(CNN) - A new Pennsylvania Senate poll shows what several others have already confirmed: Democrats are in trouble in the Keystone state.
The latest survey from Muhlenberg College shows former GOP Rep. Pat Toomey with a seven-point lead over Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak among likely voters, 46 to 39 percent.
Toomey's lead spread is consistent with several recent polls, including one from CNN and Time Magazine.
The Muhlenberg College survey also has bad news for President Obama. The president's approval rating in this key swing state now stands at an anemic 37 percent. Obama carried Pennsylvania in 2008 by 11 points, 55 to 44 percent.
The Muhlenberg poll, conducted September 18-23, surveyed 445 likely voters by telephone and carries a sampling error of plus or minus five percent.