(CNN) – President Obama is getting some ominous news out of New Hampshire Friday in a new poll that suggests he will lose the key presidential state by a sizable margin if former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee.
According to the new survey conducted by Dartmouth College, Romney beats the president in a head-to-head matchup by 8 points, 47 percent to 39 percent. Obama's poor showing against Romney is also the product of his weak approval rating in the Granite State, where only 36 percent of voters there give him positive marks. That compares to a 45 percent approval rating for Obama in New Hampshire in a similar poll one year ago.
But it's not all bad news for the president: though losing big to Romney, he soundly defeats every other potential GOP candidate the poll tested, including former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (by 8 points), former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (by 16 points), Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour (by 19 points), businessman Donald Trump (by 22 points) and former GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin (by 27 points).
Still, Obama's strong showing against those candidates is likely a reflection of their currently poor name identification in the state than his popularity: The president does not pass the 50 percent threshold when pitted against every potential GOP candidate except Palin and Trump, a sign many voters are prepared to vote against the president when they learn more about the other Republican candidates. Obama carried New Hampshire by 9 points over Sen. John McCain in the 2008 general election.
Having previously run for president only four years ago and serving as the governor of neighboring Massachusetts, Romney undoubtedly begins the GOP primary race in New Hampshire with a big advantage. Given his early strength there, it's possible anything besides a win in that state's first-in-the-nation primary would be a blow to his campaign. In 2008, Romney lost the New Hampshire primary by 6 points to McCain.
The Dartmouth poll surveyed 426 registered voters by telephone from April 11-14 and carries a sampling error of plus or minus 5 percent.
"The poll...taken in the cafeteria" shows that with only 18 months to go Romney will beat Obama by a landslide!!
Only about 400 polled. 5% swing rate. By the way, since when is New Hampshire a BIG state? NH has 4 electoral votes. Its always been inclined to be fiscally conservative. Obama could lose NH and still win the election soundly. Talk to me when we're surveying an Obama (2008) state with more than 5 electoral votes and the margin is that big.
What a biased poll. They didn't even poll Dems. So, I'd say he did pretty good beating everybody but one .
It's much too early for this crap. No wonder the people of America don't know WHO to vote for. By the time of the election they don't much care. All they want to do is stop the nonsense. Romney doesn't have a chance to win an election. When push comes to shove folks will not vote for him because of his Morman background. Doesn't bother me, but most people do look at religion. Wrongly so !
Thats sad , I thought they were smarter up there !
VOTE REPUBLICAN!! Revisit the stone age...with no Social Security. Every old person should keep that in mind!!
That's good news. Romney is the only adult that's seeking the Republican nomination.
I'm not sure why Obama wouldn't be ahead in all states. After all, the economy is great, according to Obama. There is no inflation, according to Obama. Low gas prices all across the US. Unemployment is only 9 point something percent. What is the problem? Things are just hunky dory!
I live in NH, and I don't buy this poll. Once Romney gets some real media attention and people begin to see how often he flip flops his approval ratings are sure to fall. If you hate Obamacare then why vote for the guy who practically invented it first? I don't get it.
just another way for CNN to suck us in! Seriously? what the heck has Romney done FOR YOU lately? why in the world would you vote for this nonsense republican party!!! and how did new Hampshire become a "Big state'?
Not New Hampshire....EEEEEEEEEK!!!
Most of New England calls it Cow Hampshire.
These numbers don't mean anything, this isn't April of 2012 is April of 2011. Lets see where Mitt is in a year from now. Everyone is counting their "chicken before they hatch". Like I have commented before the election is 17 months away again a lot can happen in 17 months. The more strenght Mitt gains the better chance he has to beat Obama. Don't forget Mitt has to raise 5 tons of money to win. Because Obama has an ATM machine that never runs out.