(CNN) - The good news for Democrats so far: Things aren’t quite as awful as they could be, according to early exit polls. The bad news: That’s still pretty bad.
The short version: it’s all about who’s showing up today…and who isn’t. Two-thirds of Hispanic voters, 6 in 10 young voters and the overwhelming share of black voters are backing Democrats. There just aren’t as many of them as there were last cycle: The percentage of youth voters dropped by half in early exit polls, from 18 to 9. The black vote has edged down to 10 percent.
Independents make up about a third of the electorate today – and they’re breaking big for Republicans. Democrats are barely holding on to their advantage among women – but men have turned Republican by a double-digit margin.