(CNN) - Ohio's Lt. Governor Lee Fisher trails Republican Rob Portman in the race for the state's U.S. Senate seat by 19-points, suggests a new poll released by Quinnipiac University.
This is virtually the same place that the Democratic nominee stood in the previous Quinnipiac poll released September 17, when Portman led Fisher 55 to 35 percent. Now, 55 percent of likely voters state they will choose Portman, while 36 percent favor Fisher.
Capturing the independent vote in Ohio is vital here, as Portman leads 67 to 25 percent among independent voters. Portman has also secured his base, with 93 percent of Republicans affirming their support for him.
Ohio Democrats are behind Fisher as well, but in smaller numbers, with 80 percent of Democratic voters saying they'll vote for him. And though women support Fisher 47 to 43 percent, the gender divide packs a punch in Ohio, where men prefer Portman 63 to 30 percent.
Portman also wins the values vote, with 52 percent of likely voters saying they believe he most shares their values. Only 33 percent claim that Fisher shares their values the most.
"It would seem that Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher's best shot at victory might be finding a way to stop men from voting. Otherwise, he faces an incredibly uphill battle... in reversing a 33-point disadvantage among male voters," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
So what's driving Ohioans? Thirty-seven percent of likely voters say they are angry and 81 percent of angry voters back Portman. Forty-five percent of likely voters say that Ohio's economy is getting worse; Portman leads among this group as well 78 to 14 percent. Among the fourteen percent of likely voters who say the economy is getting better, Fisher leads 79 to 12 percent. The climate doesn't bode well for Fisher in Ohio, where 54 percent of likely voters want their next U.S. Senator to oppose President Barack Obama's policies and thirty-nine percent want Obama's policies supported.