(CNN) - With four days to go until the midterm elections, a second straight poll in the most high profile Senate battle in the country indicates Republican challenger Sharron Angle holds a four point advantage over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.
But Angle's four point margin in a new Mason-Dixon survey for the Las Vegas Review-Journal/8 News Now is within the poll's sampling error, making it a neck and neck race.
According to poll, 45 percent of likely voters in Nevada are backing Angle, who enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement, with 45 percent backing Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate, who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber.
Three percent of people questioned in the survey say they are undecided, with one percent saying they are backing other candidates on the ballot and two percent saying they will vote for none of the candidates, which is a ballot option in Nevada.
The Mason-Dixon poll's Friday release comes two days after a CNN/Time/Opinion Research survey indicated that Angle held the same 49 to 45 percent advantage over Reid. Two percent questioned in the CNN/Time poll supported Scott Ashjian, who is running as a Tea Party candidate, but who is shunned by many in the grassroots conservative movement, and three percent saying they are voting for none of the candidates listed. Angle's margin in the CNN poll is within that survey's sampling error.
Other surveys released in the past two weeks also indicate a small single digit margin for Angle.
According to the Mason-Dixon survey, Angle leads 85 to 8 percent among Republicans and 55 to 38 percent among independent voters, with Reid ahead 84 to 11 percent among Democrats.
"Reid just can't get much above 45 percent, and she's carrying the independents," Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker tells the Review-Journal. "I haven't seen a poll showing him up since the debate. That might have been when things started to lock in."
Reid and Angle faced off October 14 in their only debate.
According to the CNN/Time poll, Reid leads 96 to 3 percent among Democrats, with Angle leading 82 to 10 percent among Republicans and 53 to 38 percent among independent voters.
"Reid is doing best in Clark County, home not just to Las Vegas but to his hometown of Searchlight," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "He manages a virtual tie with Angle in her home territory in Washoe County, where Reno is located. But Reid is getting clobbered in the rest of the state, losing the rural areas of Nevada by more than three-to-one."
In a sign that enthusiasm for voting appears to be on the Republican side, when expanded from those likely to vote to the larger sample of all registered voters, Reid holds a 43 to 39 percent advantage over Angle, with five percent backing Ashjian and 12 percent saying they'll vote for none of the candidates.
President Barack Obama teamed up with Reid in Nevada last week. According to the poll, 39 percent of likely voters in Nevada approve of the job Obama's doing as president, with 59 percent saying they disapprove. Among all adults in the state, 44 percent approve of the job Obama's doing, with 49 percent disapproving of how he's handling his duties.
The Mason-Dixon poll indicates that 39 percent have a favorable opinion of Reid, with 56 percent saying they hold an unfavorable opinion. Likely voters are split on Angle, with 43 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the former state lawmaker, with 45 percent saying they see her in an unfavorable light.
The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.
The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted October 25-27, with 625 likely voters in Nevada questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.
The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted October 20-26, with 1,504 Nevada adults, including 1,286 registered voters and 773 likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.
The only question I would raise at this late date is "when did working people not people who run or own business but just plain working stiffs become republicans?
Post from Charlie on a previous ticker.
Social Security in its current form is a failure. In SS you contribute 15% (includes employer match), work for 50 years, and get a check of 30% of your salary. Private plans contribute 15%, you work for 30 years, and retire with 80% of your salary. Private pension plans earn money over the long haul while SS loses money.
October 29, 2010 12:00 am at 12:00 am |
Keep in mind with Social Security that when you die, you forfeit everything, even if collected less than you put in. With a private plan 401k, 403b, you pass on what ever is left to you heirs. I would love to take care of my own retirement and my family after I am gone. But alas the government forces me to go in their plan instead and I have nothing left for a private plan.
We all know what a disaster Reid has been. He is so far left of center it makes me sick.
Senator Angle has beaten the liar who is a large contributor of misery American families are suffering. Pelosi loses her throne as well. We finish cleaning this mess up by firing Obama in 2012 unless we have enough to impeach him early.
I will turn to Fox news just to get a kick out of them having to project Harry Reid as the real winner.
I am pro choice, I do not advocate that anyone get an abortion (I believe they should be safe, legal and rarely done). But how would you feel if your wife or daughter were raped then forced to have the rapists baby. that is what this woman stands for. Explain to me how she is for "smaller government" when she expects the government to monitor every pregnancy in the country. She is in it for the money, she is in it for the "fame". This is a person who thinks that the media is supposed to only ask her questions she wants to answer. All of the people who fear big government, why do you not fear big multinational corporations (whose profits do no profit America)? It's not the government that will be coming for your guns, it will be Xe, or Blackwater, or Halliburton. If you don't like what the government is doing, you can vote the SOB out of office. If you don't like what Exxon is doing who are you going to complain to?????
The White House will soon be the "Nut House" if this woman wins.
I am constantly amazed at the weight placed on these polls. Now while I like seeing positive signs for my side, I'm also aware at how dubious most polling is. My background is in science and research and have a pretty damned good understanding of viable sampling number when conducting a study. And I have to tell people that a sample of 500-1100 people even in a state is not significant and has no ability to gauge with much accuracy what the population thinks or is leaning. It's just not possible. And as far as national polls go...the average sample is 1,012 people??? How is that viable? That's only about 20 people from each state.
So anyways, I could go on but this is just something to think about with this political polling and PLEASE, please do not let them influence your decisions about who to vote for or whether you vote or not. The polls really don't mean much, it's the end result. And only you can influence that.
Amazing this whack job continues to lead in the polls. Now she has a double and is dodging the press again. Pretty bad when big name Republicans are endorsing a Democrat. This is even crazier than where I used to live the "shove it" state Rhode Island. We voted this past week and put the stickers on the door to ward off campaigners. Now if we could only block the constant phone calls including one at 1a.m.! The TV stations out here are going to mourn the loss of advertising revenue next week.