October 29th, 2010
11:30 AM ET
4 years ago

Two straight polls: Angle 49, Reid 45 in Nevada

(CNN) - With four days to go until the midterm elections, a second straight poll in the most high profile Senate battle in the country indicates Republican challenger Sharron Angle holds a four point advantage over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

But Angle's four point margin in a new Mason-Dixon survey for the Las Vegas Review-Journal/8 News Now is within the poll's sampling error, making it a neck and neck race.

According to poll, 45 percent of likely voters in Nevada are backing Angle, who enjoys strong support from many in the Tea Party movement, with 45 percent backing Reid, the top Democrat in the Senate, who's bidding for a fifth term in the chamber.

Three percent of people questioned in the survey say they are undecided, with one percent saying they are backing other candidates on the ballot and two percent saying they will vote for none of the candidates, which is a ballot option in Nevada.

The Mason-Dixon poll's Friday release comes two days after a CNN/Time/Opinion Research survey indicated that Angle held the same 49 to 45 percent advantage over Reid. Two percent questioned in the CNN/Time poll supported Scott Ashjian, who is running as a Tea Party candidate, but who is shunned by many in the grassroots conservative movement, and three percent saying they are voting for none of the candidates listed. Angle's margin in the CNN poll is within that survey's sampling error.

Other surveys released in the past two weeks also indicate a small single digit margin for Angle.

According to the Mason-Dixon survey, Angle leads 85 to 8 percent among Republicans and 55 to 38 percent among independent voters, with Reid ahead 84 to 11 percent among Democrats.

"Reid just can't get much above 45 percent, and she's carrying the independents," Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker tells the Review-Journal. "I haven't seen a poll showing him up since the debate. That might have been when things started to lock in."

Reid and Angle faced off October 14 in their only debate.

According to the CNN/Time poll, Reid leads 96 to 3 percent among Democrats, with Angle leading 82 to 10 percent among Republicans and 53 to 38 percent among independent voters.

"Reid is doing best in Clark County, home not just to Las Vegas but to his hometown of Searchlight," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "He manages a virtual tie with Angle in her home territory in Washoe County, where Reno is located. But Reid is getting clobbered in the rest of the state, losing the rural areas of Nevada by more than three-to-one."

In a sign that enthusiasm for voting appears to be on the Republican side, when expanded from those likely to vote to the larger sample of all registered voters, Reid holds a 43 to 39 percent advantage over Angle, with five percent backing Ashjian and 12 percent saying they'll vote for none of the candidates.

President Barack Obama teamed up with Reid in Nevada last week. According to the poll, 39 percent of likely voters in Nevada approve of the job Obama's doing as president, with 59 percent saying they disapprove. Among all adults in the state, 44 percent approve of the job Obama's doing, with 49 percent disapproving of how he's handling his duties.

The Mason-Dixon poll indicates that 39 percent have a favorable opinion of Reid, with 56 percent saying they hold an unfavorable opinion. Likely voters are split on Angle, with 43 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the former state lawmaker, with 45 percent saying they see her in an unfavorable light.

The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The Mason-Dixon poll was conducted October 25-27, with 625 likely voters in Nevada questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted October 20-26, with 1,504 Nevada adults, including 1,286 registered voters and 773 likely voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for likely voters.


Filed under: 2010 • Harry Reid • Polls • Sharron Angle
soundoff (59 Responses)
  1. Riley

    THat's bad news for Reid, BUT GREAT NEWS FOR AMERICA!!!

    Good-bye, Harry Reid!!!

    October 29, 2010 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  2. Captain Awesome

    See ya Reid. Get the lights on your way out, will ya?

    October 29, 2010 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  3. S. in California Laughing In Anticipation Of How Well Democrats Turnout At The Polls

    Well, I'll say it again. IF she wins (and I doubt it) I will be canceling my upcoming trip. This would be my first trip to Nevada and I was REALLY looking forward to it but I have NO use for ANY state this stupid. I'll take my business elsewhere. End of story.

    October 29, 2010 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  4. What is the country coming to

    This is want I don't understand......people who voted for Reid and the Dem wants to turn their backs on him, just like they are doing with our President. You never know what side you are on. 2008 everyone was hipe about the President, now today they just want to kick him in the street. Come on People he only been there for 2 years, that being saId Angle just want to set this country back....a less Reid attempt to do somethins. NV if she wins, you get what you ask for.......no education no social sercurity and medicare and no jobs....

    October 29, 2010 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  5. Clark Wilhelm Griswald

    Ever wonder how advanced, industrialized nation like Germany and Japan became monsters in World War II ? Economic crisis and the emergence of nationalist right-wing extremism (who shouted loud and wide about the threat of scialism).

    Economic crisis, the emergence of nationalist right-wing extremism (who shout loud and wide about the threat of socialism). Yes, lets get the extremists in power, see what happens. Not like history has already taught us that lesson again and again.

    October 29, 2010 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  6. Mike - Las Vegas

    Unfortunately there are too many people living in the suburbs here that are a lot like Angle: old, white and cranky. Nevada will deserve what they get if they vote her in. An ignorant political novice dedicated to obstruction and loyal to the party of No, versus having the Majority speaker as their representative. Vegas will continue it's downward spiral if nutjob Angle is allowed to serve. Glad I'm moving out of this town and state but not before casting my vote for Reid.

    October 29, 2010 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  7. vic nashville tn

    Nevada voter have Taliban candidate and very slow candidate ( drag the health care bill in senate more than 6 months)
    Very hard decision for voters

    October 29, 2010 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  8. The Big J

    I'm sure Angle will win. Then what will Nevadans do after their state truly hits the skids?

    October 29, 2010 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm |
  9. Lolo

    I agrre with Dominican Mama. This woman is definitely a nutjob. She looks crazy. Vote for anybody but her. She is racist to the bone. I could not believe how she spoke to those high school students and the things that come out of her mouth. I hope that there are not too many mushroom people in Nevada like they are in the southern and midwest parts of the country.

    October 29, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  10. Rachel in Sin City

    Angle's whole platform is "Vote Reid Out". Then what? What is she going to do to get the state out of the deep hole it's in? She has no plan, no vision, no ideas, nothing that tells me what she will do for Nevada once she gets to DC. She has ran a despicable campaign full of lies (death panels?) and fearmongering (the brown people are gonna kill your family and take your job!). She doesn't give a rat's *** about the people of Nevada, all she cares about is her own glory. If this woman gets elected it'll just further prove that this is the dumbest state in the country.

    October 29, 2010 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  11. Tony

    It is strange that Nevadans are about to elect someone who said that it is not the job of a senator to create jobs (Angle). If that is the case, why are they mad about Reid? It is not as if he had raised taxes. Obama had actually lowered taxes for 95% of Americans, and many corporations still pay no taxes. The Bush tax cuts are still in effect for all Americans. So what else do people expect Reid to do? Repeal the health care bill so that insurance companies can continue to gouge Americans?

    October 29, 2010 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  12. dwayne

    christian white party at its worst.

    October 29, 2010 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  13. dean

    Angle does not believe that the United States Constitution mandates the separation of church and state. Ask her !
    What a pair her and O'Donnell make. Sharron is a right-winger, and going back in that direction only spells disaster for her state and this country. When will the parties stop trying to 'control' the government, and start working with each other.

    October 29, 2010 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  14. dwayne

    She scares me.

    October 29, 2010 01:07 pm at 1:07 pm |
  15. dwayne

    I really feel sorry for people of latin decent.

    October 29, 2010 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  16. LacrosseMom(real one)

    4 points is well within the margin of error. Also, we all know that pollsters can not poll those with cell phones. And..... the LATINO vote, will carry Harry Reid back to the Congress.

    The Republicans-TeaParty will be surprised on NOvember 2nd, when the Latinos, Gays, Women, Muslims, Blacks, all Minorities which they loath and disrespect will cast their votes for the DEMOCRATS!

    Americans are a lot smarter than the Republican-TeaParty thinks we are! We are NOT going to put them back in power after only.......22 months!

    October 29, 2010 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  17. bonish bonishov

    Mr. "Expected loss of socialist democrat extensive." You need to do your self a monumental favor and educate your self a little bit because your ignorance and the ignorance of the majority of your tea party candidates is troubling. I am going to point to you again that this great republic in which you live has numerous aspects of socialism that makes your life and the life of numerous other people livable. I am going to go through the list again so that it stick on your brain this time: social security, medicare, medicaid, the FAA, the department of education, the department of agriculture and numerous other farm subsidies it hands out to farmers, the FCC, the Federal reserve, the army, the US Navy, the national guard, the cost guard, department of transportation and highway safety commission, student loans, etc...are all great socialist ideas from which you and your tea party heroes benefit without any complaints.

    The majority of European government and parliamentary monarchies are social-democrat. They have universal healthcare system, post secondary education is almost free for every citizen, students and parents do not have to ride debts just to attend college, rent is subsidized, etc...and the quality of life is higher in those country than it is in this country.

    As for this election, vote for a candidate because you agree with whatever platform he or she is running on. Don't vote against someone because you just exacerbating the problem. Use your civic duty responsibly by understanding the issues and not just repeating words such as socialist as though it were an insult. Tell people i am voting for Mr. Angle because she represents x, y, and z...stop saying she is going to end socialism because in my opinion, she does not have the brain to understand what socialism is and how well it helps people like you and her live better in this great country.

    Again having a difference of opinion with the current administration and its members of congress based on policy is one thing but exposing your ignorance on this public forum the way your tea party candidates are doing all over the media they chose to invite is unforgiving...educate your self a little!

    October 29, 2010 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  18. Jerry

    Finally, REid will realize that he works for the people, and they are going to FIRE HIM.

    October 29, 2010 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  19. JOE WITH NO JOB

    Reid needs to go! He is NOT a PATRIOT. He has harmed America!

    October 29, 2010 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  20. Bruce

    LOL, go ahead liberals, cry all you want WAHHHHHHHHHHHHH WAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH WAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. All you peole ever do is name call about all the candidates and never prove anything. You just believe every sound bite you hear from the liberal media and take it as truith. I can't wait to see the expression on all the liberals faces come Monday morning when they wonder how it could possibly have happened that they lost both the House AND Senate.

    October 29, 2010 01:30 pm at 1:30 pm |
  21. willie flpyd

    Of all the "tea baggers" this woman scares me the most! As a female, I have no great love for Reid, but at his worst, he's far better than Angle. She makes foreign terrorists look like angels. Nevadans, please don't destroy the rest of our country by sending her to congress.

    October 29, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  22. Sniffinglue

    BLACK DEMOCRATS – See how the Democratic Party is treating Kendrick Meek in Florida? They are effectively telling the black guy to get in the back of the bus so the white guy can win. And make sure you remember who was trying to orchestrate this scam….CLINTON! So if you happen to see somebody with the last name of CLINTON running for president in a few years, remember what they tried to do to Kendrick Meek.

    October 29, 2010 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  23. DLH

    Dead Heat? Doesn't a 4% error also mean it could be Reid getting his Butt kicked 53% to 41%? This could just as easily be a double-digit lead as a "dead Heat." No liberal media bias here!!!

    October 29, 2010 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  24. roro

    The people of Nevada are downright STUPID!! This woman is a crazy loon, and everything she says and runs away from proves it.

    October 29, 2010 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  25. LiberalMajority

    I've never been to Nevada before, and if lunatic domestic extremist Sharron Angle wins, I never will be. Pathetic.

    October 29, 2010 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
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