October 6th, 2010
04:30 PM ET
4 years ago

CNN/Time Poll: Hat trick for Democrats in New York?

(CNN) – A new poll indicates that the Democrats have double digit leads in all three races at the top of the ballot in New York this year.

According to a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Wednesday, New York State Attorney General and Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Cuomo holds a 14 point advantage over Republican nominee Carl Paladino, a Buffalo businessman and developer.

The poll indicates that Cuomo holds a 51 to 45 percent advantage among Independent voters and that one in five Republicans support him as well. Nearly two-thirds of voters 65 and older back Cuomo.

"Cuomo is beating Paladino among women by nearly two-to-one, but Paladino's has a two-point advantage among men," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "That's within the sampling error, but it suggests that men are responding to Paladino's aggressive campaign style much more favorably than women are."

Cuomo had a 15 point advantage over Paladino in a recent Marist College poll and a 24 point lead in a Siena College survey. Last month Paladino defeated former Rep. Rick Lazio by a wide margin in New York's primary contest for the Republican gubernatorial nomination. Paladino enjoyed the support of many Tea Party activists while Lazio was considered the choice of establishment Republicans.

The CNN/Time poll indicates that Cuomo's 14 point lead among likely voters grows to a more than two to one advantage among the larger sample of registered voters.

The winner in November will succeed Democratic Gov. David Paterson, who earlier this year announced that he would not run for a full term in office.

According to the survey, New York's two incumbent Democratic senators are leading their Republican challengers by double digits. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops Joseph DioGuardi, her GOP opponent, 55 to 41 percent among likely voters. The poll indicates the two candidates are splitting independent voters with Gillibrand grabbing the support of 17 percent of Republicans.

"As you would expect, the Democrat does well in New York City, with Gillibrand winning three-quarters of the vote in the five boroughs. She also has a 13 point lead in the Hudson River Valley, the area she once represented in Congress," says Holland. "But she manages no better than a tie in upstate New York."

Gillibrand was named to replaced Sen. Hillary Clinton early last year after Clinton stepped down to become secretary of state.

DioGuardi is a former congressman and the father of former American Idol judge Karen DioGuardi. The winner in November will serve out the final two years of Clinton's term.

In New York's other Senate contest, the poll indicates that two-term Sen. Chuck Schumer leads his little known GOP challenger Jay Townsend 57 to 41 percent among likely voters.

According to the survey, 45 percent of likely voters approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing in the White House, with 48 percent disapproving. Among registered voters, 54 percent approve of how Obama is handling his duties, with 39 percent giving him a thumbs down.

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted October 1-5, with 1,507 New York State adults, including 1,315 registered voters and 585 likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points for likely voters.

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Full results (pdf)


Filed under: 2010 • CNN Polls • CNN/Time poll • New York
soundoff (14 Responses)
  1. Cosmo

    We have a great choice in NY. One candidate is a complete loose cannon and the other is a tool of the unions. Meanwhile, the state is run by the Speaker of the Assembly who is not required to disclose his income from his law firm partnership. Truely pathetic.

    October 6, 2010 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  2. vic, Nashville TN

    New York is world best city ,New Yorker know what they are doing they want ached of others they won’t vote tea party candidate they don’t want go backward (18th century)

    October 6, 2010 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  3. stufthis

    Maybe billionaire Paladine can send some more racist e-mails to fire up his base.

    October 6, 2010 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  4. Marie MD

    I have many friends from New York and they are a different breed, but nobody thinks palladino is worth the time of any of them. He's a bully.

    October 6, 2010 05:31 pm at 5:31 pm |
  5. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    We know Republicans who are buying their way into politics, so now we have Paladino bullying his way in proves he more dangerous than rich.

    October 6, 2010 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  6. nygirl

    I knew I loved my home state (really city, because we're in control, thank God) for a reason.

    October 6, 2010 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  7. T'SAH from Virginia

    BLUE MOON
    Paladino will be standing ALONE
    Without any votes of his OWN
    'Cause CUOMO is taking this HOME!!!! Yes We Can!!

    NY will remain BLUE – all northeastern states will remain BLUE!!!!! NH get it together – CT got it together and you can count DE, which is on the EAST SIDE got it together!!!

    DEMOCRATS – the RepubliCAN'Ts are allowing FOREIGN CORPs to decide this election – WE MUST STOP THEM NOW!!!! Most of our jobs are already overseas and WE as DEMOCRATS must bring those jobs back!!! We 'will not' succeed if the RepubliCAN'Ts win any race!!!!!!

    STATE the CASE and mean it – UNITE the BASE and believe it and we will WIN this RACE and the battle against BIG CORPs and BIG/small business/CORPs and FOREIGN INTRUSION and SPECIAL INTEREST will be exposed and SQUASHED!!!

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I am serious about this message and approve it!!!!

    October 6, 2010 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  8. they call me "tater salad"

    Just the way it SHOULD be!

    October 6, 2010 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  9. jules sand-perkins

    New York–especially New York City–needs government that is socially liberal but not economically socialistic to serve its citizens' lives.
    Therefore it makes sense that New York is Democratic rather than Republican.
    Obama's rampant socialism has damaged the Democratic Party's efficacy throughout the nation.

    October 6, 2010 06:53 pm at 6:53 pm |
  10. LacrosseMom(the real one)

    Without Unions there would be no fair and just safety nets or pay for a hard working man or woman. Conservatives-elites like to put Unions down, but hardworking Americans know that Unions have made it possible for millions upon millions of Americans to achieve the American Dream!

    Consider the TeaParty-GOP candidate in Connecticut, McMahon a multi-millionaire who does not even know what the Minimum Wage is (its $7.25 an hour) but wants to change it and considers the Minimum Wage unconstitutional!

    Believe me, I would rather vote for a candidate that is supported by America's Hard Working Union People, than the Koch Brother's "Tea Party"!

    October 6, 2010 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  11. carlos

    and the trend is starting to show, watch out repugnants........you will have greater surprises coming your way......and not in your favor....hehehehe

    October 6, 2010 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  12. new york rules

    This wannabe mafia boss will never win. Palladino looks like he is angry, and he has a very unhappy life. I guess we are seeing what the tea party will do to a person.

    October 6, 2010 09:36 pm at 9:36 pm |
  13. Matthew

    People took a chance on what turned out to be a lying president Obama. Maybe, as a New Yorker I can take a bet on Paladino that he might turn up to be OK rather than the proven goon and union puppet Cuomo who lacks the balls to stand up on his own and just relys heavily on Daddy's coatstrings.

    October 6, 2010 10:41 pm at 10:41 pm |
  14. astro24102

    What do you expect.....why is it the east coast and the west coast can only elect the wacked out politicians. (mayor guliani was the exception). after that you have pelosi, barney ( beat down anyone at a town hall meeting) Frank, Barbara ( beat down a 4 star general) boxer, Chris dodd, hillary clinton and others. New York deserves better.

    October 7, 2010 01:07 am at 1:07 am |