October 11th, 2010
05:22 PM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Brewer holds advantage in Arizona gubernatorial battle

(CNN) – Republican Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona has a narrow lead over Democratic challenger Terry Goddard in her bid for a full term in office, according to a new survey.

A Rocky Mountain Poll released Monday indicates that Brewer faces stiff competition from Goddard, the state's attorney general, when it comes to registered voters, with Brewer holding a 38 to 35 point advantage among registered voters, with more than one in five undecided.

With a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points for registered voters, the survey indicates that this race is a statistical dead heat. Brewer led by 20 points in a Rocky Mountain Poll conducted in July.

Among voters most likely to cast ballots in the midterm elections, Brewer's lead widens to eleven points. Likely voters prefer the former Arizona secretary of state 46 to 35 percent over Goddard, who also served as mayor of Phoenix. Fifteen percent of likely voters are undecided.

The Rocky Mountain poll also indicates that Goddard largely benefits from Latino support, with 60 percent of the community stating that they are committed to voting for him. Thirteen percent of the Latino community supports Brewer, who has received scrutiny for the controversial immigration and border security bill that she signed into law. It requires individuals who are not American citizens to carry registration documents required by federal law. The bill, titled "Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhoods Act," authorizes state and local law officers to enforce federal immigration laws.

Still, Brewer remains in fighting form with support from her base, voters who classify themselves as "very conservative." Sixty-three percent of those voters back Brewer for governor while one-fifth of conservatives are drawn to Goddard. Brewer also draws more of the independent vote, attracting 33 to 26 percent over Goddard.

The survey indicates that Goddard leads among women voters in Arizona 43 to 31 percent while male voters break for Brewer 44 to 28 percent. Both candidates will need to convince those who have yet to make up their minds about Arizona's gubernatorial election if they want to move into the governor's mansion this fall. There are plenty of voters to reach, as fifteen percent of likely Arizona voters remain undecided.

The Rocky Mountain Poll was conducted October 1-10, with 555 registered voters in Arizona questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Brewer became governor early last year, when then Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano stepped down to become Secretary of Homeland Security in the Obama administration.


Filed under: 2010 • Arizona • Jan Brewer • Polls
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. Lori in St Pete

    A "narrow lead" in neoconservative AZ???!!! Wow. That really doesn't bode well for the rethugliban/teabaggers, does it?

    October 11, 2010 07:07 pm at 7:07 pm |
  2. sky

    I a Independent voter Born in Phx, Az and Jan Brewer hasn't done anything to help out Arizona yet every time I see her or John McCain it's when something happens like the 5 tornados that hit out side of Arizona she was crying like she cares but she really don't. All Jan Brewer talks about is helping Arizona. I live here, tell her or John McCain to come to Phoenix and see what's going on in our hoods. Drugs shootings and all types of things going on andthe illeagals are the lease on our minds. We care about our schools, Health Care for all Arizonans, Unemployment Benefits exstended because really with a family of five I can't live off Unemployment of 265 dollars a week max when I was laid off. Just like BUSH she is driving Arizona into DEBT. S.S for the elder insted of cut, I guess since is is RICH she doesn't care about S.S Jan Brewer just don't get it.

    October 11, 2010 07:43 pm at 7:43 pm |
  3. works for me

    Wow... 38% of the state is following the rants of another GOPuppet?

    October 11, 2010 07:44 pm at 7:44 pm |
  4. Robert Rowley, Tucson

    I WQAS a lifelong Democrat...even worked a few campaigns for Democratis candidates. I recently changed my registration to Ind and changed my address to the district of Raul Grijalva. The reason? So I can vote AGAINST the traitor. Any office holder who, while in office calls for a national boycott of his own state and district should be terminated instantly from office. Once Goddard came out in support of illegal aliens he lost my vote as well...I'll be voting for our next Gov., Jan Brewer.

    October 11, 2010 07:46 pm at 7:46 pm |
  5. Robert Rowley, Tucson

    BTW, please excuse the typos...

    October 11, 2010 07:48 pm at 7:48 pm |
  6. sky

    By the way CNN use to like Obama now they don't since Obama said MSNBC is a good poltical try watching the ED show. Fox news sucks and CNN do the facts checks on all the TEA PARTY u guys are bad buiness to the DEMS and INDEPENDENTS we are going to vote for GODDARD. I no CNN is for the Republican Party

    October 11, 2010 07:52 pm at 7:52 pm |
  7. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    Three percentage points with 20% undecided? Here in CT you are calling Dick Blumenthal's same lead a deficit!

    October 11, 2010 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  8. Lee Oates

    It's a sad shame that a great state like Arizona has fallen so far. This state is on the edge of falling to a bunch of neo-nazis and hate-mongers, and it will forever scar the state in the eyes of decent citizens should they win in this upcoming election. We can only hope that the citizens of Arizona act like mature grown-up adults and deny power to Gov. Jan Brewer and her gang of potential brown shirts. [Raised in Arizona and totally disgusted].

    October 11, 2010 08:07 pm at 8:07 pm |
  9. Botox Needed

    Calling Nancy Pelosi!!!! Nancy, where do you get your Botox treatmnents and surgery? Brewer needs it also.

    October 11, 2010 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  10. The reality is...

    Of course she holds advantage, she's trying to protect the legal citizens of Arizona, unlike our President and his regime.

    October 11, 2010 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
  11. The reality is...

    Only Democrats would oppose such an excellent governor who is willing to take on the corrupt regime that is presently running this country.

    October 11, 2010 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
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