October 29th, 2010
09:55 AM ET
3 years ago

New prediction in battle for the House

Washington (CNN) - With four days to go until the midterm elections, one of the top non-partisan political handicappers is upping the prediction of how many seats the Republicans will win back in the House of Representatives.

The Rothenberg Political Report Friday forecast a net gain of 55 to 65 seats for the Republicans, with gains at or above 70 seats possible. That's up from Rothenberg's previous forecast of a GOP gain of 45 to 55 seats. The Republicans need a net gain of 39 seats to win back control of the chamber from the Democrats, who have held the House and the Senate for the last four years.

"At this point, there are no signs of a Democratic 'surge,' and some Democrats think that the political environment is deteriorating for the party. Across the country, Republicans are ending their campaigns with calls to 'check' President Obama. Given the mood of the electorate, this is likely to be an effective closing argument," says the Rothenberg Report.

Another top non-partisan political handicapper, the Cook Political Report, Wednesday forecast a net gain of 48 to 60 seats for the Republicans, with higher gains possible.

The largest midterm House loss for the president's party over the past half century came in 1994, when the GOP won back 52 seats to retake the House, and the Senate as well.

Twelve years later the Democrats won back control of the chamber with a net gain of 30 seats, as well as taking back the Senate.

–Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2010 • Congress
soundoff (15 Responses)
  1. Clark Wilhelm Griswald

    I am amazed that people will actually believe that fiscal responsibility will result from a change of parties back to the one who was in power when this economic mess got started. Yes, Obama has been a mediocrity, but replacing him with hard-right extremists? Yeah, that's going to work.

    October 29, 2010 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  2. Michael Lodge

    This election is about taking back America of a very far left agenda. The Congress and the President ignored Americans and that was the nail on the coffin. We could be creating more jobs as a country but business has no confidence in government policys or hidden policy towards our businesses. Healthcare take over was not what America wanted, instead we wanted cleanup and repair of current healthcare programs. Congress did not listen. So now it is time for a change and that is what Americans want and will get. It is the power of our right to vote and make change.

    October 29, 2010 10:18 am at 10:18 am |
  3. Squiggs

    Where shoud the middle class mail their wallets to. I'm sure the rich have already placed their orders for the new toys they'll be buying. For the employed save the checks you'll get between now and January you're going to need them after the Republicans pull the safety net out from under you since they believe you're unemployed becasuse you like living off of the 50% of your paycheck that you get from unemployment. Boy are we a bunch of suckers falling for these guys again.

    October 29, 2010 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
  4. TSUNAMI WARNING: Expected loss of Socialist DemocRATS EXTENSIVE

    In 4 days we will see a fundamental transformation of America BACK TO A REPUBLIC!! The PEOPLE will take back their government from politicians that refuse to listen to the American people. Once that has happened, a systematic dismantaling of the socialist state they have built over the last few decades will begin. Our survival demands it. Otherwise what you see in Greece and France will be playing out in our streets next.

    October 29, 2010 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  5. vic nashville tn

    Right wing media CNN maximum gain 50 seats don’t cook your own report

    October 29, 2010 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  6. tcaros

    This is the same idiot who predicted McCain / Palin would win in 2008.

    Does that tell you something??? Just wishful thinking, not real data.

    October 29, 2010 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  7. The Unsub

    poppycock just vote and we will see on tues.

    October 29, 2010 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  8. The Clear-Thinking Independent

    Sounds like we are headed for a "DO NOTHING" Congress if this report is correct.

    Not sure why an intelligent country would do that at such a crucial time.

    The GOP`ers have been obstructing the Administrations efforts as early as 21 days into Mr. Obama`s inaguration.

    Best course for America is to give the PResident fillibuster proof majorities and then evaluate after a full term.

    Then, if we don`t like what they`ve done, throw the Semocrats out of Congress and the White house.

    Tough times call for clear leadership – not an "NFL-like" offsetting penalties approach to governing. All that gets us is 1 step forward and 1 step back.

    That`s not what I want for my country.

    October 29, 2010 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  9. Sandra

    God help us all (or at least normal Americans). The GOP will most certainly help the wealthy.

    October 29, 2010 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  10. keepstufingthis

    Love that smell of liberal deperation and fear that is in the air.

    October 29, 2010 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  11. jules sand-perkins

    Democrats had their chance.
    Remember that night in Grant Park? All of America was in tears.
    "It might have been."

    October 29, 2010 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  12. katiec

    The media (big business) has done everything they can to push, convince the American voters that the republicans will take over political positions.
    They do not give us credit for intelligence, being capable of seeing through their propaganda, and, realizing that voting in politicians who put Wall St, big business, the wealthy over the welfare of us and our country, want to put our country in gridlock for the next two years, are trying to buy the election with questionable donations are not the party which intelligent, concerned voters will support.
    We must all get out and vote, we cannot allow our great freedom of determining who will represent us be bought and controlled by Wall St, special interests and those who will not put our country and us first.

    October 29, 2010 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  13. Chessnutz of Liverpool NY

    Democrats or Republicans, no matter to lives of working middle class Americans. We will receive the same fake representation we have had for the last forty years. All of these representatives are getting re-elected or elected with the large amount of special interest funding. They will work for those special interests and not the people once more.
    My Property taxes are still going up 113% in 2011 even though everyone of these people promised to lower taxes.

    October 29, 2010 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  14. Charles W. Skinner

    A gain of 60 seats would be earth-shattering in terms of the nation speaking with one voice in saying "We DON'T like the Obama and Democrat policies." It would be the nation finally standing up and saying "HELL NO. Change it BACK." I expect that the new Conservative ascendancy will place HUGE amounts of pressure on RINOs in the party to RETIRE the moment they realize that if they don't support conservative Ideals (we're talking AT you Snowe and Collins, regardless of the fact you're not listening) that they're going to be stripped of leadership positions and forced out in the 2012 and 2014 elections.

    October 29, 2010 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  15. John G

    The landslide is as sure to come as tomorrow is. Buckle up liberals, Time to slam on the breaks before we go over the cliff.

    October 29, 2010 11:08 am at 11:08 am |