September 7th, 2010
01:26 PM ET
4 years ago

Another top political handicapper forecasts larger GOP gains

Washington (CNN) - Hours after one of the nation's top non-partisan political handicappers increased his forecast of how many seats the Republicans may pick up in the House of Representatives this November, another also raised the ante.

The Cook Political report put out a new prediction late Tuesday morning pointing towards GOP gains in the chamber of at least 40 seats, up from their most recent forecast of up to 35 seats. The Republicans need a net gain of 39 seats to take back control of the House.

"Over the summer, the 'macro' national diagnostic indicators have pointed toward very large Republican gains but only now can we look race-by-race, a micro-political approach, and see the district level data to say that the House has reached the tipping point," says Cook Political Report House Editor David Wasserman. "We are revising our House forecast to a Republican gain of at least 40 seats, the minimum to give them majority status, and very possibly substantially more."

Earlier Tuesday the Rothenberg Political Report put out new prediction pointing towards likely GOP gains from 37 to 42 seats in the chamber, up from the 28 to 33 seats predicted in their most recent forecast.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2010
soundoff (48 Responses)
  1. Thersa

    I guess we'll get what we deserve. Obama, too, for not putting the blame where it belonged from the moment he got into office. What in the heck is wrong with that guy? Did he really think the Republicans would own up to the damage they did? What a rube!

    September 7, 2010 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  2. John Adkisson

    In the next session I am not sure it will matter much who controls the House except to give Republicans the blame for what is coming regardless who is nominally "in power". And with a Republican Senate or a razor thin majority for the Senate Democrats, only non-controversial or conservative bills will reach the President's desk anyway. Plus, the increased public attention on Republican efforts and "ideas" in the leadership can only help the President and the Democrats in 2012.

    September 7, 2010 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  3. Michael from Ventura

    They can't have the keys back- they don't know how to drive.

    September 7, 2010 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  4. andy

    VOTE Republicans because you IDIOTS deserve each other!

    September 7, 2010 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  5. Gale

    And the Democrats still don't get it? It is still ALL Pres. Bush's fault. The GOP is the party of "no" but they haven't had the majority in 4 years, they lie, cheat and steal, and they still don't get it?? 7 of the 10 most wealthy senators are Democrats, and they STILL don't get it! Maybe they will get it in November.

    September 7, 2010 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  6. jack burger

    Vote republican? After 8 years in power they dug a hole so deep we may never get out. Fact: The monstrous bulk of the National deficit rests solely on the shoulders of the last three Republican administrations. W and Dad and dear Ronnie, not Carter, Clinton and Obama. Want out of the hole...vote Democrat or regret it

    September 7, 2010 02:41 pm at 2:41 pm |
  7. Midwest

    Tipping point? Is that when the other side starts blaming?

    Here is a quick rundown of the "Re-hashed Campaign Drivel" for all the public school graduates (taught by union teachers, cause we all know union employees are the brightest and the most energetic)

    Don't blame me!

    They started it!

    They overspent too!

    I'm just a man with a dream! (and your checkbook)

    Ok, Ok, I'll spend less next term.

    (I'll refinance just this once, then I promise I'll get better spending habits)

    Stick with me "boys" and I'll make you Stewards of Stimulus Dollars! Its the road to the promise land, paved in debt for generations to come.

    Big Banks, Big Corporate CEO's, Big Insurance, Big Oil, Big Unions, etc.... Big Damn Deal

    Same speech just a different suit

    September 7, 2010 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  8. Jimbo (the real one)

    I really don't get why it is such a big deal about hiow many seats the dems might lose this November. President Obama took advantage of the majority at the time to get all his major legislation (health care, wall street reform, stimulus) and campaign promises passed before the repubs were in a position to block everything he now proposes. There will be grid lock regardless of which party controls the house and the ONLY losers will be the American people.

    September 7, 2010 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  9. grant

    Americans = Least intelligent voters on the planet.

    Come November you will all get what you deserve.

    September 7, 2010 02:45 pm at 2:45 pm |
  10. ELIZABETH

    I'm waiting for at least one so-called journalist to ask the republicans what their solution is to fix the economy. I know know it's difficult for you guys to break away from your script and parroting each other, but for once can one of you idiots actually pretend that you are a journalist. I find it amazing that not one person in the media asked the repubicans for their solutions. Are you paid pundits really this incompetent or are you all following a script given to you by your coporate bosses?

    September 7, 2010 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  11. BeverlyNC

    I give the American people more credit to see the truth of what destruction Republicans will bring back to our nation. They have NO plans, NO agenda, NO solutions, and NO leadership. Senate Min Leader McConnell said we "might" hear some Republican plans at the end of Sept. Why don't they have any right now??? When have they had a single positive solution for any issue in the past 18 months???

    Republicans have done NOTHING for the PEOPLE. All they have done is create an awful environment of hate, fear, lies, racism, intolerance, and a threat to our Constitution. They have shown incredible disrespect and treason towards our President. They hate him because he is an intelligent black man who is restoring our nation and they are so bitter and angry they will do and say anything to bring him down.

    I have not seen such hate and fear-mongering from old white people since the Civil Rights era. It's sad and disgusting.

    Voters – you better take a hard look at what you will be bringing down on yourselves if you vote for a Republican. They hate the middle and working classes. They have no intention of creating jobs here in America because their big corporate buddies want to keep sending our jobs overseas.

    Republicans plans, according to them, to end Social Security, Medicare, Unemployment benefits (you have been paying into your whole career), end public schools, get rid of the FDA who makes sure food companies are constantly spreading disease to us through nasty conditions at beef farms, chicken farms, and stopping companies like the ones making people sick with bad eggs. They want to get rid of the EPA so Big Oil can run wild again and cause oil spills they will not be held accountable for any way. Republican House Min Leader Boehner has stated he thinks we should leave BP alone and let the taxpayers pay for the BP oil cleanup. Does any of this sound like Republicans give a damn about YOU or your current issues???

    Republicans only want power and then will start destroying our nation again. Name ONE thing positive they have done for YOU or any American issue for the past 18 months! Everything is NO-NO-NO and a creation of a horrible and dangerous environment of hate, fear, lies, racism, intolerance of all non-whites, and complete disrespect and traitorous actions and attitudes toward the Presidency just because Republicans hate the thought of having an intelligent black successful President in the White House who has done everything he could to help the PEOPLE and has put regulations and protections on big business to stop the abuses by them of We the People.

    Democrats have worked HARD for YOU all year. They have stood up to special interests and large corporations and fought for YOUR rights to a better life and to keep our jobs here in America. They have got our nation on a solid path to recovery with solid plans. If you want your life back and America to prosper, stay out of more wars, and keep the programs you have earned – you should stand with the Democrats. They are the Party of the PEOPLE.

    September 7, 2010 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  12. You liberal CNN lovers are going to lose in November

    Dims will lose and there is NOTHING you can do to stop the Republican tidal wave in November. HA HA – Loser libs.

    September 7, 2010 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  13. Sonnie

    This must be the CHANGE obama wanted

    September 7, 2010 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  14. jay

    Another Faux news prediction poll.

    September 7, 2010 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |
  15. HypocriCNNation

    So I Take That If The Sky Is Falling In CNN's (That's HypocriCNN!) World, As Long As It's Written In The Book Somewhere. Then It Juxtaposes Itself As Being Legitimate News I Guess?

    September 7, 2010 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  16. JFS

    Really.........two more months to go....pretty hard to get votes from folks when all you can brag about is : DOING NOTHING to help solve the economic storm. You media folks can give your positive GOP twist on everything..but just watch. CNN you have not been CIRCULATING enough with the average voter .... only the same thousand that you poll.

    September 7, 2010 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  17. Peter s

    As chicanery continues, spin, mis-inform and manipulate the citizens minds so that, the media, wall street, lobbyist e.t.c retains power!!

    September 7, 2010 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  18. ThinkAgain

    There are more registered Democrats than Republicans; all we have to do is get out and vote.

    Save our country from going back to the tried-and-failed policies of GW Bush!

    Vote Democratic!

    September 7, 2010 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  19. victim of democrat hypocrisy

    It's going to be wonderful to relegate Pelosi back to just another congress member!

    September 7, 2010 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  20. scott

    if this happens the president will be impeach in the house and found not guilty n the senate

    September 7, 2010 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  21. Right Leaning Independent

    Wow, so many great polls coming out must be driving the Liberals crazy!!! It is clearly a great day to not be a Liberal!!! Dems, your agenda has been clearly and coherently rejected!!!!

    September 7, 2010 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  22. Right Leaning Independent

    It is so apparent that even with the pandering to the middle class, the Middle Class has completely rejected this far left liberal agenda!! This is a center right country though some forgot it when electing Obama and the Dems. They will not make the same mistake this November. November 2010 – a great month for American Taxpayers!!!

    September 7, 2010 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  23. Willa-PA

    Republicans/teapartiers will get what they deserve and we the people, middle class will have to pay the price if we don't get out the vote with the base...The middle class republicans/teapartiers don't care about their future, they will not have SS or privatized SS, no unemployment checks because the republican govt calls them, and us who have no job, lazy, no disability checks or severely cut, etc. etc. and THEY will be the first one to scream bloody murder. I find it sooooo amazing that they are so blind and easily bamboozled by the right wing nuts to vote against their well being. I heard on the news about one person who will vote in protest for the republicans even if this fiasco we are in now is their fault, go figure.

    September 7, 2010 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
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