October 20th, 2010
04:49 PM ET
3 years ago

CNN/Time Poll: All tied up in race for Ohio governor

(CNN) - The gubernatorial battle in Ohio is deadlocked, according to a new poll. A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey released Wednesday also indicates that the Republicans hold a wide lead in the fight for the state's open Senate seat.

Forty-eight percent of likely voters in Ohio say that if the election were held today, they'd vote for Gov. Ted Strickland, with 47 percent saying they'd vote for former Rep. John Kasich, the GOP challenger, and 3 percent are undecided. Strickland's one-point margin is well within the survey's sampling error.

Full results (pdf)

Kasich held a seven-point advantage in a CNN/Time poll conducted a month ago. Other recent polls released over the past week indicated Kasich with a larger lead, including a Quinnipiac University poll that had Kasich up by 10 points and a University of Cincinnati survey in which he had a eight-point advantage over Strickland.

According to the poll, Strickland is overwhelmingly winning the Democratic vote, while Kasich has the overwhelming backing of Republicans, and holds a 51-42 percent advantage among independent voters.

"Strickland is still losing among men, but he gained six points among that group," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "In September, his support among men was under 40 percent. Now it's at 45 percent. Strickland has 51 percent of the vote among women."

In the Senate contest, the poll indicates that Republican nominee Rob Portman has 55-40 percent lead over Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher, the Democrats' nominee, with 3 percent undecided. Portman's 15-point lead is up from an 11-point advantage last month. Other recent polls also indicate that Portman, a former U.S. representative and a George W. Bush administration budget director, holds a large lead over Fisher. The winner in November will succeed retiring Republican Sen. George Voinovich.

Portman's 15-point lead shrinks to a 6-point advantage among the larger sampling of all registered voters.

"Fisher wins urban areas by 16 points, but he's losing the suburbs by nearly 2-1," Holland says.

Besides being a battleground in this year's midterm elections, Ohio is also in the political spotlight since it's a crucial state in the fight for the White House.

According to the survey, 53 percent of likely voters in Ohio disapprove of the job President Obama is doing in the White House, with 42 percent saying they approve of how he's handling his duties. The president's approval rating rises to 45 percent among a wider sampling of registered voters, with 49 percent saying they disapprove.

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll was conducted October 15-19, with 1,502 adults in Ohio, including 1,350 registered voters and 863 likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.

– CNN's Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2010 • CNN/Time poll • Ohio • Polls
soundoff (11 Responses)
  1. stufthis

    Maybe Bush wil show up and campaign for Kasich.

    October 20, 2010 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  2. LacrosseMom(real one)

    "All TIED UP...."! WOW........ fabulous!! I am thrilled! Ohio KNOWS that Gov. Strickland is on their side!!

    In NOvember vote NO for the Party of NO!

    October 20, 2010 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  3. Eagle35

    CNN poll shows a tie. Their own poll. All the others show Republican ahead, some by a significant amount. But the headline shows all tied up. Some "news" story!!!

    October 20, 2010 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  4. G

    people need to understand the middle should never vote rich, because one day you'll see the rich was bad. Please look at those who got rich off of our suffering and now is paying the price. Its the people in the middle who challenge the companies who take advantages of us and its the republicans who allow it. vote with caution not anger directed in the wrong direction

    October 20, 2010 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
  5. JoeAmerican100

    Typical CNN anti-conservative piece Poll sample is skewed to try to energize DEMS If the DEMS did not have the Media, Education, racists and the stupid people they would not get more than 15% of the vote

    October 20, 2010 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  6. NYC REPUB

    Go DEMS, GO!!!!!! Progressives have been quiet, almost shut out of debate......We will come out in full force all across America on Nov.2nd.....

    October 20, 2010 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  7. George of the jungle

    keep pushing democrats we have a chance if you will all get out and vote. We have no choice. Can't let the repos back in. Go forward not backwards. Things are improving slowley . at least the democrats are trying thing the repos just yell and call names andvote no on everything. Do you really want these crazies in office??

    October 20, 2010 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  8. joe smith

    word on the street, and it has been there a long time, but the media refuses to open up about it; the current Commander In Chief will not run for a second term..

    October 20, 2010 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  9. Marilyn G

    Keep "Johnny" at home playing with his toys.

    October 20, 2010 07:56 pm at 7:56 pm |
  10. Willy Brown

    I just left Columbus yesterday and this story in BUNK! Strickland is down by 10 soilid points and no way to make ground even if Obama & Biden handed out 10 dollar bills to all OSU college students. Strickland is done CNN nice liberal try to the fluff news that only democrats watch.

    October 20, 2010 08:11 pm at 8:11 pm |
  11. Alistair

    Early Voting is what's helping Strickland.

    October 20, 2010 08:26 pm at 8:26 pm |