Poll: Obama vs. Palin in 2012
December 16th, 2010
11:55 AM ET
4 years ago

Poll: Obama vs. Palin in 2012

Washington (CNN) – It's the most talked about of all the hypothetical 2012 presidential matchups: President Barack Obama vs. former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin.

And a new poll indicates that Obama leads the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee by 22 points. According to an NBC/Wall Street Journal survey released Wednesday, 55 percent say they would back Obama in a possible 2012 showdown, with 33 percent saying they would support Palin.

Obama's advantage over Palin in the poll is larger than in other recent surveys. The president was up 12 points over Palin in a hypothetical 2012 matchup poll by McClatchy-Marist conducted earlier this month, and he led Palin by eight points in surveys from CNN/Opinion Research Corporation and from Quinnipiac University that were conducted last month.

The NBC/WSJ poll indicates that Obama holds a 20 point lead over Sen. John Thune of South Dakota, who's also considering a bid for the GOP presidential nomination, and has a seven point advantage over 2008 Republican White House candidate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who appears to be gearing up for another bid.

The survey suggests that one reason why Palin doesn't perform as well as others against Obama is her negative rating, which has climbed to 50 percent, higher than anyone else measured in the poll. NBC's political unit points out that the only major subgroups that Palin captures in a head to head matchup with Obama are Republicans and conservatives.

According to the survey, in a showdown with an un-named GOP challenger, 42 percent say they would vote for Obama in 2012, with 39 percent saying they would vote for the Republican.

Forty-two percent of people questioned in a Bloomberg National Poll conducted earlier in December said the president deserves to be re-elected, with 45 percent saying Obama does not deserve another term in the White House.

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Dec. 9-13, with 1,000 people questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (100 Responses)
  1. proud dem in nc

    To COMMONLOGIC: What planet are you living on. Bush and his needless wars destroyed the economy. These are not lies about Palin. She's a hypocrite and doesn't have the intelligence of a fruit fly. You Rethuglicans are so gullible.

    December 16, 2010 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  2. Democrats Class Warfare - Destroying the economy and country

    How about a poll on Obozo vs.Romney? Obozo LOSES!

    How about a poll on Obozo vs. Hillary in a primary? Obozo LOSES AGAIN!

    Anybody still supporting Obozo at this point is a government dependent, union toady or brain dead (repetitive, I know)!!

    December 16, 2010 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  3. Joe

    Can the nonsensical articles from CNN please stop? Are your staff writers that bored?

    December 16, 2010 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  4. T'sah from Virginia

    @John, PA
    YOU must live in those "small pockets of America" PA'IN is always talking about. I say the same when the POLLS are highly against Obama – I am a democrat and I NEVER BEEN POLLED!!! Also, Election 2010 was NOT about STOPPING OBAMA – which MOST of the RIGHT is believing and the reason why they are in TROUBLE in 2012. The election was about "balancing power" and the INDEPENDENTS decided that – not YOU – the far LEFT and others who think like you........TP for example!!!

    I do not agree with the current Tax Cuts bill either – it should have ENDED the cuts for the RICH but I am going to enjoy the RepubliCAN'Ts "hanging themselves" because they "campaigned" for the past 2 years on FISCAL RESPONSIBILITY.............Yea, RIGHT!!!

    I will continue to support our current leader, President Obama, as he continues to MOVE AMERICA FORWARD!!!

    December 16, 2010 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  5. GL

    John, Pa I bet all your friends are white men that don't like the black President. I am just saying.

    December 16, 2010 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  6. GL

    john, PA

    In what nation did you take this poll ????
    8 out of 10 where I work don't agree with Obama, don’t trust Obama, won’t support Obama, sure, you keep asking the same question to the same people.

    Yea, and all 8 of them are white men like yourself. GO FIGURE!

    December 16, 2010 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  7. NATHAN WIMBERLY

    Delusional wingnuts abound today. What's new?

    December 16, 2010 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  8. kd

    Great, dumb or dumber!

    December 16, 2010 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  9. Mad man

    Great choices once again, a proven loser and a proven political fluffer...if the 2012 election boils down to these two, America is doomed either way.

    December 16, 2010 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  10. Travis

    The only people who care about this and keep yakking it up are the talking heads and so called political "journalists." It's pathetic.

    December 16, 2010 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  11. Bill

    Once again the powers of the media, posting their subliminal message by posting a photo of Ms. Palin alongside a photo of obama, how disgusting.

    December 16, 2010 02:00 pm at 2:00 pm |
  12. GOP Taliban Victim

    Palin is actually no worse than the rest of the Republican clowns that are contenders. Newt, Mitt – I tie my dog to the roof of my car in the freezing cold, Barbour, Chrissie the bully are all even worse than Palin.

    December 16, 2010 02:01 pm at 2:01 pm |
  13. Tundrarunner

    Palin has shown her true colors to be very negative. Even if they tried to change her outlook to be more friendly with the press, it still does not change her negative attitude to the american people including people from Alaska. She only wants her side heard and not the peoples voice.
    Her knowledge about Alaska, Russia, Canada and the world is way too limited to even consider her to be a president. She does not know what really goes on in the State of Alaska.
    Palin makes up words and stories. Her actions reminds me of North Koreas Kim I. Off the rocker and dropped once too many times.

    December 16, 2010 02:04 pm at 2:04 pm |
  14. John Tighe

    The quitter from Wasilla won't run because it's too much work, and people ask her hard questions. She's doing what she really wants to right now, being a celebrity, so why should she stop?

    I called people, and knocked on doors for Obama in 2008, but I don't want him as President again.

    December 16, 2010 02:07 pm at 2:07 pm |
  15. David Stratton

    Please stop this. It's ridiculous. You making up hypothetical elections for the sake of WHAT? The media is snared by Palin's press strategy. You play into everything she does, hook line and sinker. Please cover more important topics. PLEASE!!!! This is not important. Why are you treating us like idiots?

    Sadly, I know you won't. because the news no longer matters to you. It's clicks. I cringe every time I see yet ANOTHER CNN Palin headline. Seriously, she's not that important. There are far more important people on the left and right that matter. She's just good for TV, that's the ONLY reason.

    I feel sad for you all, but more so for the public you are failing to serve. If government is broken, the media is more so.

    December 16, 2010 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  16. kyle

    Palin for President, what a joke!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    December 16, 2010 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  17. RTD

    That is a very discouraging poll. Why can't people appreciate the comedic value in her run? I for one hope a pollster calls me....

    December 16, 2010 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  18. Charlie from the North

    Obama has made a wrong decision here and there. (like caving on the Bush Error tax cuts) But he could make a mistake a day from now til 2016 and never approach the idiocy of George W Bush. And Sarah Palin would be worse than Bush.

    December 16, 2010 02:15 pm at 2:15 pm |
  19. rs

    I am surprised it is Obama over Palin by only 22. Most Republicans are that stupid! Palin is such a disaster that even they should flee from her.

    December 16, 2010 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  20. susan

    Most shocking is that Palin would have any % of the votes.

    December 16, 2010 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  21. Tundrarunner

    Sarah is a quitter on twitter. She does not look at the issues with eyes and mind wide open nor does she seem to understand the issues. At her present age, Sarah is unable to change her old habits enough to even run the State of Alaska.
    Check out the Senate race in Alaska. She has supported Joe Miller another joke of Alaska for senator. Joe Miller is presently not working and only feeding himself money off the lawsuits and appeals even if he has lost the race.

    December 16, 2010 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  22. susan

    The floks from Wasilla would not support or, and we should? OMG I would be very relieved if the networks and cable would quit giving her coverage of any kind, for anything. she is really laughing all the way to the bank. thanks, mccain.

    December 16, 2010 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  23. concerned liberal

    Obama vs. Palin is the best argument for supporting your favorite 3rd party!

    They both are glitzy, empty promise makers, and show-boat rather than take responsibility. In this country of shallow polticial marketting, this is the truly sad match up that we deserve. I hope it shocks us all awake.

    December 16, 2010 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  24. Republicans Are The American Taliban

    Granny Sarah Grizzly says she is a hockey mom.....which of her kids play hockey?

    December 16, 2010 02:34 pm at 2:34 pm |
  25. Michael in Houston

    Sorry. Too late!! She is going to run and the repubics will support her in the end. You can take it to the bank. Palin is the perfect GOP candidate...she matches the profile to the letter and she in fact does represent the vast majority of the right...arrogant, simpleminded, uninformed, white, middle aged, boiled, and lots of makeup.
    Line her up and I assure you, she will go down in flames against Obama.

    December 16, 2010 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |
1 2 3 4