October 29th, 2010
12:14 PM ET
4 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: GOP 48 – Democrats 44

Washington (CNN) - A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Friday indicates that 48 percent of likely voters would choose a Republican candidate for Congress if the election were held today, while 44 percent say they would vote for a Democrat.

This newest edition of the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of five national polls conducted from mid-to-late October: Gallup (10/14-24), Newsweek (10/20-21), CBS/New York Times (10/22-26), McClatchy-Marist (10/22-25) and Bloomberg (10/24-26). Approximately 4,500 likely voters were questioned in these surveys. The Poll of Polls does not have a sampling error.

The Republican four point margin over Democrats is down from an eight point advantage in the last CNN Poll of Polls, which was compiled last week. The smaller margin may reflect changing voter opinions, particularly among undecided voters who are making up their minds as Election Day approaches.

The generic ballot question asks respondents if they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in their congressional district, without naming any specific candidates. It is used by many polling organizations, including CNN/Opinion Research Corporation surveys. In the battle for control of Congress, the generic ballot is arguably the most watched polling indicator, but it should not be considered a one-for-all.

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2010 • Poll of polls • Polls
soundoff (23 Responses)
  1. TSUNAMI WARNING: Expected loss of Socialist DemocRATS EXTENSIVE

    In close races, this difference is HUGE. Obozo, Reid and Pelosi's socialist agenda for America will go down in flames next Tuesday. Obozo's "fundamental transformation of America" will be thrown out the door along with Reid from the Senate and Pelosi from the Speaker chair. We'll need to wait another 2 years to throw Obozo out into the gutter where he belongs.

    October 29, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  2. vic nashville tn

    4 days to general election more than 50 % don’t approve both parties

    October 29, 2010 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  3. Fair is Fair

    I'll predict 62 house seats and 8 senate. All that has to happen is Washington and California and the Republicans take both chambers.

    October 29, 2010 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  4. Honesty is refreshing....!

    We knew it all along that Christine O'Donnell was and is ahead in the polls....Voters of Delaware will not go along with the media to vote for their candidate........Christine O'Donnell all the way to Washington to fight for "WE THE PEOPLE"

    October 29, 2010 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  5. Are you kidding me?

    Christine O'Donnell? Its people like YOU that support people like CHRISTINE that give the American view of intellectual superiority a BAD name

    October 29, 2010 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  6. XWngLady

    AGAIN WITH THIS "LIKELY VOTER" POLLING CRAP? When is it going to stop? Why don't they do polls that represent the sentiments of REGISTERED voters, since that is the pool of people out of whom the next round of voters will come? No one knows who is or isn't going to vote in an UPCOMING election. Even if they polled people who voted in the LAST election, that would be better than just polling so-called "likely" voters who tend to be white and older and have land-line phones...Who even still has a land-line phone? Or who even answers their phone (besides the elderly) when they don't know who it is who's calling? If the so-called "likely voter" polls are this close, then the Democrat will win, because in most cases if you poll registered voters and not just "likely voters" or people who say that they are excited to vote in the Mid-terms (mostly angry Republicans) then the Democrats come on top. We Democrats may not be spitting venom and fire on our way to the polling place, but we still plan to vote!.....STOP THE "LIKELY VOTER" MADNESS!

    October 29, 2010 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  7. Randolph Carter, I'm no expert, but....

    Socialism? Really, Tsunami? Man, Americans are ignorant. And pear-shaped. And they're always right about everything, facts be damned. Have a nice day!

    October 29, 2010 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  8. T'SAH from Virginia

    Blah, blah, blah, blah

    @XWingLady – Telling CNN to STOP is never going to happen!! But you are 'right on' – I've never been POLLED in all of my VOTING YEARS – which is many – so I know for a fact they 'lean to the right' and SENIORS w/out CELLS!

    Besides all of this – DEMOCRATS – Let's forget about the POLLS and GET OUT AND VOTE!! The ONLY way we can beat the POLL – the PUNDITS and the FAR-RIGHT is VOTE!!! My Case and My POINT!!!

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I want Scott McAdams to WIN in AK – that will REALLY fire all PUNDITS that have a fetish for PALIN and think Miller is going to WIN!!!

    October 29, 2010 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  9. Lisa - VA

    XWngLady..I agree with you. Every poll that's out there indicates "Likely Voter". If you look at the polling of "Registered Vote"..Democrates -i.e. Harry Reid – are ahead in most of them. So I say..pay no attention to the polls...everyone who can vote..needs to vote. Because if you stay at home...what you will see is the country going back to the 60's or worst. Anyone who thought the 2008 presidential election was important...well let me tell you that the 2010 mid-year election is extremely important. SO GET YOUR BUTT OUT THERE AND VOTE.

    October 29, 2010 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  10. Peter E

    This is still the most meaningless poll question that predicts nothing. Sure, we would all love to throw out Pelosi and Reid, but their own constituents won't. And while most Americans are fed up with incumbents in Congress, they are fed up with OTHER districts' reps, not their own. For the past two decades we've all seen these generic questions 'would you vote democrat or republican,' 'do you approve of the job democrats/republicans are doing in Congress?' The current approval rating of either party is below 25%. And yet, despite all the voter dissatisfaction with incumbents, the best we can ever do is a 'historic' 15-20% overturn of seats once a decade if we're lucky?

    October 29, 2010 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  11. Quietly Voting DEMOCRAT

    The "Sanity" Party. Lol!

    October 29, 2010 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  12. David

    With the Republicans offering no change in
    Policy from the Bush years I.e. Deregulation,etc we can only expect more crooks on wall street and more oil poluting our oceans, etc

    October 29, 2010 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  13. RICKFROMPA

    I don't care what the Polls currently predict. I believe that when "the fat lady sings" the people of America will findly realize that their future is very much at stake and that the Democrats will retain both the House and the Senate!

    October 29, 2010 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  14. Rick in OP

    At the rate the polls are changing the Democrats will declare the election a moral victory if they lose LESS THAN 100 SEATS in the House.

    October 29, 2010 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  15. NVa Native

    Rubio ...oh... Rubio where for art thou. Thou art a tea-bagger – always the bully, and always the victim.
    Cry baby cry baby.
    Your day of public tantrums in the Congress are coming and then we will see if McConnell and Boner can handle the children of the corn. The tea-baggers & ditto heads ridicule the French who have half the population on strike, while we have half our representative government on strike and they and their supporters are proud of them??

    October 29, 2010 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  16. LacrosseMom(real one)

    48 to 44......... well within the margin of error again! How many millions of voters are not being polled, because they have cell phones only?

    A vote for the Republican-TeaParty is a vote for:

    Back to the failed economic policies of the GOP
    Back to kissing-up to Big Oil, Big Pharma, Big Corporations that SHIP U.S. JOBS overseas
    To policies that will prevent "Gays and unwed mothers for teaching in our schools" if Jim DeMint & O'Donnell get their way.
    They will go back to pandering to the conservative-extremists who want to prevent women from having a choice over their bodies.
    To the days in which IF you did not agree with the GOP you were labeled un-American.

    America, can choose to keep moving forward or we can choose to go backwards into the last 8 years of GOP rule. What did 8 years of GOP presidency get you, America?

    Questions: Were you better off after GW Bush left office? After 8 years of GOP leadership? Was our Nation better off?
    IF you answered NO to any of these questions........ how can you vote for the GOP again?

    October 29, 2010 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  17. jm from sc

    If any one in America thinks Christine O'Donnell is any where close to having the knowledge it takes to represent them, may God have mercy on them. I don't know what is wrong with these people.

    October 29, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  18. Peace

    I can't wait for the outcome. I have a feeling that long waited results can turn into a nightmare!

    October 29, 2010 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  19. Vote for a depression, Vote GOP - Greed Over People

    Thank goodness it will not be a 'generic' election on Tuesday!

    October 29, 2010 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  20. Who is going to show up?

    Registered voters don't actually vote when they are pissed off with their own party...unless they are forced to by the unions or tricked into voting by corrupt organizations like ACORN when they are not elligible to do so...

    October 29, 2010 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  21. NVa Native

    tea-baggers, ditto-heads and becklers are out today. Nonsense level warning is up.

    October 29, 2010 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  22. Susan

    Baloney!
    I will be watching Fox News on election night. Its always fun to see them having to announce the DEMOCRATIC winners.

    October 29, 2010 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  23. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Your vote has yet to be counted, don't let the polls steal your vote. I take it personal and you should too.

    October 29, 2010 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |