September 24th, 2010
11:45 AM ET
4 years ago

CNN Poll: GOP has big advantage

(CNN) - With a little over a month until Election Day, Congressional Republicans have the clear advantage with voters nationwide, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll says.

In a generic ballot matchup, the Republican leads the Democrat by 9 points among likely voters - 53 percent to 44 percent.

That spread is slightly smaller than the 55-42 percent advantage Democrats had at the same point in 2006, ahead of their major electoral victories that handed them control of both the House and Senate.

But the new survey suggests Republicans could be in even a better position than they were in 1994, when the GOP stunned the Democrats with their gain of 54 seats in the House and eight seats in the upper chamber. In a generic matchup poll in late September of 1994, Republicans only had a 3-point edge over Democrats, 48-45 percent.

The new CNN poll also suggests more than 20 percent of likely voters have still yet to make up their minds when it comes to whom they will vote for – a margin that could ultimately decide whether Democrats hold onto tenuous majorities.

The new poll interviewed 1,010 adult Americans by telephone between September 21-23. It carries a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.


Filed under: 2010
soundoff (70 Responses)
  1. malabar

    why do dems always cite polls when its to their advantage and dismiss them when they show repubs gaining? btw, it pleases me to no end to piss off the blind sheep on both sides for being PRO LIFE AND PRO GAY MARRIAGE. bigots on the right, murderers on the left, u all have so much hate in common. que funny

    September 24, 2010 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  2. Canuck

    If you make less than $250,000 and still vote Republican I think you have failed to understand what is going on.

    September 24, 2010 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  3. Kevin

    I call 1,010 people and this is suppose to represent a country with over 300 million. Please Cnn stop with the stupid polls. You are waisting your and all of our time. The only thing you can believe is the election results. Whether you are a Democract or a Republican these polls are put out there to get people to talk and for CNN to get ratings. 1,010 people do not a country of 300 million make. Plus Cnn can you ask real question and title your article correctly. Your article should state " With 20% still undecided Republican might not take control". Do a poll on that.

    September 24, 2010 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  4. shoegazer

    "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it"........Take a good,long hard look at what the worst administration in the countries history did to said country during the Bush years and ask yourself this question: Are those
    who represent the Republican Party any different now than then? If anything,they have become more extreme and polarizing in the present.How sad.

    September 24, 2010 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  5. bern

    CNN stop with the faux news approach. You guys are getting just as bad as Fox. 20% undecided and you say a single digit lead is a "big advantage"? I say you folks are full of it.

    September 24, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  6. Chessnutz of Liverpool NY

    These responses are pathetic. When will you folks stop thinking this is about us and them, my party or the highway? There is not true difference between the two parties. These political parties are business and they play you folks for your money that is all. They could care less about you, your job, your family, your freedom or your values. Have you ever heard from your party unless they are asking for donations? NO does you representative know your name if he saw you on the street? Would president Obama know you? NO they do not care about you one bit!

    September 24, 2010 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  7. Independent going for Democrats

    Polls polls polls. Weren't they tied just 2 days ago and then yesterday, democrats were ahead.

    September 24, 2010 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  8. Jim

    Sure the Republicans have the big advantage. They have the advantage over ignorant voters. Anyone with half a brain can
    see that! Americans have a short memory. A flea is smarter then the Republican voter.

    September 24, 2010 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  9. Lisa P

    On another CNN poll I notice that the "likely voter" category excludes non-whites and registered voters 18-34 years old. Is that true for this poll too? It seems to me that that definition would skew the results to a large degree since you're not counting voters who as a group tend to to vote Democratic.

    September 24, 2010 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  10. Michael from Ventura

    I can't believe the American people have such short memories! The same people who gave gwb a 23% approval rating are now asking for more of the same? Wake up and look at the FACTS America!

    September 24, 2010 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  11. The Unsub

    whatever....just vote Democrat!

    September 24, 2010 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  12. James

    Obama is in the tank but what has any republican done that offers anything different. Sounds like the fish are so mad at the frying pan, there going to jump in to the fire.

    September 24, 2010 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  13. Shari from Madison

    Oh great! I'd like to meet the people who want the republican's in power again. I'd tell them that it was the 8 years of a Republican president that got us into this mess in the first place. But I don't think they would even acknowledge this as the people who are so dissatified are the people who forget this and forget that republican policies are racist and only good for the Rich and Powerful.

    September 24, 2010 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  14. Peace-B-Still

    President Obama is doing a great job. Keep your head up high and continue to fight for the middle class Mr. President.. Greed, wealth and name calling will not defead why President Obama was elected to office. There is a greater force behind the screen. Once the nay sayer figure it out, then their eyes will be opened. Thank God there is hope for this true Gentile. There is war down here and there is war in Heaven.

    September 24, 2010 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  15. Palin and Beck, like jim and tammy baker, they are good at taking money from fools.

    It is amazing how stupid many Americans have become. Obama has turned things around. We are gaining jobs – not losing jobs. Yes it is slow, but for crying out loud, He hasn't even been in office 2 years yet and we were in a huge hole when he took over. He has had to fight the repubs every step of the way and has had to settle for less because of the repubs and a few blue dogs who were bought off by special interests. Having to settle for less such as not having a public option in the end will seriously hurt everyone. But the party of NO does not care. They only represent the big money special interest.

    Obama plans look more long term which is what we should be doing. Repubs only look at things to satisfy their short term greed and care nothing about the damage to the middle class, our future competitiveness in the world, or the environment. We should have been off foreign oil a long time ago but we never will be if the repubs are in charge. With the repub plans – nothing will improve. Education will get worse, more and more people will go without health insurance, Medicare and SS benefits will be reduced or eliminated. The top 1% of the country will continue to gain huge wealth by screwing the middle class just like they did throughout all of the Bush years. We should be voting for democrats all the way to give Obama a chance to fix things for the middle class. If the repubs take over then the middle class should bend over and prepared to be screwed but this time even worse than during the bush years. Just watch how fast unempoyment goes up.

    September 24, 2010 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  16. Annie, Atlanta

    I am beginning to think corporate owned media is dictating what we should and should not be doing. I know it's blame the guys in office. That's our idiotic mentality. But when the media day in and day out is telling us the GOP will win big, is that in an effort to get us to go along with the program. It would be in corporate's best interests that the GOP win big, of course. Lack of regulation, lack of taxes, shipping jobs overseas while the taxpayers in his country pay you to do so. No taxes on inheritance. An extension of the Bush tax cuts. Charter Schools where the rich donate to start it up and double their investment every 7 years, while the taxpayers pay them to do it. What a scam they've got going on and are paying big bucks to protect. It's all about greed, and the GOP lead the way in that field. God help us.

    September 24, 2010 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  17. maf

    1010 adults polled!!!! One Thousand and Ten!!!
    You can make the numbers say anything you want. Get out to vote everybody.
    Exercise your franchise.
    If you don't like what's going on VOTE! If you agree with the way things are headed VOTE!
    If apathy rules the mid-term elections, then America will be the loser.

    September 24, 2010 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  18. Frustrated Cincinnati

    What have the Republicans contributed to the governing process over the last two years? Absolutely NOTHING!!! They opposed everything unanimously and have capitalized on conservative white America's fear of anything not Christian or Caucasian. It's easy to be a critic and point fingers from the sidelines. I wish the Democrats were more aggressive in defending their accomplishments. The list is long but they've allowed the repubs to win the soundbite war in the media making positives sound negative. Give healthcare to 30million people, its a "government takeover " killing grandma. Every economist agrees the stimulus turned around what would have been a depression and kept some people working. "Big spending government " . Obama gave a tax cut to 98% of Americans and nobody touts It. Money for pell grants, education reform, credit card companies and banks can't take advantage of u as easily, by next summer we'll be out of war, wall street regulation, the most transparent whitehouse to date, benefits for the jobless, possible mid east peace etc etc...Oh yea, a f-ing Nobel peace prize. I mean wtf do u want, he can't walk on water.

    September 24, 2010 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  19. emmett brown

    The Polls are by phone, I thought most people only use cell phones. Now I understand why the numbers are like this, who still has regular phones in this day and age...We are going to Poll in the voting booth, don't have time to answer phones....Obama keep your head up, these polls are bogus.....

    September 24, 2010 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
  20. Eric

    People... it's simple. Ask yourself, are you better off now than you were when Democrats took control of congress in January 2007?

    If so, then you know who to vote for.
    If not, you know who to vote AGAINST.

    September 24, 2010 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  21. joe

    The only advantage the Republicans have is false reporting by cnn & fox news. Why don't cnn and fox news explain to the american people the 200 page photo album the republicans have "plague to america" aka "contract for america" how this will benefit the average american who have been suffering for the last 12 years. These two news broadcast should become CNN/FOX News.

    September 24, 2010 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  22. emmett brown

    And for the media, not everyone will be brainwashed the this bogus reporting. I will be at the polls in Nov. these story do nothing but get me fired up.. And for the sorry Sen. Dem. stand up, people making under $250,000 a year are not upset about taxing the upper 2%... And for people who agree with the Rep's play a lot of Lotto, you are going to need it.. I can't wait for the Rep's to take over and then we will see again only two classes, Rich and Poor.

    September 24, 2010 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  23. Mike

    You know it's bad for liberals when CNN polls don't lean in their favor. This means it's going to be much worse than even the lib media expects. November can't come soon enough. Get these out-of-touch incumbents out of office.

    September 24, 2010 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  24. ron

    Obama has tried to fix the economy, healthcare, and jobs, while the GOP has done nothing for the last ten years, Who would vote those GOP Clowns back in power.

    September 24, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  25. REG in AZ

    The Republican cry now is, “we know what to do – put us in charge”. The rational response to that of course is to question why they would have kept it secret so long and just criticized and obstructed everything. They have consistently put their political ambitions above all else, at any cost to the people, and have said and done everything to rationalize their positions and to manipulate public opinion – without hesitation or conscience. Why should anyone now believe something has changed? No, their concentration actually has constantly been on just being ‘puppets’ for Special Interests and the select few who strongly support them and who ‘pull their strings’ and there is nothing to indicate there has been any change in that. They want to repeal all of the changes already made, which would put us right back to where we were, and they want us to believe then they would turn around and make appropriate changes, those that they have strongly faulted and resisted all along and that their supporters don’t want. They may now admit that changes are really required but with their history and demonstrated loyalty to the very few, while giving only subterfuge to the many, there isn’t any real justification to believe that they want anything other than to return to ‘more of the same’ that cost us so much and that serves only the few. There is simply no honest or conscientious base established to justify trusting them, in fact, the last ten years has provided ample justification to not trust them. Their rhetoric is completely deceptive and totally insulting in their arrogantly thinking that people are just so easily conned.

    There is no hope offered in ever returning to ‘more of the same’ as that only satisfies the very few. What we need is the changes already being implemented and to see them adjusted and fine tuned and definitely not repealed which would leave us with no progress. The Republicans, regular or Tea Party, offer nothing but a return to ‘more of the same’ and to firmly reject them now, along with their self-serving subterfuge aimed to manipulate, should prompt them to understand it is about honestly, conscientiously and responsibly representing the people, not just the few.

    September 24, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
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