September 29th, 2010
04:26 PM ET
4 years ago

CNN/Time Poll: Democrats on top in California governor and Senate contests

(CNN) - A new poll indicates that the Democrats are opening up leads in the California battles for senator and governor.

According to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Wednesday, 52 percent of likely voters in the Golden State say they support Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer, with 43 percent backing Republican challenger Carly Fiorina.

Full results (pdf)

A USC/Los Angeles Times poll released over the past week put the three-term senator's lead at eight points, with a California Field Poll giving Boxer a six-point edge.

Among a larger sampling of registered voters, the CNN/Time survey indicates that Boxer leads Fiorina by 19 points, 56 to 37 percent. Boxer's share of the vote among registered voters is up eight percentage points since the beginning of the month.

According to the poll, Fiorina holds a 14-point advantage among independents likely to vote in the general election.

"But Boxer has been able to counter that deficit with big gains among California women, particularly college-educated women," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said.

"Boxer's support among men remained virtually unchanged, but among all female voters, she has picked up 14 points since early September."

Fiorina, the former Hewlett Packard CEO, earlier this year won a three-way battle for the state's GOP Senate nomination.

In the fight for governor, the poll indicates that 52 percent of likely voters back California Attorney General and former Gov. Jerry Brown, the Democratic nominee, with 43 percent supporting former eBay CEO Meg Whitman, the GOP nominee.

The USC/Los Angeles Times survey taken last week indicated Brown held a five-point advantage over Whitman, with the Field Poll done at the same time showing the candidates tied at 41 percent.

According to the CNN/Time poll, Brown leads Whitman 52 to 39 percent among a larger sampling of registered voters. Brown's 13-point advantage is up from a two-point deficit in the early September survey.

"Virtually all of Brown's additional support comes from voters who attended college," Holland noted. "That helps to neutralize the 13-point advantage among independents that Whitman currently has."

The winner in November will follow moderate Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who is term limited.

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted September 24-28, with 1,507 adults, including 1,325 registered voters in California and 786 likely voters, questioned by telephone.

The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for registered voters and plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report


Filed under: 2010 • California • CNN Polls • Polls
soundoff (26 Responses)
  1. michaelam

    Keeping California BLUE one candidate at a time!
    Jerry Brown....2010!
    Barbara Boxer 2010!

    A vote for any and ALL Republicans is a vote for destruction, ruin, and third-world status!

    September 29, 2010 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
  2. vic, Nashville TN

    “Whitman is currently in a neck-and-neck race with Brown.” Morning in CNN

    CNN you are slow last Sunday we know democrats leads in the poll

    September 29, 2010 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  3. DIANA

    I hope these people actually vote. We Californians can't afford Fiorini or Whitman.

    September 29, 2010 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  4. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    It's time for the the Republicans to pull out their so-called pledge to America that replaces the Bible they swore upon when they took their oath of office.

    September 29, 2010 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  5. T'SAH from Virginia

    OMG – the weather CHANGED and the WINNERS do not look like WINNERS anymore!!! It was a HOT TEA PARTY/RepubliCAN'T Summer but that is slowly FIZZING OUT!!! lol

    I know we are doing much better than what the polls says because they always lean towards the RIGHT – so this is something to be proud about!!!

    DEMOCRATS – STATE the CASE and mean it – UNITE the BASE and believe in it – WIN the RACE and be PROUD of it in November 2010!!!

    This is T'SAH and I approve this message!!

    September 29, 2010 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  6. jim

    If voters in California want Jerry Brown for governor again after having him before than so be it. However ,Boxer is another case. She has to be one of the most inept people that i know and hasn't done anything with her time in the Senate.What a big disappointment !!!!

    September 29, 2010 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  7. Michelle

    I was going to vote for Meg Whitman, but I am not going to vote for Jerry Brown. Too many faces with Meg. I at least know what I am getting with Jerry. I was always going to vote for Boxer, so that has not changed.

    September 29, 2010 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  8. Michelle

    REVISED – TYPE "O" I was going to vote for Meg Whitman, but I am now going to vote for Jerry Brown. Too many faces with Meg. I at least know what I am getting with Jerry. I was always going to vote for Boxer, so that has not changed.

    September 29, 2010 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  9. Rickster

    Californians must be really slow learners. Democrats have gotten their state into the deplorable condition that it is and, because democrats are so thick in the head and they have allowed so many useless freeloaders to take over state policy, they are going to vote for..........democrats! lol...wow, what will it take??

    September 29, 2010 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  10. Irvington 78

    Why is it that no one metions that Brown was Governer back in the 70's and 80's. He to was term limited. I like and still like Gerry Brown. He also came out against Prop 13, then back tracked.
    Boxer on the other hand, come on how could someone go to college and vote for her... mini mouse would be better

    September 29, 2010 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  11. GOP Scorched Earth Politics

    Well the GOP chose 2 of their very worst candidates to run because they were not likely to win regardless. Plus now we are finally learning who Meg Whitman and Fiorina really are. Typical GOP hypocrite Whitman is. She hires illegal alien to work as her slave...errr...housekeeper for 9 years while crying about too many illegal aliens and not enough jobs for California (citizens). As if she didn't know her housekeeper wasn't Mexican? What a joke Meg.

    September 29, 2010 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  12. King

    THe repugs want to give money to the corporation which is the supply and take it from the people who is the demand. How can this be a capitalistic economy if the people have no money to demand good and the corporation who have the money are not hiring because they get no demand so they sit on their tax break money.

    September 29, 2010 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  13. Tinkers Dam

    Proves one thing.....You'll never get the stupid out of California.

    September 29, 2010 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  14. Julie in CA

    This is very welcomed news! Watched Brown/Whitman debate last night. Whitman wouldn't stray from her 3 talking points; stiff and rehearsed. She's clearly not equipped to deal with this political environment, it's not a little 15,000 employee company where all she basically had to do was project manage on a relatively small scale. And Fiorina? Forget it; fired former HP CEO....say no more, I worked there! It was a great company before she screwed it up and off-shored our jobs.

    September 29, 2010 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  15. Johnny

    Who does surveys of registered voters? Likely voter surveys are the only ones worth doing. If you don't do it properly, you get wacky results like this one!

    September 29, 2010 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  16. CA BS

    Well put Tinkers Dam! I'm seriously contemplating leaving California if both Boxer and Brown win. There is little hope for the future of this state if the majority of the people here think the status quo is going to get us out of the mess we're in. Something in the water maybe? Sorry folks, I'll be one less taxpayer willing to contribute to the bottomless pit of Government spending in CA. You might be saying "good riddance", but how many will it take before the whole system collapses on itself? Or maybe it already has and we just haven't been told!

    September 29, 2010 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  17. Independent going for Democrats

    I saw that debate. It was like watching her infomercials.

    September 29, 2010 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  18. Juan Rodriguez

    Better hope the repubicans will not win. They will try to cut my welfare and foodstamps!!!!!!!!!!!!!! And they try to pass imigration laws. Repubicans have no place in America.

    September 29, 2010 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  19. George of the jungle

    good for you california. I guess the repos think they can just buy a political seat. Thats what they have is money. Our money. Boxer is a true conservationist. I bet she would know if she hired an illegal. the repos are hipocrats. vote them out. California is stupid if if keeps the repos in. Oh i forgot now who is the governor who as helped to bankrupt californis. Is he a repo????? I do believe Rickster you jerk. Brown has more sense than both broads put togeather and that is scary.

    September 29, 2010 07:57 pm at 7:57 pm |
  20. JimBob

    Great, keep the Lib's out there. Calf should support Calif, unfortunatly the rest of the country has to support all the Pelosi loving..immoral..anti-american..weirdo's.

    September 29, 2010 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  21. Dave

    bankruptcy forever in Democratic California.......

    September 29, 2010 10:16 pm at 10:16 pm |
  22. simi

    That's not what they said on the news. They are now even. CNN is such a Democrat, we might as well be living in the White House, Russia or Iran when we patronize this network. All the anchors on CNN are black, bown, Jews and Democrats. I have go to several networks to get a halfway complete picture anymore. Unbiased, honest reporting doesn't exist on this or its sister networks, they have to follow the boss and Hollywoods left, progressives politics. ......or what the White House wants them to believe.

    September 29, 2010 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  23. simi

    What would you rather have, a politician who pays for his/her own campaign, taking no money from special interests, or a politician taking funds from, unions, lobbyists and special interests? We are tired of the rich leading our country, but I don't like being led around by big business that could turn its back on us at any minute and go' off shore' or to China. Hummmmm...the
    rich.....or big business stabbing us in the back?

    September 29, 2010 10:27 pm at 10:27 pm |
  24. California Independent

    Nobody cares for the poor trash living outside of California - you're all garbage individuals and so is the GOP slime living inland. Coastal California has the most wealth, the highest quality of life, and the most educated populace in the USA. And yeah, we're liberals. So just shut up and go away. Stop moving here; we are the center of the universe before you bother us with your blather. (Try a day without Google, facebook Apple, all of your TV and movies, to say nothing of our cuisine, etc.) Just shut up and eff off, trash.

    September 29, 2010 10:52 pm at 10:52 pm |
  25. Patrick from Minnesota

    It's all because the candidates running for the GOP are corporate suck-ups (literally) to the Tea Party. They should at least be tied with the Democrats. But hey, I'd take Boxer and Brown any day over those rich neo-cons.

    September 29, 2010 11:16 pm at 11:16 pm |
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