Editor's Note: In the final 100 days before Election Day, CNN has been profiling one race at random each day from among the nation's top 100 House races, which we've dubbed "The CNN 100." Read the full list here. Today's featured district is:
Michigan 7th - Rep. Mark Schauer (D) is seeking a 2nd term
Date of Primary: August 3
Location: Southern Michigan, parts of Lansing
Days until Election Day: 9
With just nine days until the election and big bucks flowing into southern Michigan, residents of the state's 7th congressional district may be experiencing déjà vu.
In 2008, Rep. Mark Schauer narrowly defeated then-Rep. Tim Walberg as he rode the Obama-wave into office and became the first Democrat since 1993 to represent MI-07.
Two years later, Walberg, who had only served one term in office, won the GOP nomination in August and is now statistically deadlocked in his bid to reclaim the seat. An EPIC/MRA poll taken for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV on October 16-17 indicates Schauer has a 45 to 39 point lead over Walberg, with 9 percent of likely voters undecided. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 5 percentage points.
In their attempt to defend the seat from a fiscal and social conservative who's vowed to repeal landmark health care legislation and eliminate the capital gains tax, National Democrats and their allies have funneled over $1 million into the race to cast doubt on Walberg's intentions.
Two local chambers of commerce as well as the Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce all backed Walberg in 2008, but have endorsed Schauer this cycle. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce – typically more consistent in its conservatism – has endorsed Walberg.
President Obama won Michigan's 7th with 52 percent of the vote. But without a popular name on the top of the ballot this year, a narrow victory may soon be a distant memory for the Democrat.