September 23rd, 2010
10:42 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Could GOP capture Clinton's old Senate seat?

(CNN) – A new poll suggests that the race for Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's old Senate seat is getting interesting.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Thursday morning indicates that Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand holds a 48-42 percent advantage over Republican challenger Joseph DioGuardi among likely New York State voters, with nine percent undecided. Gillibrand's lead is within the survey's sampling error.

According to the survey Gillibrand leads overwhelmingly among Democrats, DioGuardi leads overwhelmingly among Republicans, with 42 percent of independents supporting DioGuardi and 41 percent backing Gillibrand.


The poll indicates that Gillibrand holds a 49 percent approval rating, with 37 percent saying they disapprove of the job she's doing as senator. The former congresswoman from upstate New York replaced Clinton as senator early last year, after Clinton stepped down to become secretary of state.

DioGuardi is a former congressman who is also the father of former American Idol judge Karen DioGuardi. According to the poll, six out of ten haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion. The winner in November will serve out the final two years of Clinton's term.

"Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is closing in on the magic 50 percent point. But DioGuardi makes a race of it against her, even though three-fifths of New Yorkers don't know much about him," says Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

A Siena College Research Institute poll also released Thursday indicates that Gillibrand leads DioGuardi 57 to 31 percent among the much larger pool of registered voters.

The survey also indicates that two-term Democratic Sen. Charles Schumer leads his little know GOP challenger Jay Townsend by a 54 to 38 percent margin.

The Quinnpiac University poll was conducted September 16-20, with 751 New York State likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

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Filed under: 2010 • GOP • Hillary Clinton • Joseph DioGuardi • Kirsten Gillibrand
soundoff (12 Responses)
  1. obozo

    With dems running away from their leader, anything is possible.

    September 23, 2010 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  2. barry

    Better chance of seeing Jesus this afternoon that a Republican winning this one.

    September 23, 2010 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  3. Fair is Fair

    "Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is closing in on the magic 50 percent point. But DioGuardi makes a race of it against her, even though three-fifths of New Yorkers don't know much about him."

    That statement alone has got to strike fear into even the most partisan democrat hack.

    September 23, 2010 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  4. gt

    this year every person in office can be beat ,,,, wake up,,, america were in for a new look come november...

    September 23, 2010 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  5. LacrosseMom(the real one)

    Only if New York decides to reward the Republicans with control of Congress after the ........mess they made!

    In NOvember vote NO for the Party of NO....... no new ideas, no cooperation, no new solutions..... etc.

    September 23, 2010 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  6. Chessnutz of Liverpool NY

    Go Joe!
    I met Joe for the first time three weeks ago. This man is sharp and he knows what it is like to be a regular working taxpayer. We need more citizen representation in Washington. Joe is not just another pretty face he is real.
    Go Joe!

    September 23, 2010 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  7. Jason B.

    I know it's been almost 20 years since we first met Hillary, but the years of stress are really starting to show. She seems to have really aged a lot recently.

    September 23, 2010 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  8. Tony

    Oh snap! Things are worse than I thought for the Progressives. First they loose Kennedy's seat, now they're in danger of losing Clinton's seat. You guys are on your way out!

    September 23, 2010 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  9. jim

    I hope Joe can pull this upset off but I just don't believe the people of New York are ready to vote other than their liberal ways.

    September 23, 2010 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  10. stufit

    Wouldn't that be sweet, got Kennedy's already. Come on America, totally repudiate and obliviate the liberals.

    September 23, 2010 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  11. Danny Cali

    Good to have Democratic Senate in New York State, keep support Democratic Party they the one that going to have the future for Americans and all the Country. VOTE "no" TO THE PARTY OF BIG "NO" all the time.

    September 23, 2010 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  12. Adam

    Anything is possible even in a liberal district in New York. I would have to say they would not be missing much without Gillibrand.

    September 23, 2010 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |