November 16th, 2010
05:47 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Tie among possible GOP presidential hopefuls

Washington (CNN) – House Republicans may be deciding on a leader this week, but Republicans across the country still have no clear front-runner for the 2012 presidential nomination.

According to a new Gallup poll, 19 percent of rank-and-file Republicans would support Mitt Romney for the Republican nomination. Romney leads the pack of potential GOP nominees, but Sarah Palin is close behind with 16 percent and tied with Mike Huckabee who has the same amount of support. The three-point margin between the three potential nominees falls within this poll's sampling error, indicating that there is currently a three-way tie for GOP presidential favor.

Newt Gingrich is hot on their heels; 13 percent of Republicans say they'd support a Gingrich bid for the presidency. Since the last Gallup poll, released in September, both Gingrich and Huckabee have seen four-percentage-point increases in support.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll conducted days before the midterm election also found that Republicans lack a favored candidate to clinch the GOP nomination. Released November 4, the poll found that 21 percent of Republicans surveyed supported Huckabee, 20 percent were behind Romney, and Palin came in third, favored by 14 percent.

Candidate strength is largely determined by name recognition and past bids for the presidency fare well for Romney and Huckabee, as well as Palin, who ran for vice president in 2008. Though Gingrich is known for his efforts to lead the Republican takeover of Congress in 1994, he has a lower favorability rating than the top three, according to the CNN poll.

No one has officially announced a bid for the GOP presidential nomination, but watching candidate travel to Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, the first states to vote in a presidential primary, will aid in the guessing game. Rick Santorum, who currently has one percent support among Republicans according to Gallup, recently traveled to New Hampshire and Sarah Palin lists stops in Iowa and South Carolina as part of her upcoming book tour for "America by Heart: Reflections on Family, Faith, and Flag."

Gingrich is in Iowa Tuesday and Wednesday to promote his new book "Valley Forge," and plans to continue the book tour with a visit to South Carolina next month. Huckabee will travel to Iowa this weekend for a conference on family values. Tim Pawlenty visited the Hawkeye state while stumping for GOP midterm election candidates; he currently has four percent of support according to the Gallup poll. Four percent of Republican supporters also back Haley Barbour, who has traveled to Iowa and New Hampshire in recent months, while Romney hit all three states on his 25-state pre-election day tour.

The Gallup poll was conducted by telephone from November 13-14 and includes 925 interviews with Republicans. It has a sampling error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Republican Party
soundoff (33 Responses)
  1. PAUL W!

    What an utterly defeatable crowd of candidates.

    November 16, 2010 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  2. JSP

    None of these clowns stands a chance against Obama. Not a chance.

    November 16, 2010 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  3. Elle in Idaho

    How embarrassing. Mitt and Mike are tied with Sarah? I smell a joke of an election coming up.

    November 16, 2010 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  4. George Guadiane - Austerlitz, NY

    In a general election, Romney has a CHANCE of winning, but he has to many Liberal leanings, based on his Massachusetts Governorship to have a chance with the Hyper "Right" leaning constituency.

    November 16, 2010 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  5. greg in jax

    Really? Huckabee? Really? So all this about Republicans all want fiscal conservatism was just for show. Guess some people are willing to throw the economy under the bus in favor of religion. A Huckabee nomination will ensure an Obama re-election for sure.

    November 16, 2010 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  6. Yoduende

    It is incredible that in the great USA with over 300 million people ... These are the quality people that voters may have to face as potential presidents.... What a shame! If this is the best you have to offer, you are in deep poop!
    Don't bother with a struggle... Just hand over the country key to China!!!!

    November 16, 2010 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  7. Jacob

    loser, cared enough about people to fight for better healthcare in his state, loser, loser.

    November 16, 2010 06:12 pm at 6:12 pm |
  8. Stephen from SoCal

    I don't think it will be any of them. It will have to be someone electable, and that doesn't include reality TV stars, Fox hosts, an ex-governor of a liberal state trying to act like a raging conservative or the guy who made the middle class give up on the GOP in the 90s. The Republican candidate will be someone who is in office now.

    November 16, 2010 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  9. stevetall

    I can never decide: Should I vote for Moe, Larry, Curley, or Shemp? I don't know which stooge would be better!

    November 16, 2010 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  10. Truth in Reporting, Texas

    Well, ain't that just grand. We have "Never been out of the Country" Pain, "Same Healthcare Plan in Massachusetts as
    Obama's" Romney, "Look at Me, I'm Perfect" Huckaby and "No Moral Values" Gingrich. Winkin', Blinkin' and Nod
    sailing with Humpty Dumpty. Bring in ON!

    November 16, 2010 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  11. Mike in MN

    All I can say is that it's absolutely frightening that there are that many people that think that Sarah Palin is in any way qualified to be the President of this country. Quit watching the talking heads on FOX, listening to Limbaugh and Beck, and the multitude of reality TV shows out there America! It's rotting your brains and stealing your children s futures. God help us all.

    November 16, 2010 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  12. Adalbert

    The republican party's mentality is clearly reflected in their selection of these egomaniacs. None of them are qualified to run a garbage truck.

    November 16, 2010 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  13. walleye46

    Nice photo of the Three Stooges + Goofy.

    November 16, 2010 06:37 pm at 6:37 pm |
  14. Newsflash! Bristol To Do Interpretive Dance Of Mother's Lack Of Substance And Intelligence

    How come we never hear from CNN about their own poor ratings in the internal polls regarding primetime viewership? (Last I heard, they were in the low 100,000s.) Maybe it is because all the other cable news outlets are wiping the floor with them and their abysmal credibility in reporting the truth or any real news for that matter.

    November 16, 2010 06:39 pm at 6:39 pm |
  15. Michael Shea

    I couldn't support any of the Republican hopefuls. I am a solid Barack Obama supporter. He will be elelcted by a landslide nextime because everything he has done so far will bear positive fruit. The only Republican mentioned that I could support would be Mike Huckabee because he is likeable. He reminds me of Andy Griffith with a bible. However I'l still support Barack Obama.

    November 16, 2010 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  16. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Is this the best the Republicans have to offer Americans; 2 quitters (Newt and Palin), a preacher man and a good hair man.

    November 16, 2010 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  17. Splat!~

    Sarah Palin?? God you people are stupid!~

    November 16, 2010 06:56 pm at 6:56 pm |
  18. @Omegaraiel (twitter)

    mitt romney is the least offensive and he's a hypocrite.

    November 16, 2010 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  19. T'sah from Virginia

    "Poll: Tie among possible GOP presidential hopefuls"

    CNN needs to GET OUT of Campaign MODE and POLL TAKING because they know "doggone" well it means NOTHING!!!

    I am so glad we have....

    45 Days until GOPers take over and the unemployment rate will DROP 1% by the end of January, 2011!!!

    Saying that it's a TIE among 4 WHAT???? My dog – and everyone loves dogs – can be added to this list and WIN!!

    Politicians and the media need to GET OUT of campaign MODE and N2 Moving America Forward with President Obama!

    November 16, 2010 07:05 pm at 7:05 pm |
  20. JJ

    Notice that every one of these is a loser retread. Enough said.

    November 16, 2010 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  21. they call me "tater salad"

    With that group of idiots the party of Grimey Orifice Pimples doesn't have a prayer! By the way Republicans, why isn't everything back to being all peaches and cream like you promised? What's the problem? You seem to be taking long enough! What happened? I thought if all of us moronic American lemmings voted for you guys things would get better? I don't get it, What's the hold up? You arrogant sacks of sh*t had no problem expecting Obama to fix 8 years worth of YOUR screw ups in 2 sooooooooo................???? HELLO?? anyone there???..............Yeah, what a surprise!

    November 16, 2010 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  22. Patrick from Minnesota

    They all have little chance of beating Obama in 2012. They're all way too conservative for mainstream America.

    November 16, 2010 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  23. guy from NM

    I think I`ll vote for my pet piranha, it is a much warmer being.

    November 16, 2010 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  24. Lynn

    Any of them would be great. A run-a-way election for Obama. Even if Obama is still struggling with the economy in 2 years, just the thoughts of any of the choices the GOP has come up with, would cinch an Obama victory.

    November 16, 2010 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  25. Clwyd

    All of them are stupid, ignorant right wing nut cases! The worst is palin, but with having had 4 wives Newt comes close!

    November 16, 2010 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
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