September 23rd, 2010
12:29 PM ET
4 years ago

Two polls tell very different story in NY governor race

(CNN) – Two days. Two very different polls in New York State's gubernatorial battle

A Siena College survey released Thursday indicates that New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, the Democrat's nominee, holds a commanding 57 to 24 percent lead over Republican nominee Carl Paladino, a businessman and developer from Buffalo.

But a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday paints a very different story, with Cuomo holding a 49 to 43 percent advantage over Paladino.

So what gives?

The Siena Research Institute poll was of registered voters, while the Quinnipiac survey questioned the much narrower pool of likely voters.

"The difference between the polls may be due in part to the different base of voters who were surveyed, but that's probably not the only explanation," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "One poll has nearly twice as many undecided voters as the other, and there may be a number of methodological differences that also account for the variation in the horse race numbers."

Cuomo is the son of former three-term New York Gov. Mario Cuomo. The winner of November's election will succeed Democratic Gov. David Paterson, who decided against running for a full term in office this year. The Lt. Gov. Paterson succeeded Elliot Spitzer as governor in 2008, after Spitzer stepped down following a prostitution scandal.

Paladino is a graduate of St. Bonaventure University and Syracuse University School of Law. He has built a real estate business worth millions and also remains active in his law practice.

The Siena College poll was conducted September 16-17, with 801 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted September 16-20, with 751 likely voters in New York State questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhauserCNN


Filed under: 2010 • Andrew Cuomo • Carl Paladino • New York • Polls
soundoff (13 Responses)
  1. NYCitizen

    NO MORE POLITICAL FAMILY DYNASTIES!!! NO MORE BUSHES, NO MORE CLINTONS, NO MORE CUOMOS. Get it!!???? Carl Paladino is no more brash, rude, brazen, crass, politically incorrect than any born and bred New Yorker (I can say that, because I am one of them)! He's the one to "shake em up" and clean up Albany! Go Paladino!!!

    September 23, 2010 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  2. Democants

    One is a left wing nut job poll the other is accurate. Kind of like the media. Is it hard to figure out?

    September 23, 2010 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  3. jerseyjon

    This just shows how pointless/useless polls really are.

    September 23, 2010 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  4. Ron in Califonia

    The only poll that counts is taken on Nov. 2nd. Let's throw out incumbents and Life time politicians. Coomon people for the common good!!!

    September 23, 2010 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  5. A True Centrist

    Last 3 Governor polls:

    Survey USA: Cuomo +9
    Sienna: Cuomo +33
    Quinnipiac: Cuomo +6

    Last 3 Senate polls:
    Survey USA: Gillibrand +1
    Siena: Gillibrand +26
    Quinnipiac: Gillibrand +6

    Not hard to see which poll looks out of the ordinary here...nice try Siena but these two races are TIGHT!!

    September 23, 2010 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  6. Dutch/Bad Newz, VA

    These are misleading polls. A racist pig like Paladino is in the margin of error? Give me a break. Cuomo is clearly going to win this election by a 10 point margin. And this new Ticker format sucks!!!!

    September 23, 2010 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  7. T'SAH from Virginia

    Yep – Once upon a time there were POLLS. The POLLS were NEVER right.......... The End!!

    T'SAH from Virginia – the Liberal and proud of it – and I approve this message!!

    NEW YORK will remain BLUE!!!

    September 23, 2010 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  8. Why are Rush and his Mafia in hiding all the time?

    Andrew is a great American and Paladino is a nut case.

    September 23, 2010 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  9. paut0012

    Are any of these polls accurate? I ask this because I am fairly certain they do not call cell phones. Most people under the age of 35 only use a cell phone. In fact, I don't know anyone (besides my female relatives in their fifties and sixties) with a landline.

    September 23, 2010 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  10. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    This guy Paladino is very creepy or he's on some serious meds. I think it would be wise for voters let him continue to do what he does best, law and real estate. Oh, I forgot, real estate isn't doing so great.

    September 23, 2010 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  11. Daniel Schlafer

    Two polls in two days still show Andrew Cuomo in the leade to become the next governor of New Tork . Carl Paladino is the perfect Tea Party candidate and has a chance if his vote turns out . I beleive Cuomo ha s floundered as the inherent son of Mario Cuomo and toook a long time to assert himself in New York . It sure helps that he has been a successful New York state Attorney Gemeral . Should Cuomo get the vote and be elected governer of New York , he may come to national prominence and shime ?

    September 23, 2010 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  12. db

    I hope Coumo Looses, then maybe he can run in California. . Maybe we can work out a Trade for our Candidates, on Ebay.

    -DB

    September 23, 2010 02:36 pm at 2:36 pm |
  13. Ponder this.,....

    Surely the people of New York are smarter than to elect this "gangsta wannabe" as their Governor. He is beyond rude, crude and nasty. Surely one who admits that he's not politically correct and will never be, makes one wonder about how he would fulfill the diplomacy and tact required of such an office. His proven choice of humour (bestiality, racism and lack of class) makes one wonder how the party of "family values" could have primaried him in the first place, or..... maybe that stated Tea Party virtue is just for show????

    September 23, 2010 02:49 pm at 2:49 pm |