September 26th, 2010
04:44 PM ET
4 years ago

Poll shows Senate race looking bleak for Crist

(CNN) - A new poll out of Florida offers the state's three Senate candidates some feedback on the effectiveness of their campaigns–but none of it is good for Charlie Crist.

The state's Republican-turned-independent governor is trailing Republican Marco Rubio by a 40-28 point margin among likely voters, according to a Mason-Dixon poll released Saturday. Democratic Rep. Kendrick Meek has advanced five points in the last month to 23 percent.

Those five points have come at the expense of Crist, who has dropped five points since the same poll was conducted in August. Rubio has gained two points in the last 30 days.

"In essence, Crist is bleeding Democrats to Meek and independents to both Meek and Rubio," Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker said in a statement, adding that Rubio "only needs to gain 2-3 points to wrap up the race."

Crist's favorability rating has also dropped to 35 percent–its lowest since October 2002, according to the poll. His unfavorable rating has risen one point in the last month to 36 percent–the highest in the 13 years the question has been asked about Crist.

Both Rubio and Meek have made gains in their favorability ratings over the last month. Meek's unfavorable score has dropped 10 points in that time.

According to Coker, Rubio is "in a solid position to win," Crist is "fading" and Meek is "in a tight position."

"He has an outside chance to pull off a major comeback, but it is largely predicated on his ability to convince Crist's new-found Democratic friends that the former Republican's campaign is hopeless and it is time for them to come back to their party," Coker said. "That will be a tough challenge, but it is now the only apparent way for Rubio to lose."

The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted September 20-22 by phone with 625 registered voters. It has a sampling error of plus/minus 4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2010 • Charlie Crist • Kendrick Meek • Marco Rubio
soundoff (14 Responses)
  1. vic, Nashville TN

    Florida please don’t make the same mistake again we suffered enough 8 years

    September 26, 2010 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  2. Educator 36

    Charlie rescued teachers in Florida from pay cuts, retirement cuts, performance pay based on FCAT scores and losing tenure voted by the republican legistature and we will not forget. Teachers will rescue Charlie for his stand against these repressive measures and he will prevail in November.

    September 26, 2010 05:00 pm at 5:00 pm |
  3. Brian

    Anyone but Rubio...Please God!

    September 26, 2010 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  4. FloridaVoter

    This registered Democrat will be supporting Charlie Crist in November. I've convinced my husband and daughter to support Crist also,

    September 26, 2010 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  5. k

    Nobody asked me in this poll. I'm voting for Charlie.

    September 26, 2010 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  6. Adalbert

    Crist is Florida’s best choose for the US senate without any doubt. He is not a crook and he is not idealog.

    September 26, 2010 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  7. T'SAH from Virginia

    FLORIDA – Don't believe the HYPE!!!! The POLLS always lean towards the RepubliCAN'Ts and this is a perfect example!!! The POLLS are in favor with who they believe will GET out and VOTE – they are swaying towards the PUBS for that reason. Likely voters – registered voters – voters, voters – NO ONE KNOWS who's going to vote and who will stay home.

    Democrats have a tendency to get FIRED UP towards the end and as long as we can get out there and VOTE, we will WIN.... Crist or Meek is better than Rubio!!

    FL DEMOCRATS – UNITE the BASE and WIN this RACE in November, 2010!! Get the FLIP-FLOPPING Independents back on our side!!

    September 26, 2010 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  8. annette

    i am NOt giving my vote to rubio. sorry. all he claims he wants to do is vote against obama, healthcare, immigration, taxes – you get my point. crist has done far more for florida than the other two.

    September 26, 2010 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  9. southern cousin

    We sure wouldn't want to have teachers paid based on their performance like other professionals or regular business or , loosing their tenure if they are not performing. They and all the other unions are "entitled" to steal the public's money because they are liberal Democrats, like SEIU steals elections. The NEA is dedicated to dumbing down this country, that is why we have so many democrats. So glad to hear that Crist saved the the state of Florida from excellence in education and will keep it below the mediocre level so her could get the votes of a corrupt union.

    September 26, 2010 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  10. ED FL

    Crist has to get in Rubios back yard and let the 2/3 of Miamis population are immigrants or can be classified as immigrants including Rubio. Let the public there know that Rubio wants to take away all the freebees that most of them receive or received over the years, Free education Free food stamps Free medical for them and their families for years. The Arizona law he wants along with the GOP wanting to do away with social security and free medicare that most all Cubans or CUBAN/AMERICANS have received. Let them know what the GOP agenda wants to do. Crist and Meek have to do that or they all will be looking for jobs and in particular the free bees they are receiving.

    September 26, 2010 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  11. Tony

    If Crist can't win, and knows he can't win; he should throw his support behind Meek and actively campaign for him.

    Crist said he got into the race as an independent because Rubio didn't represent the people of Florida, and he still doesn't. Anything but that nutbag Rubio!

    September 26, 2010 07:08 pm at 7:08 pm |
  12. Ronald Morris

    Crist believes that being an incumbent entitles him to reelection despite his politics. Really no difference from Charlie Rangel and Lisa Murkowski. The seats in the Senate and House belong to the citizen-voters, not to just any politician who held the office previously. Do an inadequate job, get replaced. No matter what party you are.

    September 26, 2010 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  13. ronalde

    the real people who vote will show up in november and crist will win.

    September 26, 2010 07:26 pm at 7:26 pm |
  14. NYC REPUB

    I think in the end Crist will win. Meek has had help from Bill Clinton, which is huge...........However it may still not be enough to win........DEMS will have to choose between supporting Meeks, and Crist..........Both their supporters, will have to drop one for the other to win....Or Rubio Will win........not good for Florida.

    September 26, 2010 07:41 pm at 7:41 pm |