October 27th, 2010
11:11 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Democrats hold large leads in N.Y. statewide battles

(CNN) - Democrats hold leads of at least 20 points in New York State's gubernatorial contest and the two races for the U.S. Senate, according to a new poll.

Hours before he campaigns with former President Bill Clinton in New York City, a Quinnipiac University survey indicates that state Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, the Democrats' gubernatorial nominee, holds a 55 to 35 percent advantage among likely voters over Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino, the Republican nominee, with seven percent undecided. Cuomo's 20 point lead is up slightly from an 18 point advantage earlier this month.

According to the poll, Cuomo has the backing of 88 percent of Democrats, holds a 44 to 41 point margin over Paladino among independent voters, and even wins the support of nearly one in five Republicans.

The survey indicates that Cuomo has a 55 percent favorable rating, with only one in three having an unfavorable opinion of the son of former three-term Gov. Mario Cuomo. Fifty-seven percent of New Yorkers have an unfavorable opinion of Paladino, with 29 percent seeing him in a positive light. Comments by Paladino over the past month and a half have sparked controversies.

"That Republican wave that's said to be sweeping the country runs into a levee – a dam, a blockade, whatever figure of speech you like – at the New York border probably because of Carl Paladino's foot-in-mouth disease. Attorney General Andrew Cuomo can start measuring the executive mansion curtains. This race is all but over," says Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The winner in November will succeed Democratic Gov. David Paterson, who earlier this year announced that he would not run for a full term in office.

In the state's two Senate contests, the poll indicates that Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand holds a 57 to 34 percent lead over Republican challenger Joseph DioGuardi.

Gillibrand was named to replace Sen. Hillary Clinton early last year after Clinton stepped down to become secretary of state. DioGuardi is a former congressman and the father of former American Idol judge Karen DioGuardi. The winner in November will serve out the final two years of Clinton's term.

In New York's other Senate contest, the poll indicates that two-term Sen. Chuck Schumer leads his little known GOP challenger Jay Townsend by a two to one margin, 64 to 32 percent.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted October 18-24, with 672 likely voters in New York State questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN


Filed under: Andrew Cuomo • Carl Paladino
soundoff (10 Responses)
  1. Willy Brown

    New York State. The outhouse of the liberal left.

    October 27, 2010 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  2. Dave

    Not much of a headline for this Dem leaning state now, is it?

    October 27, 2010 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  3. Marcus

    What else could Paladino expect with his 'I am a proud bully' remarks? New Yorkers DO vote for Republicans, or Independents or Democrats (it's not a 'Red' or 'Blue' State), as long as the candidate has some real propositions to make. Wave a baseball bat is definitely not one of them...

    October 27, 2010 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  4. Fed Up

    No surprise there. New York City always has their hand out. Check the upstate NY voters though. Results from upstate are always different than the city.

    October 27, 2010 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  5. Monster Zero

    I find it amazing that the two States that are the most productive with respect to business, California and New York are the most fiscally upside down in our Nation and primarily governed by Democrats and their large scale government ideology. What are the people of New York thinking, or are they primarily employed by a Union or State Government? Like I've repeatedly said, it is difficult to get anyone to vote for what is right when the cost for that vote comes out of one's paycheck!

    October 27, 2010 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  6. Get A Grip

    Many reports of VOTING FRAUD and it's the DEMOCRATS doing it.

    October 27, 2010 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  7. Anonymous

    New york is solidly blue. New York and California are safe states for democrats

    October 27, 2010 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  8. Charles W. Skinner

    This is not unexpected. Paladino is not a strong candidate outside of the Buffalo area. Jay Townsend, while a great candidate, doesn't have the name recognition necessary statewide to compete against Schumer, and even though Gillibrand is a weak candidate, she will benefit from the fact that Schumer will draw a large number of people to the polls, thus assisting her campaign, as well as DioGuardi not really being a statewide candidate.

    I think the focus should be the fact that the NY House of Representatives races are actually competitive. For the first time in a LONG time, there may be more Republican than Democrat House members in the NY delegation. That, in and of itself, should be terrifying to the Democrat party as the groundswell of Republican / Conservative voters rises.

    October 27, 2010 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  9. keepstufingthis

    In this liberal controlled state that is dominated by the greedy, corrupt public employee unions which cause the high tax rates and huge budget deficits for there outrageously generous benefit plans and inefficient work rules? This and Illinois are what states look like when the unions are not controlled by the politicians and the reverse actually happens.

    October 27, 2010 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  10. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    This isn't a huge surprise. He has a good image and his opponets are questionable at best; at worse outright crazy. Given the choices, Cumo has done a lot of good being AG in NY and should hopefully be able to do that with Albany. Now, if he could just convince Christie to be a little nicer and stay in the state, that would be a miracle.

    October 27, 2010 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |