CNN 2012 Poll: Obama and Palin going in different directions?
December 28th, 2010
10:00 AM ET
4 years ago

CNN 2012 Poll: Obama and Palin going in different directions?

Washington (CNN) – As the start of the next presidential campaign nears, a new national poll suggests that President Barack Obama's tax-cut compromise with congressional Republicans did not hurt his standing among Democrats, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin may be dropping in the eyes of Republicans.

According to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Tuesday, 78 percent of Democrats questioned in the poll say they want to see Obama at the top of their party's ticket in 2012, with only 19 percent saying they would prefer someone else as the Democratic presidential nominee. The 19 percent figure is the lowest figure since March, when the question was first asked.

Full results (pdf)

Many liberal Democrats opposed the tax rate compromise because it included provisions that helped the wealthy. Although previously released numbers indicate the president's approval rating among self-described liberals dropped from 79 percent in November to 72 percent in December, the survey suggests that when it comes to the next presidential election, the tax deal may not be hurting him with the progressive wing of the party.

"Among liberal Democrats, 85 percent say they want to see the party re-nominate Obama in 2012," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Among moderate Democrats, his support is almost that high."

In the battle for the GOP presidential nomination, the survey suggests Palin may have some work to do if she throws her hat in the ring. Only 49 percent of Republicans say that they are likely to support Sen. John McCain's running mate in 2008 for the Republican nomination in 2012.

"That's a huge 18-point drop since December of 2008, when two-thirds of GOPers said they were likely to support Palin. It also puts her well behind potential rivals Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, and a bit behind Newt Gingrich as well," adds Holland.

Two-thirds of Republicans questioned say they would likely support Huckabee as their nominee in 2012. The former Arkansas governor and 2008 GOP presidential candidate is considering another bid for the White House. So is another candidate from the last election, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Fifty-nine percent of Republicans say they would likely support Romney. That number drops to 54 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia, who is also contemplating a run for the White House.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted December 17-19, with 1,008 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

– CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.


Filed under: 2012 • CNN poll • Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. Michael in Houston

    wow....Palin is behind Newt?!! She is about as liked and wanted as a blazing case of the ebola virus.

    December 28, 2010 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  2. John

    Survey shows that Republicans are no longer conservatives if they like Huckabee and Romney again.

    Go Ron Paul 2012!

    December 28, 2010 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  3. Edd

    Dropping how?

    If it were not for CNN still reporting on this Can't-Do Lipstick Pig, she would not be in the news anymore.
    Her 15 mins of fame should be past by now.

    Really, she has not done anything good in her life, why pay her any attention at all? Oh right......RATINGS on a Train Wreck!

    December 28, 2010 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  4. Aezel

    Lol Romney, Huckabee, Newt, and Failin' Palin. It's like a who's who of intellectual failures that define what is wrong with American politics. Just a bunch of right wing religious nutcases who are either too dumb or too stubborn to do anything remotely close to what is needed to run this country.

    Good luck Republicans, you sure know how to pick 'em.

    December 28, 2010 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  5. Marc

    Sarah Palin was a has-been when she was NOMINATED. She has lousy credentials, empty rhetoric, and is representative of a reaction of the ignroants who were surprised to find that the majority of the country is MODERATE, rather than conservative. The same, idiotic souls who don't understand American history, are too bigoted to have even a basic understanding of foreign policy, and are too stupidly arrogant to understand the difference between their loudmouthed belligerence and reason. I LOVE that Palin is taking a swan dive – she's tyhe champion of idots, and their inane ramblings are disappearing with her...maybe they will learn to be humiliated by their stupidity, once again, without a champion for ignorance pretending she EVER had a shot at leading this great nation.

    December 28, 2010 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  6. Readbetweenthelines

    Well, maybe intelligence will prevail after all. Palin should be home raising her family rather than being a continued embarrassment to America.

    December 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  7. Kenneth of Minneapolis

    The more $arah Palin opens her mouth, the more we learn or go "what did she say?"

    December 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  8. Larry

    I'm sure Palin doesn't give a crap. She's in it for the money and she's making a ton of it off the stupid right wing idiots who's only wish in life would be to kiss her behind.

    December 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  9. Mark

    Great job CNN! Keep bashing Palin over and over and over and over again.

    December 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  10. veggiedude

    I didn't agree with Obama's continuation of the bush tax cuts, but politically it was the smartest thing to do. Once he is re-elected, we will see the real Obama and he can accomplish much of what he promised. Looking forward to that.

    December 28, 2010 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  11. Sherri W.W.

    President Obama is the right person for the WH again in 2012 as he is doing well,and it will take him all 8 years to even begin to straighten out the mess the Republicans left to be cleaned up!~That said ,I do not know why in the world anyone who wants to see this country back on the right track,for the middle class,would even remotely entertain the idea of a president like ANY of this current Repub bunch,?~And ,as far as SP~I just can find nothing about her that would ever make her material for any high government position,much less president!Good Lord~she would not have the slightest idea how to handle any of the things required of the President every day.Also,most of the Repub candidates seem very racially inept,and we sure to not need somebody trying to divide this country even more~in fact we need to all get back to working to making it BETTER for ALL of us.

    December 28, 2010 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  12. Lolo

    Now maybe mama grizzly will go home to roost where she belongs and raise her children. Everyone sees that she is a gold digger. She has made her millions, now go spend it.

    December 28, 2010 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  13. jerseylou

    YEPPER.....As it gets closer to 2012 the Rats on palin's sinking ship will be jumping over board. Finally this will be the beginnig of the end of her and her followers.

    December 28, 2010 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  14. boocat

    I don't consider myself liberal but I opposed extending tax cuts for the wealthiest. However, hell would freeze over before I'd vote for that dingbat, Palin.

    December 28, 2010 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  15. Chuck Anaheim, Ca

    Well all you can say about palin is that every time her mouth opens and more lies and stupidity comes out the more the numbers dop.

    December 28, 2010 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  16. Adalbert

    Palin has no idea what direction she is going. Probably, witch ever way the wind is blowing. Hear out dated ideas, lies and twisted meaningless comments are design to get attention. She is a media whore. She will do anything to be in the news.

    December 28, 2010 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  17. tommytd

    To talk about these two in the same breath is an insult to Americans. Sarah Palin is an idiot, Barack Obama is becoming a statesman. Sarah Palin should take her act back to Alaska and STAY THERE! PLEASE...

    December 28, 2010 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  18. Thatguy371

    Dear Santa
    I never ask for anything, including this year... but I have a request for 2012. Please make Sarah Palin the opponent. We need the laughs. Thanx

    December 28, 2010 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  19. chris24

    25% of republicans would support Hitler if he was on the ticket.

    December 28, 2010 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  20. david

    You could feel it couldn't you? Surely I wasn't the only one. Somewhere around the time of Bristol being on DWTS, Palin's book tour, and her reality show starting, you could just feel the country getting sick of her. It's called "over exposure" Sarah, and it's killing your political career, thankfully. Now, even the dumbest of Americans are getting fed up with you, finally.

    December 28, 2010 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  21. Ilia

    Yeah but we all know that all scientific polls are fake, that 81% of the country is Conservative, and that Sarah Palin obviously has the support of every living soul on the planet.

    GO TEA PARTY GO!

    December 28, 2010 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  22. Meteorite

    Gee, which out of touch, multi-millionaire do we want to nominate? Romney, Huckabee, Palin, Obama, left and right – they are all the same. No matter which party wins, the American people lose.

    December 28, 2010 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  23. Stan Pennington

    The first part of this artical is obviously trying to make Presedent Obama look like a WINNER right now! Just look at the pictures He's so Happy and confident and Sara is obviously worried. She's even looking at him to give the reader the impression that HE IS THE MAN!
    I don't think so, The real winning ticket to turn this country around and get it on the right track, would be Mike Huckabee(President) and Sara Palin (Vice President) Mitt should throw his financial and personal support to them if he really would like to help the country and run for president the next time.
    Sara and Mike already have the support of the Republican party, because they have full media exposure EVERYDAY, and will till election day.
    But this is just my opinion, thanks for the opportunity to express it. Stan Pennington

    December 28, 2010 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  24. Paul Cyr

    Has anyone else noted that CNN's day is not complete without a story about Palin. A day without Palin is like a day without sunshine..........

    December 28, 2010 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  25. Phil T. Listener

    Is it any wonder to any intelligent human being why these numbers are what they are?
    President Obama is just the kind of leader we need at this time in a political climate trying to deal with the diverse needs of the country.
    Sarah Palin is divisive, appealing to a select group of followers who are sold on the notion she represents "normal" Americans, or to the corporate power structure intent on using her just as they did Dubya.

    Wake up people, and let's move forward with a President who has the intellectual and emotional intelligence we need at this time in America.

    December 28, 2010 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
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