October 22nd, 2010
11:57 AM ET
4 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: GOP holds 8-point advantage

Washington (CNN) – A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Friday indicates that 50 percent of likely voters would choose a Republican candidate for Congress if the election were held today, with 42 percent saying they would vote for a Democrat.

Eleven days before the election, Republicans continue to poll ahead of Democrats when voters are asked whom they would choose for Congress on election day. The Republican margin has increased one percentage point since the last CNN Poll of Polls, from a seven point margin to an eight point margin, which is virtually identical to the previous survey.

This newest edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of three national surveys conducted during the from October 13-18 : Pew Research (October 13-18), AP-GfK (October 13-18), and NBC/WSJ (October 14-18). The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

The generic ballot question asks respondents if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district, without naming any specific candidates. It is used by many polling organizations, including CNN/Opinion Research Corporation surveys. In the battle for control of Congress, the generic ballot is arguably the most watched polling indicator, but it should not be considered a one-for-all.

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2010 • Poll of polls • Polls
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. Harriett in Chapel Hill

    CNN continues to push the false meme that Dems are going to lose the midterms. You guys don't seem to realize that no one cares about generic polls, only local ones. Dems are catching up, and will soon overcome their opponents due to the fact that the Rethugs are selling America to the highest bidder.

    October 22, 2010 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  2. Marie MD

    Who are they calling? people in SC? The rethugs and their leaders bush and cheney.
    @jason – if you were paying attention to the eight years of the shrub you would have seen a little bit of socialism. If you don't know what it is please don't write about it because it makes you sound like a teabagger and that is really and truly embarrassing to no end.
    The Democrats are not eating their young like the rethugs. That is why we have been quiet while the teabaggers and the rethugs fight amongst themselves. The "real" rethugs allowed the half term,, bachman, limbaugh and beck do their hate speeches and call for revolutions and now they realize that they should have cut them off as soon as they opened their mouths.

    October 22, 2010 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  3. Jenny

    Hmmm, another polling that I was not invited to participate in. Now, that makes it every single poll done in the the last 19 months. Well, I guess I am not being polled because I don't feed into the Tea Party idiotiocraty!!

    October 22, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  4. nalini

    yeah, who are these people polling. I did not receive a single call from any pollster nor anyone that i am affiklicated with have received such calls, gimme me a break. all this hype about the Rethuglicans taking over is just that, a hype, it's to make peopke believe that the Democrats are not gonna win so "lets vote republicans, people please do not buy into the hype. The democrats are winning, take a look at early voting. Please remember hgow bad this country was when Obama took over and now look where we are, please do not listen to the Tean Party and the republicans.

    October 22, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  5. Marg

    If you vote Republican,Tea,or a palin fan, your either rich, or just Dumb!!! DAHHH!!!!!

    October 22, 2010 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  6. No Tea For Me

    The GOP is bought and paid for by big business. I don't know why anyone that has to work hard for a living would support them. They are even turning their backs on white collar workers. To all working people that is why you lost your jobs that were sent overseas. The jobs are not coming back and if republicans win the house and senate more jobs will be gone.

    October 22, 2010 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  7. Edward

    First Republicans were saying they're going to take the house and the senate. Now they're low balling it saying they'll take the house only. What happened? I thought that the "American people" were fuming mad? Not so much huh? Turns out the same people screaming now are the same ones that were screaming on election night. Give us more hard right tea party candidates please. Nominate one for presidency in 2012 so that we can see just how mainstream your hard right conservative views are in the presidential election. Privatize social security, no abortions even in the case of rape or incest, privitize medicare, abolish the deptarment of education. Let's see if a tea party candidate can win the presidency, let's see just how angry the american people really are.

    October 22, 2010 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  8. What is the country coming to

    Silly you , Take Back The Country Silly you. Big Business is taking back the Country last year alone Bank American , GE and many more paid $0.00 in 2009 taxes, YOU we have paid more taxes than they have. And you talking about taking back the country how foolish do you sound. The GOP/Rep/ Tea begger dont give a shit about you me and the people. Rep are riding on the backs of the Tea Beggers to get what they want. Silly you , you are living in wonder land, can you think for yourselves and see what is in front of you. The Reps are EVIL dirty dont care people, if you like these kind of people running the country, so bid........take back my education, my social security check, my medical, my jobs which is going over seas because that is big business for the REP........So go TAKE BACK YOUR COUNTRY.........silly you!

    October 22, 2010 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  9. patnamm

    One of the most stupid and patronizing phrases i hear from political pundits and politicians from time to time is " Americans are smart". I'm sorry to break it to you America, but majority are not. Otherwise we would not be having the kind of debates we are having right now, with majority leaning towards the republicans.
    It is like holding up a baby that everyone knows is not all that, and someone comes around and says "oh, he is so cute"

    October 22, 2010 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  10. deli

    @barry first of all u need 2 go back 2 sch 2 get more skills n get educated lear how 2 rite english and do the highest math then u can get ur job back. we r in technology world now. the company`s r hiring people who r well educated and highest skills and more experiences. if not then shot ur mouth.

    October 22, 2010 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  11. Mike Dallas

    You folks at Fox Lite might want to check out the actual early voting responses put out by the AP today, and like Maddow says, adjust your Republican talking points showcased as "news" to actually reflect the "disheartened Democrats" and their response to date.

    Even the conservative rag DMN here in Dallas had to print it. Yes, that would be the same rag that gave front page coverage to the "lesson plan socialism brainwashing" of America's school children, that was to happen all in one hour back in 2009.

    Seems in several states the Dems are showing up in much higher numbers than the Reds, only in Florida and Colorado are the Reds showing up in higher numbers. Here in Dallas county 314,000 voters have already voted(we started last Monday} as opposed to 157,000 that had voted by this time in 2006.

    And we all know what happened way back in the midterms of 2006. The same Dallas Morning News was advocating doing away with "straight party" voting, because so many republican county judges lost their jobs and were replaced with Dems. And as fast as the dozen are so voters were exiting the voting booth it would appear that may be the trend for this cycle, I know it was for me. Of course they COULD have been voting a straight republican ticket, but I live in South Dallas(the poor side of town and there is even a river that keeps South Dallas separated from North Dallas) and in a much more "diverse" area than North Dallas, so I suspect these folks were not voting to turn back time to to 2008.

    While I am sure there will be losses, but if turnout remains high through 11/2, maybe not as many as the tea baggers hoped.

    Of course, never let the facts stop "fair and balanced" reporting

    October 22, 2010 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
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