

A senior Republican strategist acknowledged that in fact the election is primarily about the Democratic Party and broke it down to this formula: "Looking at this election, 80 percent of it is about them, and 20 percent is about us," said the strategist, who would also only speak under the cloak of anonymity.

The GOP strategist noted that Republican candidates are being told to "nationalize the election and try to make it a referendum on President Obama." The Republican strategist also sought to minimize Democratic charges that the party hasn't offered any solutions and noted that the much hyped Republican policy agenda – often compared to the 1994 "Contract with America" – will be unveiled later this month.

While the GOP is clearly in the hunt, elections are all about timing, and savvy Republicans realize that peaking too soon could take away that valuable momentum needed as they head into Election Day.


Filed under: 2010
soundoff (39 Responses)
  1. Henry Miller, Libertarian

    "But Democrats are trying to fix it, and Republicans haven't offered a plan."

    Ridiculous!

    All the Democrats are trying to do waste trillions of dollars, and even the average village idiot knows that wasting tons of money we don't have, far from fixing anything, is just going to make things worse.

    The Republicans are narrow-minded bigots, but at least they get it that the only way the economy is going to recover is by stopping the insane spending the Dems are doing. That's all the plan they need, at least for the moment. Once the money haemorrhage has been stopped, then they can worry about getting the country back on a sound fiscal basis–starting by repealing Obamacare and that prescription drug give-away Bush pushed through.

    September 6, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  2. Michael from Ventura

    I'm hoping that the memories of the last gop administration comes back to Americans in NOvember. They can't have the keys back- they don't know how to drive!

    September 6, 2010 12:33 pm at 12:33 pm |
  3. B

    Short term thinkers -Want it fixed immediately -or else – they will vote the people -back in- that put us all here !

    America will go the way so many other successful societies have gone - down!

    This country is changing very fast now, and not in a better way. Hate, Racism, short term thinking, or no thinking at all will lead to our downfall.

    September 6, 2010 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  4. ED FL

    All a majority win by the GOP NO NO does is switch the NO NO to the other side. GOP win[ ha ha ] what do you do with the other party doing the NO NO and we still have a demo VETO VETO VETO PEN.You guys are ddumber than we imagined. Boehner get back in your tanning tub you will have plenty of free time .

    September 6, 2010 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  5. Facts are not fair to the GOP

    Henry Miller represents the thinking of the average village idiot. The insane spending of the republicans with their unfunhded prograqms and wars left President Obama and $10.6 trillion debt. Remember, if it is left to Lebertarians, their would be no public education, insterstate highways, police and fire departments, government safety regulation agencies, national parks, social security and medicare. For him, utopia would be Haiti.

    September 6, 2010 12:42 pm at 12:42 pm |
  6. GI Joe

    We borrowed money to give the wealthiest 2 tax cuts - where are those jobs? (2001 and 2003).

    Oh, it was for the family values guys to buy their prostitutes (male and female).

    September 6, 2010 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  7. jim

    We didn't get into this financial mess until the dems took control of Congress in 2006. Then Barney Frank and Chris Dodd had their way and it's been downhill since.

    September 6, 2010 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  8. Chipster

    Supply side economics has failed each and every time Republicans have tried it. How many times does it have to fail before the American people get it? If voters are stupid enough to put the corporate thieves in charge again, we deserve recessions and depression. It's incredible that voters continue to respond, like Pavlov's dogs, to fake news and misinformation designed to create outrage.

    September 6, 2010 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  9. Bob Moore

    Too close to call yet. Each race is local. Don't count your chickens before they hatch.

    September 6, 2010 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  10. smum

    As a life-long democrat and LIBERAL, I must ask my party AGAIN, and AGAIN...

    Where the h- do you get these so-called "democratic strategists"? They (1) ALWAYS misread the polls, they can NEVER develop and intelligent argument for the issues, even when the party is in the right side of most of those issues, and then call a "press conference" to disseminate their planned strategy. Smart, isn't it?

    If republicans gain seats this November, it will not be because the majority of the people support the republican agenda, it will be that democratic strategists are so dumb, that they could never figure out how to argue their case.

    September 6, 2010 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  11. DENNA

    I pretty well know what the Rethugs are going to do. They will look up the day after the election and, having gotten what they wanted, will then be FORCED to produce. If they don't they can COUNT on President Obama getting another term. And it will be all their fault. Hahahhaaa.

    September 6, 2010 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  12. Ridgeway

    It's amazing! Obama and Dem supporters post constantly regarding the failures of past administrations. Bush is to blame for everything that's wrong with the Country.
    Obama is failing because White Republicans won't support him not because he's incompetent.
    OK. Libs, Obamanites and Dems. Once again name one thing Obama has done to date that has made your life better. And if you say health care reform I will buy in if you will explain how it will make your life better without taking money out of someone else's pocket.
    I will check back for anwers.

    September 6, 2010 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  13. izzy

    All I can say is anyone who voted for Obama should be voting Democrat again. Those of us who voted for Obama knew exactly what he stood for. I'm voting for him and anyone he seems to endorse now and in 2012. HAVE CONVICTIONS!!!

    September 6, 2010 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  14. izzy

    Narrow minded bigots!!! I love it!!!

    September 6, 2010 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  15. NC

    Just vote for the Republicans in November 2010 and November 2012.......

    September 6, 2010 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  16. terry,va

    @ Ed FL... we want Obummie to veto the stuff that we will repeal when we gain power back. Obummie will be done in 2012. Veto away Obummie. More dumbocraps will lose their seats and Obummie is definitely done.

    @Facts are not fair to the GOP....Obummie's stimulus plan cost 862 billion dollars in 2 years. 8 years of the Iraq war cost 709 billion. Stimulus plan equals a GREAT failure and Obummie wants even more money for the same purpose the 862 billion plan was supposed to do.

    @ GI joe... you must be the play toy action figure. The unemployment rates during Bush's 8 years was about 5.5%. Any idiot knows that if you keep putting more burdens on the rich, the economy will collapse. When the hell was the last time a poor man hired an employee? So here's the deal. You better hope that Obummie and the dumbocraps stay in power so you can continue to get you handouts!!!

    September 6, 2010 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  17. Drunken GOP Drivers want the keys back

    Looks like the spinners are trying to make it a close race to sell more tickets.These clowns are John Birchers,hiding behind the Libertarian flag.Hows that flouride in your drinking water fellows?They are afraid of their own shadow and still check under their bed for monsters,hahaha

    September 6, 2010 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  18. Cretaceous1

    There is not one of these Republicans who are alternative choices to Demoratic squatters presently in office, that is worthy of replacing one of the present squatters. What we need if it is not going to be a decent presidential replacement that people would focus on enough to make the idiot now resign is someone who could dispatch with bin Laden. Since 9-11-01, there has not been a plan designed with US ingenuity like ours of 50 years ago, that could get rid of this character once and for all, ie DEAD! He needs to be disposed of in order for countries that used to respect the US showed as well as US citizens could say job well done...FOR A CHANGE! If he is not disposed of, we are constantly going to be on guard for EVIL DOERS (the only bush cliche that made sense)...

    September 6, 2010 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  19. Renea

    Republicans talking about the Democrats spending too much, so i guess if they get back in power they are not going spend any money. YEAH RIGHT! They are already talking about extending Tax Cuts for the wealthy. How much will that continue to cost. I guess anything that will help the wealthy the Republicans is for, and will spend money on.

    September 6, 2010 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  20. Sylvia

    Reality is not one of her strong suits! I never knew, or understood, why so many people choose to listen...and potentially vote for...so many screwballs dotting our political landscape. God help us all if these people actually get voted into office.

    The only way to avoid even more chaos in this country is for "the silent majority", those people that have a brain and can think for themselves, to rise up and vote. We have too many crucial elections this November to leave it to chance or prayer.

    To do otherwise, is to doom this country from a world class country into a country of mediocrity and ignorance, which would be influenced by a collection of fringe elements described only as people that are mediocre, ignorant and use uncivilized behavior to get their way. If this happens, my prediction is the eventuality of another civil war.

    September 6, 2010 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  21. barry

    Republicans will win big and we let it happen. Our party did not respect the will of the people. We will pay the price for doing that and honestly we should. The Health Care Bill alone is a example. The under handed deals made to get it and then the blatant lie it would save money people are angry about and won't forgive or forget. The Stimulus wasn't handled well either. When we make our come back in a few years we need to make sure this is a lesson learned.

    September 6, 2010 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  22. Beverly WestRN

    There's only one GOOD reason to vote for Republicans in November- if Democrats lose majority, Pelosi and Reid will be forced to step down: Judging from Obama's lame speeches lately, maybe that's what he wants to see happen.

    September 6, 2010 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  23. Cretaceous1

    Mr. Henry Miller who posted here as a Libertarian has said in some very succinct words what the problem is and how to fix it. I would add to his post that Republicans also have their built in ways to abscond with money, without most anyone knowing it is gone, until oops...we have no money!!! I say kick out all politicians. I know this will not be done, and my take on the future of this country is that it will be both SHORT and BLEAK!!!

    September 6, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  24. cnn always liberal all the time

    the best part of kicking _ss in November will be locking up all the liberals in re-education camps and oppressing their families. I will be particularly happy when we make the rich super rich by stealing from the poor and oppressing innocent groups groups in America.

    i am a conservative and being evil is awesome . . .

    September 6, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  25. Darth Vadik, CA

    I'll have my sticker ready just in case...

    "DON'T BLAME ME THAT CONGRESS IS DEBATING FLAG BURNING, AND HAS WASTED MILLIONS ON POINTLESS INVESTIGATIONS (*while big business owns your mortgage and life)...I VOTED FOR DEMOCRATS"

    September 6, 2010 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
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