October 15th, 2010
11:08 AM ET
4 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: GOP holds 6 point advantage

Washington (CNN) – A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Friday indicates that 47 percent of likely voters would choose a Republican candidate for Congress if the election were held today, with 41 percent of likely voters saying they would vote for the Democrat.

This newest edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of five national surveys conducted during the first two weeks of October: CNN/Opinion Research Corporation (October 5-7), CBS (October 1-5), Bloomberg (October 7-10), Reuters/Ipsos (October 7-11), and Fox News/Opinion Dynamics (October 11-13). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.


The generic ballot question asks respondents if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district, without naming any specific candidates. It's used by many polling organizations, including CNN/Opinion Research Corporation surveys. In the battle for control of Congress, the generic ballot is arguably the most watched polling indicator, but it should not be considered one-stop shopping.

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2010 • CNN Poll of polls • Polls
soundoff (17 Responses)
  1. Voter

    Generic ballots are B.S. because there's no generic candidates.

    October 15, 2010 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  2. David Blackburn

    What good are these polls that fail to include owners of cell phones who do not get polled. Many cell phone owners do not own land lines and therefore are left out of polling. The news media like to stir the pot to increase ratings and they fail to tell the viewers the flaws of the polling!

    October 15, 2010 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  3. Dean

    Here's a poll number for you. 100% of likely voters in my houshold will vote for the Republican candidate.

    October 15, 2010 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  4. MAhole

    Democrats and intelligent independents – PLEASE get out and vote to save the middle class – this might be our last chance. Scarier than anything that anyone could come up with for Halloween.............

    October 15, 2010 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  5. Josh

    Then God help us all...

    October 15, 2010 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  6. Bill

    The GOP is going to win the House, but a generic poll is meaningless and has no business being published. This is like those polls that showed Bush would cream any Democrat. Once you get an actual candidate the gap closes.

    October 15, 2010 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  7. Joseph Agunbiade

    I would not believe the validity of the polls neither would the results reliable. A true American should vote Democrats at this crucial period of American economy. Republicans are using deception and lies to placate us daily. They promise tax cuts at the time the nation needs to create jobs. But they are quick to suggest increase in sales tax to 23 per cent or beyond, as Mit. Daniel did in Indiana few months ago when his Republican government reduced property tax but raised state sales tax from 4 to 7 percent. The unemployment rate in Indiana is 10.2 per cent, above the national average of 9.6 per cent. Now Indiana is in deep hole of debts. Americans need to vote for party that care for them not party of no and the liars.

    October 15, 2010 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  8. PalmReader

    In other words, corporate media, foreign interests, and Karl Rove CAN buy elections after all. Imagine that!

    October 15, 2010 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  9. Hangar 13

    I'm hoping the Republicans do well in November and help to restore some fiscal sanity to federal and state governments. However, I fear the Democrats have finally come up with a winning campaign issue that will resonate with ordinary people. I'm referring, of course, to smearing the Chamber of Commerce with made-up charges that even the New York Times won't defend. Keep talking, Mr. President, please!

    October 15, 2010 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  10. T'SAH from Virginia

    Oh Lord – this is the reason why I always knew the polls leaned to the right – "and Fox News/Opinion Dynamics" – that alone is 99% Republican. All of the rest got that LEAN too – that GANGSTER lean!!!

    DEMOCRATS – Don't believe the HYPE – get out and vote and we will WIN!!!

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I approve this message!!

    October 15, 2010 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  11. barry

    Majority of Dems leave next months.

    October 15, 2010 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  12. vic nashville tn

    I disagree with this poll it has big error when we remove the FOX NEWS numbers then this poll will be accurate

    They gave 2 million can we believe their numbers

    October 15, 2010 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  13. Fair is Fair

    "The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error."

    For the "regulars" here that will bemoan that they've "never been polled" or "they only polled republicans", I suggest you familiarize yourself with how the SCIENCE of mathematical statistics works. Obama and his minions are in DEEP trouble. And YES, I include Obama. Facts are facts and the fact is that the first midterm after a new administration is a referrendum on the sitting president. Obama failed miserably.

    October 15, 2010 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  14. katiec

    Although do not put much stock in polls am happy to see the American people are realizing what the republicans have done, are doing and will do to our country.
    Their goals of gridlock, destroy our president, prevent any improvement, advancement in the economy and our country, take back de-regulation, sacrifice middle class with their undying support for Wall St, big business, the wealthy, all for the sake of regaining power and winning this next election are disgraceful.
    Add to that corporations now being allowed to try and buy the elections with their questionable funding brings to the American people challenges like never before.
    Voters, we cannot allow our elections to be bought. We must stand up against those supporting the control and power sought by these organizations, thumbing their nose at us.
    We must show the world we will not allow ourselves be bought, will not support those with such irresponsible concern for our election process. VOTE!!

    October 15, 2010 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  15. Why are Rush and his Mafia in hiding all the time?

    Raise your hands if you still believe in Polls,Santa Clause or the Tooth Fairy class.Polls were created to lead the stupid,just like sheep dogs were trained to lead sheep.

    October 15, 2010 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  16. Dom

    The key word here is likely voters. That means in this cycle lopsided toward the republicans. I see many signs that the conventional wisdom may really be getting the turnout wrong. This is going to be a Dewey Defeats Truman moment can't wait to see the talking heads explode when they are wrong and the Dems keep the majority. Just remember Dewey Defeats Truman!

    October 15, 2010 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  17. XWngLady

    LIKELY VOTERS! LIKELY VOTERS! LIKELY VOTERS!.....No one, nevermind pollsters, knows who will or will not vote. It is utterly ridiculous, especially in this potlitical environment to try to guess who is going to vote this cycle. Therefore this poll of polls, or any other polls that uses "LIKELY VOTERS" is as useful as a half-penny!

    October 15, 2010 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |