September 30th, 2010
03:14 PM ET
4 years ago

Obama-Clinton 2012?

(CNN) - So what if Secretary of State Hillary Clinton launched a primary challenge against President Barack Obama for the Democratic party's 2012 presidential nomination?

Yes, that's highly unlikely. But what if?

Well, Gallup asked the question, and their new poll, released Thursday, indicates that 52 percent of Democrats or Independents who lean towards the Democrats would back Obama in such a hypothetical primary contest, with 37 percent supporting Clinton and one in ten not holding an opinion.


The survey suggests an education divide, with two-thirds of college graduates backing Obama but non-college graduates divided between the president and the secretary of state. According to the poll, more than six in ten self-described liberals back Obama, with Clinton holding a plurality among those who consider themselves conservative Democrats.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted in early August indicated that nearly three-quarters of Democrats said that Obama deserved to be re-nominated. That's 17 points higher than the 57 percent of Democrats in 1994 who said that President Bill Clinton should be re-nominated in 1996.

The Gallup poll was conducted September 25-26, with 859 Democrats and Independent leaning Democrats questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2012 • Hillary Clinton • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (68 Responses)
  1. Rick McDaniel

    Sorry, neither would get my vote, at all. Nor would any other Democrat at this time. The Democrats have become the party of dictatorship, and I oppose them, 100%.

    September 30, 2010 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  2. Willy Brown

    It would be great. 50% dislike Obama and 50% dislike Clinton = 100% they won't get elected.

    September 30, 2010 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  3. 34 Days until Socialism dies in the United States

    Why would Hillary tie her wagon to a loser like Obozo??? People vote for the top of the ticket and Obozo has shown he is a socialist, if not a leftist. He's scheduled to be laid off in November of 2012. Not even Hillary can save this incompetent from being throw out in 2012.

    September 30, 2010 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  4. Sorensen

    If it was the only way to keep the poor, ridiculous, frustrated, disorganised and totally out of date GOP out of government,
    I would vote for Hillary any day.
    She is brilliant, tough, credible and respected worldwide. She is also much better than Obama to analyse (as opposed to
    overanalyse to death), decide and take action inside the given time-frame and the available (as opposed to all) facts.
    Indeed, these happen to be the single most important qualities for a President of the United States.
    Sorry.

    September 30, 2010 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  5. stufit

    Hey libs, want some real fun? Put your pipe down and look up the unemployment rate for each month starting in January, 2001 through the current month. Carefully not when the libs took control of Congress (January, 2006) and when Obozo became president. Fascinating, isn't it. Also since the Dems have failed to extend the Bush Tax Cuts for the Wealthiest Americans (as you have even got your supporter in the MSM calling them), the new raises should henceforth and herewith be called the Obama Tax Increases, don't you agree? I know Oprah is starting soon and you have a full bong, but try to contemplate these things.

    September 30, 2010 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  6. StrategicBob

    what I would like to see is a poll on an Obama-Clinton ticket vs. a Republican ticket. That would mean dumping Biden, or he might withdraw for the good of the party and the nation if it looked like an O-C ticket would fare better than an O-B ticket. The race barrier has been broken. This would help break the gender barrier. Clinton would also bring a degree of foreign policy and executive branch credibility and experience that would be hard for anyone to match.

    Just thinking...

    September 30, 2010 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  7. Stephen

    I would rather see President Obama realize that with the current mood of the country being the way it is that he decide he would not win in 2012 and decide to run. Then ask Hillary Clinton to step down as Secretary of State, appoint Bill Richardson as the new Secretary of State. This would open the door for HIllary to run for president. That would silence a lot of Sarah Palin supporters and the republicans would not know what to do next.
    President Obama could then focus, as a former president, on earning his already received Nobel Peace Prize.

    September 30, 2010 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  8. onlysanetexanleft

    I guess this poll will be buried. The only reason why it was conducted was to try to stir the pot and since President Obama won handedly, its useless to the media. Had the results been reversed, we'd have to her the talking heads babble for the next few weeks.

    September 30, 2010 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  9. Jayden,FL

    Suppose Obama pulls a LBJ Hillary Clinton would be the nominee... just saying.. anyways If she decides to run in 2012 I'll support her.. she was my choice for president in 2008 and I still believe she would've made a far better president than Obama. If she don't run in 2012 I would have other choice but to vote for Obama just to keep a Republican from winning... (Obama/Clinton 2012 I'll definitely vote for dump Biden!)

    September 30, 2010 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  10. Hugo

    Hillary and Bill Clinton back in the Whitehouse, yes America, Change you can believe in...

    September 30, 2010 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  11. Laura, Boston

    Maybe if it were Clinton-Obama I might consider it. Anything with Obama as President isn't working IMHO.

    September 30, 2010 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  12. vic, Nashville TN

    If Hillary run in 2012 I will support her

    September 30, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  13. cane pazzo

    The action is in the Congress. Things that matter to everyday Americans require congressional action. Obama's agenda other than health care has been stymied by the GOP (Goofy Opposition Party) and that is unlikely to change in the near term. His accomplishments to date do not resonant with the electorate. People are fickle and want immediate results.John

    For all the talk of change,it's all been just talk. Running for president and being president are two completely different realities. The most powerful office in the world derives that power from the consent of the people who seem to lack the capacity to do the hard things necessary in turning this country around.

    John Boehner is a Bhoner.

    September 30, 2010 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  14. Alistair

    WOW!! Listen to all the wingnuts hoping this would happen but by then the economy will be in good hands, Hillary will still be secratery of state and Obama wins re-elections.

    September 30, 2010 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  15. Rachel

    Well, If she ran Obama might not get elected whether he won the primary or note. Hillary won't run she doesn't need to after her stint as Secretary of state her and Bill will continue with Clinton Global Initative and play with their future grandchildren. Not sure I would want her to go through the sexism she had to go through in 08 especially from liberal male media who always sang her praises until they had a chance to get their GUY in and pretend they were for women. Naw who needs to see the useless comments like she reminds everyone of their first wife, or she's pimping out her daughter from the liberal media again.

    September 30, 2010 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  16. Four and The Door

    Sorry, but Hillary Clinton is about as exciting as watching paint dry. She was probably a good first lady, but....
    The only thing more spectacular than Obama's historic victory in 2008 was the meteoric crash of his popularity in 2010 when all of his promises went poof.

    I think Democrats have some difficult times ahead figuring out who they will nominate in 2012. ( "Okay, who wants to lose?" )

    September 30, 2010 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  17. John

    Any body is better than SARAN PALIN she not fit too be dog catcher, and she wouldn't win that. The lady is dumb as a box of rocks.

    September 30, 2010 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  18. Average American

    I said that before he even took office. There will be a few others run against him, too. Bill will start critizing him after the elections. oBAMA might even pull an LBJ....

    September 30, 2010 05:42 pm at 5:42 pm |
  19. 610

    Wny would Mrs. Clinton run against President Obama in 2012? Is this ia pipe dream because someone thinks that she would be treated better than this president? Are we forgetting how the Republicans tried to destroy her and her husband's presidency by throwing everything at them? No, she would not be treated any better, in fact it would be worse because enemies of the Clinton would see Mr. Clinton as fair game. Two Clintons for the haters to savage.

    September 30, 2010 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  20. Alex

    As a middle of the road voter, it pains me to say this but Hillary Clinton was by far the most experienced and worthy candidate for president in 2008. Unfortunately, the bubblegum chewing, GED-having, Britney Spears segments of the democratic party turned it into a popularity contest instead of an election.

    All is not lost though, I'm sure Barrack will make a great American Idol judge once he's done in 2012.

    September 30, 2010 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  21. gt

    hillary should of been president,,, we would not be in this disaster were in now....go hillary beat obama

    September 30, 2010 05:43 pm at 5:43 pm |
  22. LacrosseMom(the real one)

    I do not know how many times Secretary Clinton has to say..... "No" She is a great Sec. of State.

    America ANGER is not a .........solution. America when you ask about JOBS look no further than the GOP who voted against a bill this week that would have penalized American Corporations for sending American JOBS overseas! Whose side is the GOP on?

    September 30, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  23. Big_D

    Stocks are recovering, jobs are up, foreclosures are down, and we don’t need the GOP back in charge. I bet you even got a neat note about how your generous health insurance company has new services this month. Now that we are going to limit the amount of the healthcare dollar going to stuff other than healthcare we may see more than the patients heal.

    September 30, 2010 05:46 pm at 5:46 pm |
  24. Albo58

    Hillary is as clueless as her boss so why would any taxpayer consider either? The current POTUS has a consistant record of faillure over the last 2 years and Hillary has never really accomplished squat! Her positions as senator and Secretary of State were just that, positions, she really didn't do anything in those positions. Furthermore, she owes her husband for getting those positions in the first place, not because of anything that she actually did. Ever notice how the Dimwits worship do-nothings?

    September 30, 2010 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  25. john

    That would highly stupid as a ticket with both would surely win.

    September 30, 2010 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
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