November 16th, 2010
05:47 PM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Tie among possible GOP presidential hopefuls

Washington (CNN) – House Republicans may be deciding on a leader this week, but Republicans across the country still have no clear front-runner for the 2012 presidential nomination.

According to a new Gallup poll, 19 percent of rank-and-file Republicans would support Mitt Romney for the Republican nomination. Romney leads the pack of potential GOP nominees, but Sarah Palin is close behind with 16 percent and tied with Mike Huckabee who has the same amount of support. The three-point margin between the three potential nominees falls within this poll's sampling error, indicating that there is currently a three-way tie for GOP presidential favor.

Newt Gingrich is hot on their heels; 13 percent of Republicans say they'd support a Gingrich bid for the presidency. Since the last Gallup poll, released in September, both Gingrich and Huckabee have seen four-percentage-point increases in support.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll conducted days before the midterm election also found that Republicans lack a favored candidate to clinch the GOP nomination. Released November 4, the poll found that 21 percent of Republicans surveyed supported Huckabee, 20 percent were behind Romney, and Palin came in third, favored by 14 percent.

Candidate strength is largely determined by name recognition and past bids for the presidency fare well for Romney and Huckabee, as well as Palin, who ran for vice president in 2008. Though Gingrich is known for his efforts to lead the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994, he has a lower favorability rating than the top three, according to the CNN poll.

No one has officially announced a bid for the GOP presidential nomination, but watching candidate travel to Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, the first states to vote in a presidential primary, will aid in the guessing game. Rick Santorum, who currently has one percent support among Republicans according to Gallup, recently traveled to New Hampshire and Sarah Palin lists stops in Iowa and South Carolina as part of her upcoming book tour for "America by Heart: Reflections on Family, Faith, and Flag."

Gingrich is in Iowa Tuesday and Wednesday to promote his new book "Valley Forge," and plans to continue the book tour with a visit to South Carolina next month. Huckabee will travel to Iowa this weekend for a conference on family values. Tim Pawlenty visited the Hawkeye state while stumping for GOP midterm election candidates; he currently has four percent of support according to the Gallup poll. Four percent of Republican supporters also back Haley Barbour, who has traveled to Iowa and New Hampshire in recent months, while Romney hit all three states on his 25-state pre-election day tour.

The Gallup poll was conducted by telephone from November 13-14 and includes 925 interviews with Republicans. It has a sampling error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Republican Party
soundoff (33 Responses)
  1. Karen Saucedo

    16% of "rank and file" Republicans would give Sarah Palin the nomination for Republican presidential candidate. The woman who had to be trained to dress and groom herself for public exposure while the rest of us women do it ourselves? The woman who doesn't read, has no vocabulary, is uneducated in science and history and who has a notorius problem with telling the truth. That Sarah? The Sarah who acts like she's a little girl in crown and tennis shoes on a tiny stage in an elementary school gym in front of family and friends. That Sarah? Ok. Why not? The US is tanking anyway. We've lost our focus and our national pride. Our schools are horrendous. Our economy is in the toilet. To 90% of the developed world, we are half joke and half horror. So... Ok.... I'm going to switch parties and I'm going to vote for her. And, if you can find that senile old man who chose her as his running mate once upon a time, I'll vote for him too. I can't wait!

    November 16, 2010 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  2. Concerned Citizen

    None of these 'possibilities' are gonna work. Personally I hope they pickPalin just for the comedic relief. Besides the dolt will quit in short order.

    November 16, 2010 07:54 pm at 7:54 pm |
  3. Unknown

    Dear Sarah Palin,
    You would be doing the Democrat Party a big favor if you run. Please do.

    November 16, 2010 08:06 pm at 8:06 pm |
  4. SHAUN

    President Obama may be down right now but he most certainly is now out nor near it. The Republicans MUST do better than the same bunch that were in contention two years ago minus John McCain. There is no way any of these hopefulls can muster enough votes to be elected President. Short of the President not running for re-election! Palin couldn't govern. Romney is unable to relate the real people. Huckabee would be fine if we were elected an evangalest-in-chief. And Gingrich is a tanted relic of the last century

    November 16, 2010 08:18 pm at 8:18 pm |
  5. FedUpRepublican

    If I were inclined to ever vote for a Republican POTUS again, Romney, by far, would be the most palatable and least offensive of the Republican clown car occupants to cast a vote for.

    November 16, 2010 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  6. Shawn

    Ron Paul?

    November 16, 2010 08:26 pm at 8:26 pm |
  7. Ron

    Boy, those "Christian Coalition Folks" must be losing their minds over this one. There's no way a Mormon will follow a black president! Sorry Mitt. The momma bears will eat you alive....LMAO! (She doesn't know a woman won"t either) If Obama loses, it's back to the same "OLD white guy" thing again.

    November 16, 2010 08:29 pm at 8:29 pm |
  8. grant

    Obviously 16% of Republicans surveyed are brain dead.

    November 16, 2010 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
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