October 26th, 2010
10:32 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Kasich 49-43 over Strickland in Ohio gubernatorial battle

(CNN) – A new poll indicates that Republican challenger John Kasich holds a 6-point advantage over Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland in Ohio's gubernatorial contest, a race that's captured national headlines thanks to the numerous appearances by top flight surrogates.

According to a Quinnipiac University survey released Tuesday, 49 percent of likely voters in Ohio support Kasich, a former congressman, with 43 percent backing Strickland, a former congressman who was elected governor in 2006. Kasich's six point advantage is within the poll's sampling error. Kasich's margin is also down from a 10 point lead held in a Quinnipiac poll released about a week ago.

Surveys from CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation and University of Cincinnati released last week both indicated the race was deadlocked.

According to the Quinnipiac University poll, Kasich leads 93 to 4 percent among Republicans and 47 to 42 percent margin among independent voters while Strickland leads 86 to 11 percent among Democrats. Seven percent of all likely voters remain undecided.

"The race in the last week will target undecided voters and voters who could change their mind," says Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Top Democrats, including President Barack Obama, Vice President Joe Biden, former President Bill Clinton and First Lady Michelle Obama, have campaigned with Strickland in Ohio. The president and vice president return Sunday for a Democratic party rally. Top Republicans have teamed up with Kasich in Ohio.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted October 18-24, with 686 likely voters in Ohio questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

–Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2010 • John Kasich • Ohio • Polls • Ted Strickland
soundoff (10 Responses)
  1. Alistair

    The other latest poll had Strickland leading 48%-47%

    October 26, 2010 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  2. Lolo

    Between Ohio and Florida I do not understand these voters at all. Ohio was hit the worst by the Bush policies and they still want to vote for a Republican. Go figure. I have visited this state and they are backwards so I guess that they believe everything that they hear.

    October 26, 2010 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  3. carlos

    the wall streeter is unfit for anything, not even a street sweeper, peoplein Ohio send kasich packing, he is inept, incompetent and above all a WALL STREETER

    October 26, 2010 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  4. PalmReader

    The likely voter polls are rebounding towards the Democratic candidates while the Republcians are counterpointing that this isn't due to early voting stats favoring the Dems though. Evidently, there are more registered Dems, thus more will be voting early. This logic IS a bit foggy for sure, but everything coming from the Republicans is confusing and without merit. Has been for months now.

    October 26, 2010 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  5. Sniffit

    "Kasich's six point advantage is within the poll's sampling error. "

    6 points? I rarely comment on the accuracy of these polls, assuming that they use appropriate statistical modeling and randomized sampling, etc., but a sampling error range of up to 7 points seems more than a bit crappy. 3-4 would be acceptable. Anyhoo, the fact is, Strickland is apparently gaining...should be fun to watch what kind of nutjobbery issues forth from the Kasich campaign in response to that. Will he go with fear or racial resentment? Maybe a racial fear and resetnment molotov cocktail? I'm guessing we'll also start hearing Kasich yammer loudly about pervasive voter fraud in his next ad...that fits right in with the cocktail.

    October 26, 2010 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  6. Kenneth Close

    Problem is this election solves nothing with out a clear vision of the future and not the clatter of the past.

    October 26, 2010 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  7. keepstufingthis

    Absolutely fabulous news. Don't tell NPR or George Soros.

    October 26, 2010 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  8. stevegee

    Ohio citizens would be nuts to vote for any Democrat – all they've given us is a mountain of debt and doubt. On November 2nd, vote for the American principles of freedom and liberty, vote for a free market economy, vote for individual responsibility – vote Republican.

    October 26, 2010 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  9. Dr. K

    How sad that the people of Ohio have allowed themselves to be tricked into blaming their governor for the consequences of the Bush years in the White House. How sad that so many working people can be manipulated into voting against their own interests by politicians spouting slogans and playing off of fears. For an example of what voting against Strickland will produce, Ohio could have trains running between cities like Cincinnati and Columbus (Stickland wants this), Kasich says no (to anything except tax breaks for the country club set). Well, when the gas prices skyrocket, once again shortsightedness will prove far more costly to the people of Ohio than the progressive look ahead and plan to prepare for it.

    October 26, 2010 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  10. leo PA

    he is going to ship there jobs over seas

    October 26, 2010 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |