September 27th, 2010
08:43 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll Watch: Trouble for Patrick in Massachusetts

(CNN) -Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick – a former member of the Clinton administration and key supporter of President Barack Obama - finds himself in a statistical dead heat with his GOP challenger a little more than a month before Election Day.

According to the new survey conducted for the Boston Globe by the University of New Hampshire, Patrick leads Republican businessman Charles Baker by a statistically insignificant 1-point margin, 35-34 percent. Independent candidate Timothy Cahill, the current state treasurer and a former Democrat, is drawing 11 percent while Green-Rainbow candidate Jill Stein is at 4 percent. Fourteen percent said they are undecided.

The latest survey shows a drop for Patrick, who in a Boston Globe poll earlier this summer led Baker by a 38-31 percent margin.

Adding to Patrick's troubles is the fact momentum is clearly on the GOP side: 78 percent of Republican voters say they are excited about the race while only 37 percent of Democrats say the same.

The poll surveyed 522 Massachusetts adults between September 17-22. The sampling error for the telephone survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

The survey comes five days after tempers raged at a Massachusetts gubernatorial debate Tuesday, hosted by CNN's Chief National Correspondent John King.


Filed under: 2010 • Massachusetts
soundoff (14 Responses)
  1. stufit

    Excellent news. Another liberal about to have to go back to the unions begging for a job.

    September 27, 2010 09:00 am at 9:00 am |
  2. Bill

    What goes around comes around.

    September 27, 2010 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  3. Fair is Fair

    Deval Patrick is definitely on the "must go" list.

    In order to combat one-party rule at the State level in MA, we absolutely have to elect a Republican governor. The vast majorities held by democrats in the State house and senate pretty much rubber-stamp whatever Patrick wants. He increased our sales tax 25% – that's right, 25%... and has pretty much said that the gas tax is next. He put through legislation that applies the sales tax to alcoholic beverages... which, on the surface doesn't sound bad, but when you consider that there's already a huge excise tax on alcohol, he in effect is taxing a tax.

    P.S. If a Boston Globe poll has him in a tie, he's in BIG trouble. Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

    Dump Deval in 2010.

    September 27, 2010 01:27 pm at 1:27 pm |
  4. King

    I guest every one is believing fox news that we are still in a recession, the health care policy is bankrupting our country, obama is taxing us too much, he is a muslim etc. Then you wonder why these people are so brain washed. The great recession started in 2007 because of bush tax cuts. When the dems took over in 2008 their was little they could do to stop the ball rolling with bush vetoing every preventive measures they put out their. Now these emotional people who wont see logic will put the gop back in power to finish us off with the same policy. Yah help us.

    September 27, 2010 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  5. kyle from ohio

    you are reporting news based on "The poll surveyed 522 Massachusetts adults between September 17-22. The sampling error for the telephone survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points." as it the absolute truth shame on you CNN. again this guy may or may not be in trouble within his state, but your reporting is baseless, 522 people on the landline phone. shame on your lazy reporting. It is certain your own investigation reporting team is useless to your organization.

    September 27, 2010 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  6. Patty2012

    Too bad Patrick can't get Acorn to find him some voters! Like dead people and convicts in prison ?

    September 27, 2010 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  7. Jim

    And this is based on a Boston Globe Poll who always show their politcal interest in a positive or equal light for regardless of the truth. Their polls always showed Martha Coakley in the lead against Scott Brown even when it was grim. Their reporting was similar. So, in a real poll Deval is probably 15 Points behind.

    September 27, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  8. T'SAH from Vriginia

    Why is it ALWAYS – "TROUBLE" for a Democrat in the HEADLINES and NOT for a Republican when the Republican is LOSING – the Republican is in TROUBLE!

    "The poll surveyed 522 Massachusetts adults between September 17-22. The sampling error for the telephone survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points..."

    So 522 'leaning-RIGHT' Republicans were surveyed and it has a sampling error rate of 4.3% and Patrick is leading by 1% – Jeez, Come on Now – this is a GREAT INDICATOR that there is "TROUBLE FOR PATRICK IN MASSACHUSETTES!! DEMOCRATS – Don’t BELIEVE the HYPE – it’s called ‘discouragement’ and they want us to fall for it!!!

    deMocrAts in MA – STATE the CASE – expose what the RepubliCAN'Ts are really about – UNITE the BASE and mean it and we will WIN this RACE in 2010!!! MA is a BLUE STATE – Come on Now!!

    This is the real T'SAH from Virginia and I approve this message!!

    September 27, 2010 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  9. Uncle Beasley

    Yes, I'd say Patrick is in trouble. Charlie Baker is a businessman with no political history. He was a complete unknown to most of the electorate a few months ago.

    As usual, the Democrats are squabbling among themselves. Patrick has been unable to get along with the overwhelmingly Democratic legislature. They passed a big unpopular sales tax hike, and now there's a rollback referendum on the ballot as well. The legislature couldn't agree on the little details of a casino gambling bill that would have brought in much-needed revenue, because the House Speaker wanted slot-machine pork for his district, and the Senate wouldn't go along with it. While this critical debate was going on, the Governor was in the Middle East on some boondoggle.

    The state runs better with a Republican in the Governor's office to counteract the Democratic legislature, anyway.

    September 27, 2010 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  10. diridi

    Bush backer is in good position????shame America. Did they forget GOP practically sold America to China, and Saudi Arabia. Did they forget, Kuwait war America helped and they are pouring investments in western Europe....America did not get a dime, nor did it benefit with Wars started by GOP thugs.....America if you have any brain, do not vote for GOP thugs...Tea Party Republican Thugs...just vote directly to any Democrats....period....God bless you, and the nation, the USA!!! I still say, pres. obama is doing excellent.....If GOP thugs win, they may even repeal Health Care legislation, shame, shame GOP thugs....shame........

    September 27, 2010 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  11. gt

    another govenor who can not control spending and who is so far left even mass. is turning to the right ,,,

    September 27, 2010 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  12. Nelson, Colorado Springs Co

    why is it always the democrate in trouble, Why can't be the Republican businessman Charles Baker in trouble

    September 27, 2010 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  13. All the news that is fit to omit

    I look forward to voting 25 times to get this "Together we can" Oweblamo fraud out of office as THIS EXPERIMENT BRUTALLY FAILED AS WELL.

    Axelfraud was his campaign manager and ran the same bulljunk as "sloganeering"m which fooled the libtards in this stupid and easily fooled libtard state.

    Deval – Together WE DIDN'T – YOUR NEXT.

    September 27, 2010 02:50 pm at 2:50 pm |
  14. lauralee

    This paper is clearly slanted to the Right. You are suppose to report the news not make it up, or distort it.

    September 27, 2010 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |