October 22nd, 2010
11:57 AM ET
3 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: GOP holds 8-point advantage

Washington (CNN) – A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Friday indicates that 50 percent of likely voters would choose a Republican candidate for Congress if the election were held today, with 42 percent saying they would vote for a Democrat.

Eleven days before the election, Republicans continue to poll ahead of Democrats when voters are asked whom they would choose for Congress on election day. The Republican margin has increased one percentage point since the last CNN Poll of Polls, from a seven point margin to an eight point margin, which is virtually identical to the previous survey.

This newest edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of three national surveys conducted during the from October 13-18 : Pew Research (October 13-18), AP-GfK (October 13-18), and NBC/WSJ (October 14-18). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

The generic ballot question asks respondents if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district, without naming any specific candidates. It is used by many polling organizations, including CNN/Opinion Research Corporation surveys. In the battle for control of Congress, the generic ballot is arguably the most watched polling indicator, but it should not be considered a one-for-all.

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2010 • Poll of polls • Polls
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. stufthis

    50% of the American people must be looking for more of the republican economics that drove us to the brink of a great depression. Borrowing money from China for unfunded tax cuts for the wealthy, unfunded wars, unfunded medicare, privatizing the VA. Of course, don't forget the baggers want to repeal the minimum wage, repeal health reform, repeal the regulations that would prevent another big bank meltdown, send American jobs overseas, end unemployment benefits and continue the fascist programs with a government agent in every woman's bedroom.

    October 22, 2010 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  2. texasmike

    Wow, another poll which leads the participant to the result the pollster wants.

    Then CNN blares in all over.

    This is just as bad as far as I am concerned as millions of dollars from unknown donors going to the RNC and Chamber of Commerce.

    October 22, 2010 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  3. barry

    The majority of Dems join the ranks of the Nations Unemployed soon. The radical policies and the country moves back to center right where the majority of Americans are. Obama either works with Republicans or he gets fired in 2012. His childish arrogance comes to a end.

    October 22, 2010 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  4. Rickster

    While it is common knowledge that Obama is the Worst President Ever and he has done immeasurable damage to the country, I'm still grateful that he came along to finally expose what a losing platform the democrat party is based on. Everybody now knows their real agenda. Astonishing actually that just two years ago the democrat party was riding high and buying into Obama's lies. Now democrats are a joke. People point and laugh at democrats and millions of people are abandoning their sinking ship. Thanks for that, Barry!

    October 22, 2010 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  5. KB from Texas

    Not sure about everywhere else, but it will be a new governor in TEXAS.. I just voted for Bill White.

    October 22, 2010 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  6. Maureen from DE

    I want to know who they are polling. It's not the AA people.

    October 22, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  7. Lynda/Minnesota

    This non-specific generic likely voter candidate poll is getting a bit too old, now. Even for CNN. Here in Minnesota we are very fired up and ready to vote! Democratic ticket all the way! Don't count us out just yet ... no way, no how.

    October 22, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  8. vic nashville tn

    CNN do you want me believe these polls really this year I am ignoring the polls

    Morning I read that GOP will gain the power in senate so went on reading in Toss up column I seen Connecticut, Delaware. I Won’t trust these polls no more

    October 22, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  9. Fair is Fair

    And once again, the dems overstep their mandate and steal defeat from the jaws of victory. They're nothing if they're not consistent and predictable.

    October 22, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  10. Fair is Fair

    "I want to know who they are polling. It's not the AA people."

    I'm sure they're in the 42% number. AA's tend to vote overwhelmingly democratic.

    October 22, 2010 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  11. voting against republican tea party in every race

    The last 2 years of the republicans putting politics before the country on every issue has driven me to vote all democratic here in Illinois...... after the republicans lost in 2008, they have become more extreme and more bigoted to attract the old, white majority vote..... America needs help after wall street have driven the economy and jobs into the ground but these extreme, republican tea party men and women are CERTAINLY NOT going to bring the countrywide, collective America middle class back to work

    October 22, 2010 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  12. joe sparks

    its time people take back the country from the arrogant wealthy who flood the newsmedia with lies and falacies as bush did when he said no more weapons of mass destruction. wake up and think for yourself. just because they get large tax breaks do not guarantee jobs. what a crock that is..it time to stop tax breaks for the wealthy. even news media itself said we would have to borrow more money to keep the tax breaks bush implemented.

    October 22, 2010 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  13. ELIZABETH

    Hey CNN, why don't you report that in states that have early voting democrats are outnumbering rethuglicans in votes cast. I know, it doesn't quite fit your narrative of the GOP taking over congress.

    October 22, 2010 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  14. Anonymous

    LAst I checked , this was not an election for the Presidency. A national poll may show a sentiment but has nothing to do with local or state elections.
    When 90% of Utah says they are leaning Eepublican and ony 52% of California say it is- more Democrats will end up in Congress. Take that through the entire country and with all those red states, you will still have more Democrats elected if traditionally Blue states vote blue even 1 percent.

    October 22, 2010 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  15. jim

    George W. Bush's stance on housing during the 2004 Republican Convention Acceptance Speech

    This speech was delivered at the 2004 Republican National Convention on September 2, 2004 when George W. Bush officially accepted the Republican nomination to run for President.

    "Another priority for a new term is to build an ownership society, because ownership brings security, and dignity, and independence. Thanks to our policies, homeownership in America is at an all-time high. Tonight we set a new goal: seven million more affordable homes in the next 10 years so more American families will be able to open the door and say welcome to my home."

    I wonder what these policies were that put so many people into homes they couldn't afford?

    Thanks George. You yourself take the credit for this disaster.

    HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    you're all fools !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha

    October 22, 2010 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  16. PalmReader

    Well, if the GOPers DO win, I imagine more job outsourcing, not less. There is a great deal of money being throw around to lock up and ...dare I say, BUY... votes this election cycle. I doubt the CEO's of the companies financing the expenditures will be taking the financial hit. Quite the contrary, it'll be paid back as it has been all throughout the Repulican controlled congress, by the little guy. Not too worry, though. I hear China and India are promoting high employment and low cost of living.

    October 22, 2010 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  17. rob

    Its because Dems are living in a world of their own where the constitution and citizens who vote are an inconvenience.

    President Obama thinks after a year of speeches and friendly Media coverage we are not smart enough to realize how great his policies are dispite all evidence to the contrary, Harry Reid thinks that it was HE WHO SAVED THE WORLD from financial disaster, Pelosi says that we can find out whats in the Health Care Bill "AFTER ITS PASSED".

    The Republican Party is only slightly better as they are in the Congress now and them winning a large number of seats this election will not be the answer to all our problems. This election is only the beginning, the American people are now aware and informed. Woe is to the politicians who don't take us seriously in the run up to the next election both democrat and Republican.

    October 22, 2010 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  18. Jason

    I do believe we'll retake the house from Obamarama the Senate 50-50; that would add to the sweetness if we retook the senate as well Obama and liberal left communist agenda is finished and hopefully he'll be finished in two years

    October 22, 2010 12:44 pm at 12:44 pm |
  19. Sniffit

    Guess who utlimately pays for corporations to spend billions on lobbying and campaigning through shadow-front organizations on behalf of Republicans.

    Go ahead. Guess. Guess whose hide that money comes out of in the final analysis...maybe next time you're wondering why the price of something just skyrocketed or your wages haven't risen, even enough to meet inflation, in over 3 decades.

    October 22, 2010 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  20. PalmReader

    I disagree, rob. The American people are woefully unaware, hence the economic disaster of 2007. Unfortunately, those most suffering are now being bribed by those who most created the suffering. Hard to understand voter logic in voting for the party that created this mess, I know, but there it is. I agree that the next election will be a turning point. Perhaps not in the direction you want, though.

    October 22, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  21. betterdays

    Don't forget when heading to the polls: If someone doesn't agree with the way you intend to vote, they are stupid, racist, or both. Unless you are voting against a Democrat. Then YOU are the stupid, racist one. Got that? Proceed.

    October 22, 2010 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  22. Sniffit

    "the American people are now aware and informed."

    That is the single funniest statement I've read on the CNN Ticker in at least 6 months. Aware and informed? Right. Tell that to the death panels and fans of Jabberwocky Barbie. It's a veritable orgy of ignorance out there, and anyone who doesn't believe that the GOP/Teatards/conservatives are starting to run low on astro-glide is going to have a very frustrating 2011-2012. Oh sure, they might take the House, but it's unlikely they'll take the Senate and the Dems still hold the magic veto pen. The GOP may encourage their minions to yammer mindlessly about revolution and uprising, because Revolutionary War and Civil War themes are like viagra to their useful idiot base, but the REAL uprising they start won't be on their side. Just wait for their redistricting efforts to get exposed and cause lawsuits over the next couple years or for SS and Medicare payments to dwindle or stop as a result of their attempts to "defund" the government thru tax cuts coupled with borrowing.

    October 22, 2010 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  23. Keith, a friend of Kevin

    This is good news. That way Kevin and will have a chance at keeping your , , oops, I mean our jobs.

    "Keith" , Bopal India("American Industries, inc.)

    October 22, 2010 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  24. Grundoon

    Polls schmolls! I can't wait to here Michael Steele talking about the GOPs brand problem again in 2 weeks. Viva Sanity!!!

    October 22, 2010 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  25. Puzzeld European

    Americans never seize to amaze. They would rather chop their own noses off to spite the other fellow. Palin? O'donnell?
    Angle? You have got to be kidding. Voting mere zealots into office to spite the other guy as if its not going to effect you also. Funny Americans.

    October 22, 2010 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
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