October 31st, 2010
08:50 PM ET
3 years ago

CNN Poll: Majority believes GOP will win back Congress

Washington (CNN) - A majority of Americans think that the Republicans will control Congress after Tuesday's midterm elections, but only a third say the country will be better off under a GOP takeover, according to a new national poll.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday also indicates that a majority of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes President Barack Obama.

According to the poll, 51 percent of the public thinks the GOP will win back control of Congress on Tuesday, with 36 percent saying the Democrats will retain control.

Thirty-four percent of those questioned say the country will be better off if the Republicans win back Congress, with 28 percent saying the country will be worse off and 36 percent saying it won't make a difference.

"The belief that GOP control will make things better is highest among older voters and suburbanites, but even among those groups only four in ten say that Republicans will improve things in the country," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

Thirty-nine percent of registered voters say they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports Obama, down from 54 percent a year ago, with 50 percent saying they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who opposes the president, up from 41 percent last October.

According to the poll, 46 percent of the public approves Obama's job performance, with 51 percent disapproving of how he's handling his duties. Fifty-five percent of Independent voters disapprove of the job the president's doing, with 39 percent saying they approve.

Fifty-six percent believe that Obama has not paid enough attention to the country's problems, and nearly half say he is too liberal. The public has more confidence in the Republicans than the Democrats on a number of issues, including the economy, health care, taxes, and the deficit.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted October 27-30, with 1,006 adult Americans - including 921 registered voters and 542 likely voters - questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story.


Filed under: 2010 • CNN poll • Polls
soundoff (22 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    Really? You don't say. CNN has only told us the election results for weeks now.

    October 31, 2010 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  2. Liz the First

    Let's hope the majority come to their senses and vote for the problem solvers, not the people who created the problems in the first place and then stood in lockstep opposition to solving all the problems they created. one difference between the parties is that the Democrats are bad at getting good things done and the repubilcans are very good at getting bad things done. we need to have people in office who care about all Americans, not just the top 1%! vote Democratic or have that second Great Depression Obama's policies saved us from.

    October 31, 2010 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  3. Not fooled

    Democrats don't believe the polls. I have lived long enough to know it's not over till it's over. So please get out there and vote. (If you stay home of course we will lose).

    October 31, 2010 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  4. Teapartywins

    I know CNN hates this since they are the liberal news network. Funny How CNN never mentions the Dems have been in charge since 2006

    October 31, 2010 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  5. Eddie P

    How did less than 10% predict split control like every single poll is showing?

    October 31, 2010 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  6. duke

    We live in the day's of "gossip rules"
    A time when you are not even living under the"innocent until proven guilty" slogan,
    A sad time we live in ,so sad that before one vote is cast a majority leader is picking out a new desk(to perform the same dirty tricks)!
    If this country is made up of corporate CEO's then I can understand voting for lower taxes(since you'll pay less than a working class black and blue collared man),
    But if you are a hard working pay check to check person I just can't see why you'd vote the corporate party line.
    I would rather go broke trying to fix america rather than spend all our treasures fighting an illegal war!!

    October 31, 2010 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  7. kara

    This poll is inherently flawed, in that it contradicts itself, saying two thirds of voters disapprove of GOP performance, yet over half of voters will vote for them anyway? If these election cycle achieves anything, it will be the death of the polling system, you could only get these results from several different sample groups and I suspect that's what happened.
    This article dosen't evn pretend to make any sense, and here's a novel thought ofr CNN and other news providers.
    How about you guys go back to being news REPORTERS, instead of news predictors!

    October 31, 2010 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  8. T'SAH from Virginia

    All of this NEWS about the BIG TAKE OVER is NOT OVER until the FAT LADY SINGS!!! And I don't see anyone singing YET!!!

    DEMOCRATS – We are on a MISSION – We are STRONG – We are FIGHTERS and – We are BELIEVERS!!!! All we have to do is GET OUT AND VOTE!!!! Yes We Can!!!

    Don't get distracted and IGNORE the POLLS!!!! The POLLS are of LIKELY VOTERS and not registered voters. The POLLS lean to the RIGHT and if they are RIGHT LIKELY VOTERS, then that's all that's there!!

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I approve this message!!!

    October 31, 2010 10:04 pm at 10:04 pm |
  9. nick

    Those who put the party of "NO" back in power will soon wish they had not done it... 2-years of misery, greed and callous disregard of the poor and needy.

    October 31, 2010 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  10. Potential

    This is nonsense! Majority of people carry cell phones anyways. Who in this day and age pays for a landline?
    Keep your head up Mr. President.

    October 31, 2010 11:01 pm at 11:01 pm |
  11. Indy

    Giving the Republicans control of congress is like rewarding someone for taking your family and freinds to the brink of financial disaster and then forgiving them after 18 months. Republicans remind me of ponzi scheme operators, they ruin your life and then want immediate forgiveness. I would never forgive Madoff after 18 ,months and he only ruined thousands of lives and yet there are people that will reward Republicans who have ruined millions and millions of lives not to mention the American blood on their sleeves from the outright lies to go to war in Iraq. Really think hard and with your best foot forward when you vote and remember that no country has ever become successful for going back in time

    October 31, 2010 11:02 pm at 11:02 pm |
  12. Max Maat

    Most media is controlled by Wall Street thugs, they are twisting polls. No matter what poll says, I will VOTE for Democrates in NOV 2.

    October 31, 2010 11:06 pm at 11:06 pm |
  13. Squigman

    30 million flies, might eat a pile of dung. That doesn't mean we have to follow suit. Vote.

    October 31, 2010 11:08 pm at 11:08 pm |
  14. use the brain

    We can only hope that the GOP wins back Congress. The democrats have shown that a little power (well, a supermajority) is a very dangerous think, especially if you have a ideologue in the White House.

    October 31, 2010 11:24 pm at 11:24 pm |
  15. Sharon

    No results shown for 18 – 34 year olds. why?

    October 31, 2010 11:33 pm at 11:33 pm |
  16. todd

    history will be made nov. 2. As the biggest butt whoppin ever taken by the dems. In 2012 COMMUNISM will permanently DIE!!!

    October 31, 2010 11:54 pm at 11:54 pm |
  17. J.V.Hodgson

    THe poll simply shows that it is politics as usual in America I.e kick the incumbents butt in Mid terms and make a point.
    The most damning comment is in the % age that say the change will achieve nothing.
    You know these polls simply tell most of us what we already know during mid terms presidential ratings decline and the incumbent parties lose seats.
    That said the dissatisfaction with both sides is clear.... the bit I dont get is why so many Americans will vote republican without a single real clue of how they will fix all the issues facing the country ( it is not simply Obama's fault) as they try to paint it is a global crisis where the largest economic and fiscal damage took place in America.
    The so called wave based on this poll will not be as big as Republicans would like.
    Regards,
    Hodgson

    November 1, 2010 12:10 am at 12:10 am |
  18. barry

    House goes Republican by large margin and it is looking highly probable the Senate will be Republican by narrow margin.

    November 1, 2010 12:25 am at 12:25 am |
  19. Moosehead

    The media and the polls have manipulated the numbers to create drama and a horse race,.. i believe the Democrats will do much better than what the numbers say,.. as a matter of fact,.. the silent majority , and the saner segment of the American electorate, will repudiate the radical extremism of the far right. Republicans will make no major gains,.. and hopefully Obama can carry out his exorcism of Washington's corruption.

    November 1, 2010 12:26 am at 12:26 am |
  20. Vote on Nov 2 for Democrats!

    We have to fight their millions of dollars attack ads, with millions of voices that votes. Go gettin Dems!

    November 1, 2010 02:33 am at 2:33 am |
  21. Marry

    You can vote two ways:
    Down – vote GOP/TP You know, the ones that lied to the country and had their “friends” profit from overspending on illegal wars, killing our finest and over 100 000 civilians (that really makes friends around the world!), reaping the profits of shipping jobs abroad to slave labor forces and importing junk back for you to buy, instead of modernizing and investing in an innovative US. On the way, insulting you now that you should work hard even though they know very well that you cannot find work at the moment since they destroyed the industries that had them for you! On top of it presenting you with a group of candidates that should insult your intelligence if you vote for them!
    Up – vote for Democrats They knew that the hill is steep. And they did work hard to come up with solutions while the opposition stated from the first minute their goal was to make the President fail. The Democrats and the President cannot solve a mess created during a very long time of wrong politics in just 24 months! But, they want to work for you (98%) first. They know what a load it is to be afraid to get sick and get dumped by insurance and they did a lot for us there. They know that a lot has to be still done. And they work for you to make that happening! But, you have to be a little patient! Don’t stand in the way of the future by fear – be optimistic and brave.
    Please, my friends go out and vote! But vote responsible and smart!

    November 1, 2010 02:49 am at 2:49 am |
  22. D. Bunker

    Ignore the phony landline polls from our right-leaning, so-called "liberal" media, apparently seeking to discourage Dem voters. Most sane and rational Americans now see what's at stake as faceless millionaires, billionaires and foreign interests try to buy the election for the American Taliban. Average hard working Americans have seen the light, and recognize that the GOBP is a desperate cult, and rather than admit their articles of faith, such as deregulation, tax cuts for the ultrarich and unfair global trade, are PROVEN FAILURES, these nutjob extremists instead are seeking to spread their darkness of ignorance, fear, lies, and hate. We are the light, and our votes will send the teatards scuttling away, like cockroaches from the light. The Party of NO has no plan, no valid ideas and certainly no concern for Main St. America. They are massively out of touch with the poor and working class. We know this, and will vote accordingly.

    November 1, 2010 08:04 am at 8:04 am |