October 29th, 2010
11:30 AM ET
3 years ago

Two straight polls: Angle 49, Reid 45 in Nevada

(CNN) - With four days to go until the midterm elections, a second straight poll in the most high profile Senate battle in the country indicates Republican challenger Sharron Angle holds a four point advantage over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

But Angle's four point margin in a new Mason-Dixon survey for the Las Vegas Review-Journal/8 News Now is within the poll's sampling error, making it a neck and neck race.

According to poll, 45 percent of likely voters in Nevada are backing Angle, who enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement, with 45 percent backing Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate, who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber.

Three percent of people questioned in the survey say they are undecided, with one percent saying they are backing other candidates on the ballot and two percent saying they will vote for none of the candidates, which is a ballot option in Nevada.

The Mason-Dixon poll's Friday release comes two days after a CNN/Time/Opinion Research survey indicated that Angle held the same 49 to 45 percent advantage over Reid. Two percent questioned in the CNN/Time poll supported Scott Ashjian, who is running as a Tea Party candidate, but who is shunned by many in the grassroots conservative movement, and three percent saying they are voting for none of the candidates listed. Angle's margin in the CNN poll is within that survey's sampling error.

Other surveys released in the past two weeks also indicate a small single digit margin for Angle.

According to the Mason-Dixon survey, Angle leads 85 to 8 percent among Republicans and 55 to 38 percent among independent voters, with Reid ahead 84 to 11 percent among Democrats.

"Reid just can't get much above 45 percent, and she's carrying the independents," Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker tells the Review-Journal. "I haven't seen a poll showing him up since the debate. That might have been when things started to lock in."

Reid and Angle faced off October 14 in their only debate.

According to the CNN/Time poll, Reid leads 96 to 3 percent among Democrats, with Angle leading 82 to 10 percent among Republicans and 53 to 38 percent among independent voters.

"Reid is doing best in Clark County, home not just to Las Vegas but to his hometown of Searchlight," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "He manages a virtual tie with Angle in her home territory in Washoe County, where Reno is located. But Reid is getting clobbered in the rest of the state, losing the rural areas of Nevada by more than three-to-one."

In a sign that enthusiasm for voting appears to be on the Republican side, when expanded from those likely to vote to the larger sample of all registered voters, Reid holds a 43 to 39 percent advantage over Angle, with five percent backing Ashjian and 12 percent saying they'll vote for none of the candidates.

President Barack Obama teamed up with Reid in Nevada last week. According to the poll, 39 percent of likely voters in Nevada approve of the job Obama's doing as president, with 59 percent saying they disapprove. Among all adults in the state, 44 percent approve of the job Obama's doing, with 49 percent disapproving of how he's handling his duties.

The Mason-Dixon poll indicates that 39 percent have a favorable opinion of Reid, with 56 percent saying they hold an unfavorable opinion. Likely voters are split on Angle, with 43 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the former state lawmaker, with 45 percent saying they see her in an unfavorable light.

The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted October 25-27, with 625 likely voters in Nevada questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted October 20-26, with 1,504 Nevada adults, including 1,286 registered voters and 773 likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.


Filed under: 2010 • Harry Reid • Polls • Sharron Angle
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. keepstufingthis

    That is so great, but, remember the SEIU wants this one badly and they could find a Chevy Impala full of ballots marked for Reid that they have to count like when Franken got elected in Minnesota. Always remember that ACORN was, and still is, a wholly owned subsidiary of SEIU, just like the White House.

    October 29, 2010 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  2. Bill

    Could CNN start reporting which polls are AUTOMATED and which are LIVE PEOPLE?? The automated polls are full of holes.

    October 29, 2010 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  3. Rick in OP

    The SECOND American Revolution starts next Tuesday at 7:00 AM, Eastern time.

    October 29, 2010 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  4. Anonymous

    I knew the poeple of Nvada where gamblers, but must they risk the entire country to make a point?
    What could they possible like about this women? Harry Reid may not make them happy, but Angle?
    NEVADA PLEASE LOOOK INTO THIS WOMEN BEFORE VOTING FOR HER!

    October 29, 2010 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  5. kmp

    If you fools vote her in you deserve what you get. I am not a fan of Reid or Peloisi, but really Angle she is a very scary person.

    October 29, 2010 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  6. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Reclaim your sanity Nevada!!
    Vote Democrat! Hell, vote Independent but DO NOT vote in this nutjob.

    October 29, 2010 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  7. grrace

    Harry Reid will lose his seat for gutting the Wild Free-Roaming Horses and Burros Act of 1971. Reid is responsible for the Conrad Burns Rider that gutted the Act, according to a Conrad Burns interview. If Harry Reid came out and promised to re-instate full protections back our nations wild horses and burros, his numbers would improve over night.

    October 29, 2010 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  8. carol

    I can't understand this. This is the girl that most of us hated in highschool because she was mean and made fun of everyone else! Those of you working in Vagas think about no social secuirty, no unemployment, no health care, no union, no education for middle class. This is not me speaking these are her own words.

    October 29, 2010 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  9. terry, va

    It will be an Angle blow out unless Dirty Harry can get all his crooks and thugs from the unions to steal the election.

    October 29, 2010 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  10. Thersa

    Oh Harry Reid, you though Nevada couldn't possible be this crazy. You were wrong.

    October 29, 2010 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  11. Fair is Fair

    Glad you fell on your sword for Obama, Harry? You've got a lot of company... like about 65 house democrats and another half dozen senators. Booo hoooo hooo, Pelosi... no more private jet for you. Enjoy Halloween with the rest of your coven.

    October 29, 2010 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  12. MAhole

    Wake up Nevada. You will get what you vote for AND you surely won't like it if Angle gets the nod.
    Unless you are already one of the elite in this country, this election is about to be a disaster the likes of which no one could ever imagine. If the Republicans regain power, the middle class as America has known it will cease to exisit. We will all be on soup and bread lines by June 2011.
    Go ahead – see if I am wrong............

    October 29, 2010 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  13. Hap

    If she wins I've lost all respect for the people of Nevada. How can you elect a box of rocks like her who stays away from the real public and press to hide her obvious shortcommings. the rest of the country doesn't deserve her no matter how you feel about Reid. I'm not against tea party people, just unqualified ones like her and the witch from Delaware.

    October 29, 2010 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  14. Bill

    If the people of Nevada are so brain dead as to elect Sharron Angle, they will deserve everything they get. Go for it people – vote this lunatic to the Senate and see how the future of your state looks.

    October 29, 2010 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  15. Kevin

    Seriously Nevada? This lady is not fit to hold office. She can't even stand face to face with the media and answer questions. She is clearly running to protect the rich and privledged. I'm not saying Reid is the best ever but come on, this lady is a joke. Anyone who would even consider voting for her is not very in tune with reality.

    October 29, 2010 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  16. bbrooker

    Palin, Angle, and Bachmann are abominations!! I don't lump O'Donnell in that group because she's at least pleasant while being dumb. Voting for Angle is a clear case of "cutting off your nose to spite your face."

    October 29, 2010 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  17. Joe from CT, not Lieberman

    I can just see it now – a vote in the Senate that would normally pass unanimously will come out as follows: "Mr. President, the vote is 99 to Angle".

    October 29, 2010 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  18. Lynda/Minnesota

    At least Mason/Dixon admitted to over polling Republicans in this new poll of theirs. There are some very strange things happening with the polls this election. I can't help but wonder why?

    October 29, 2010 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  19. beth

    So they are replacing one undesirable politician with another. How much sense does that make? I guess the average person in Nevada is just not very smart.

    October 29, 2010 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  20. Republicans is smart in the head area

    It's pretty simple math. It's about turnout. The polls indicate that Angle is ahead with "likely voters" and Reid is ahead with "registered voters". If he mobilizes and gets the registered Dems to turn out, he's re-elected. If not, the Sharon Angle tragicomedy show goes to DC.

    October 29, 2010 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  21. TSUNAMI WARNING: Expected loss of Socialist DemocRATS EXTENSIVE

    BYE BYE HARRY!!! The country will be SO MUCH BETTER OFF without you in there. The damage you have done over the last few years is tremendous. We need somebody that puts AMERICAN CITIZENS FIRST!

    October 29, 2010 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  22. stevetall

    Proving once again that there are a lot of not-smart people in Nevada. Come on people. Don't vote for the same Republican schmucks who destroyed our economy in the first place. Let's not prove that we are as stupid as the rest of the world thinks we are!

    October 29, 2010 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  23. roba0001

    Google what Senator Reid had to say about President Obama that appeared Jan 9th and 10th 2010 and you will clearly know that Angle should be elected.

    October 29, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  24. Marie MD

    Nevada needs to secede before they elect this lunatic to the senate. angle has shown time and time again that she is a coward. She will only speak to the press that is friendly to her. She wants to do away with what, I would think, a lot of people in Nevada need (social security, medicare).
    What are these people thinking????? This nation is in decline. The small majority of dumb butts are running the country.

    October 29, 2010 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  25. ddt

    It's abandantly clear CNN IS rooting for Angle. With increased propaganda on CNN how the DEMS are gonna lose 55-60 seats in the house is so pathetic to think that all Americans have the same wishes like CNN and FIX news

    October 29, 2010 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
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