September 15th, 2010
08:30 AM ET
4 years ago

Top two handicappers change Delaware outlook

Delaware appears to be an advantage for Democrats now.
Delaware appears to be an advantage for Democrats now.

Washington (CNN) - The two top non-partisan political handicappers are changing their rating of Delaware Senate battle.

Just a few hours after Christine O'Donnell's upset victory over nine-term Rep. Mike Castle, the Rothenberg Political Report moved the race from "Lean Republican" to "Lean Democrat." Wednesday morning, the Cook Political Report changed their rating, from "Likely Republican" to "Likely Democrat."

"Castle had broad appeal, including to independents and even Democratic voters, while O'Donnell's appeal is limited to tea party conservatives. Lacking an impressive resume and unlikely to garner significant national Republican support, O'Donnell clearly looks like an underdog against New Castle County Executive Chris Coons (D), who is suddenly transformed to the favorite in the general election," said the Rothenberg Report. "While tea party activists are jumping for joy at the primary results, it's Democrats who will have the last laugh in Delaware."

The winner of November's general election will fill out the remaining four years of Vice President Joe Biden's final term. Biden stepped down from the Senate after his election in November 2008 as vice president. Former Biden aide Ted Kaufman was named as an interim replacement. Kaufman is not seeking a full term. After much speculation that he would run for his father's old seat, Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden announced in late January that he would instead run for re-election as Delaware attorney general.

Nine days after the younger Biden's announcement, Coons officially announced his candidacy for the Democratic nomination. He didn't face a challenger for his party's nomination.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: Christine O'Donnell • Mike Castle
soundoff (26 Responses)
  1. Ryan Wing

    Just when I thought the Democrats were in trouble, the Republicans elect their fringe candidates. This election might not be as bad as I thought.

    September 15, 2010 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  2. Phil in KC

    I like that prognosis.

    September 15, 2010 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  3. DJ in TX

    Tea partiers may be winning some primaries, but it remains to be seen if they win a general election. My gut is a couple of them have a chance to win a general, but they were GOP states anyway. In reality, Reid shouldn't even have a chance this year, but he has a real shot because of Angle. Delaware would easily be GOP, but now that's a long shot. Most people are either center right or center left, not the far reaches of either side.

    No matter what is said, tea party candidates are NOT mainstream. They are the far right. A lot of them don't appeal to the general public.

    September 15, 2010 09:26 am at 9:26 am |
  4. Ernie

    There's an old saying "Don't Count Your Chicken's Until They Hatch" . The people are pissed off at the way Washington works example "Health Care. All these political Prognosticators better go back to thier Crystal Balls and start looking again. The time has come people want change not business as usual where nothing gets done.You are starting to see the old time politicians having their last " Hurrah " the new breed is starting to make their move. These old time politicians are not going to know what to do when they are no longer in Washington with there hand out. They just might have to get a real job.

    September 15, 2010 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  5. CBR

    Sooner or later the truth does come out and we will know who told the truth and who fabricated the story. I just might have to agree with some of what Mr. Rove Said and I am not a fan of his.

    September 15, 2010 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  6. Doc

    Don't know if any predictions are correct but I'm pretty sure that moving the party to far right instead of being more centrist and inclusive is going to cost many independent votes. I would think the average unaffiliated voter that isn't happy with the way things are would prefer a more cooperative scenario, not a total pendulum shift to the other extreme that seems to be what the Tea Party and right wing Republicans want.

    September 15, 2010 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  7. g

    looks more like 1930 germany-

    September 15, 2010 09:45 am at 9:45 am |
  8. Snow

    Maybe demorat maybe not. It seems that the sentiment is to throw out career politians from both sides of the aisle who do not listen to the very people they are supposed to represent. They have to listen to us or else come election time they will hear from us one last time before heading out of DC and back home.

    September 15, 2010 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  9. Bob

    Castle was a RINO who often voted with the Democrats. I would rather have a candidate that shares my values, even if they lose in the general election.

    September 15, 2010 09:56 am at 9:56 am |
  10. Eric

    So what you're saying is we could end up with a split house and senate, which means: gridlock.

    I say, GREAT!

    If they're gridlocked, that means they can't agree on anything, which means nothing gets done... if nothing gets done, it limits the damage they can do.

    To be honest, the best thing we could do for the economy is send the entire economic-uncertainty-machine we call "congress" on a tax-payer funded four-year vacation... if they're not around, they cannot create mischief, plus paying for these jerks to simply go away would definately be cheaper in the long run than simply letting them do their jobs.

    Just short of that, replacing the whole lot of 535 members with 535 names chosen at random from the phone book would still be better than what we have now. It certainly couldn't be any worse.

    September 15, 2010 09:58 am at 9:58 am |
  11. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Because O'Donnell is so far to the reactionary side of things, it makes it harder for the GOP to pick up the seat. Castle was someone who fit Delaware. The Democrats could lose it still if they don't get people out to the polls in November.

    September 15, 2010 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  12. Jess C

    Best news I've heard! Keep voting those nutjobs in, TP'ers, we're loving it.

    September 15, 2010 10:00 am at 10:00 am |
  13. gt

    there is a huge change coming america....

    September 15, 2010 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  14. NancyRose

    This is what is so hysterical to me! The Tea Party lunatics are jumping for joy after winning in the Republican primaries! But the Tea Party candidates haven't won ANYTHING yet... Winning in the primaries doesn't automatically translate into winning in the general elections in November! What don't these Tea Party loons not understand about this???

    September 15, 2010 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  15. The Other Dale

    Why do I get the feeling that come November the Republicans are going to see the Tea Party as being the type of albatross Ralph Nader used to be for the Democrats?

    September 15, 2010 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  16. sue

    wait and see. You just might be surprised

    September 15, 2010 10:16 am at 10:16 am |
  17. FM

    This Tea Party victorious looks exactly like the bridge to nowhere! What a pattern the queen of Alaska is stretching through!

    September 15, 2010 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  18. mh

    Castle was a RINO anyway – good riddance to bad rubbish! If a dumbocrat wins at least we will clearly know who we are dealing with.

    September 15, 2010 10:23 am at 10:23 am |
  19. Anonymous

    Thank you Tea Party.

    September 15, 2010 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  20. Sniffit

    I seem to recall a certain monster destroying the doctor who created it and all he holds dear before being chased with torches and pitchforks....

    We're civilized now though...maybe we can just taze them a bit this time instead.

    September 15, 2010 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  21. A. Goodwin

    Thank you Deleware – your ludicrous pick for the Republican seat will surely be a win for us Democrats. THANK YOU!

    September 15, 2010 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  22. Dale

    Yes, well nominating extremist fruitcakes to represent your party will do that to you. Long live the sane moderates.

    September 15, 2010 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  23. lovable liberal

    The extremist Republican base decided that extreme Republicans, whose policies had broken everything, were not extreme enough. Weird!

    Even stranger, in the contest between disappointing Democrats and insane Teapublicans, insanity is winning. Americans who gave Bush and Cheney 8 years to really botch things up are ready to go back to them and even further out to the ultra-right after only a scant 2 years of repair – and that repair obstructed at every turn by the already extreme Republicans.

    Maybe the end times really are upon us. This situation makes about as much sense as letting your two-year-old drive the car in the middle of a tantrum.

    September 15, 2010 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  24. Massachusetts Conservative

    Two words. Scott Brown.

    September 15, 2010 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  25. betterdays

    If Republicans take control of the House and pick up several Senate seats, it will show that the current administration is out of touch with the desires of general populace.

    If somehow a few of these Tea Party candidates actually "shock" everyone and win in the general election, it will show that the current administration, and the Republican party, and the pundits are really, really, REALLY out of touch with the desires of the general populace, or at least those who care enough to vote in off years.

    Ok, let's see what happens....

    September 15, 2010 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
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