Romney beats Obama big in New Hampshire, poll shows
April 22nd, 2011
08:44 AM ET
4 years ago

Romney beats Obama big in New Hampshire, poll shows

(CNN) – President Obama is getting some ominous news out of New Hampshire Friday in a new poll that suggests he will lose the key presidential state by a sizable margin if former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee.

According to the new survey conducted by Dartmouth College, Romney beats the president in a head-to-head matchup by 8 points, 47 percent to 39 percent. Obama's poor showing against Romney is also the product of his weak approval rating in the Granite State, where only 36 percent of voters there give him positive marks. That compares to a 45 percent approval rating for Obama in New Hampshire in a similar poll one year ago.

But it's not all bad news for the president: though losing big to Romney, he soundly defeats every other potential GOP candidate the poll tested, including former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (by 8 points), former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (by 16 points), Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour (by 19 points), businessman Donald Trump (by 22 points) and former GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin (by 27 points).

Still, Obama's strong showing against those candidates is likely a reflection of their currently poor name identification in the state than his popularity: The president does not pass the 50 percent threshold when pitted against every potential GOP candidate except Palin and Trump, a sign many voters are prepared to vote against the president when they learn more about the other Republican candidates. Obama carried New Hampshire by 9 points over Sen. John McCain in the 2008 general election.

Having previously run for president only four years ago and serving as the governor of neighboring Massachusetts, Romney undoubtedly begins the GOP primary race in New Hampshire with a big advantage. Given his early strength there, it's possible anything besides a win in that state's first-in-the-nation primary would be a blow to his campaign. In 2008, Romney lost the New Hampshire primary by 6 points to McCain.

The Dartmouth poll surveyed 426 registered voters by telephone from April 11-14 and carries a sampling error of plus or minus 5 percent.


Filed under: New Hampshire • President Obama
soundoff (61 Responses)
  1. CNN watcher

    "new survey conducted by Dartmouth College" Call us when it's a legitimate pollster.

    April 22, 2011 08:45 am at 8:45 am |
  2. Martha in CF

    If Romney is beating Obama in the polls, did they just poll Republicans? It is too early to be stating this kind of nonsense.

    April 22, 2011 08:52 am at 8:52 am |
  3. LovesIrony

    The Dartmouth poll surveyed 426 registered Republican and independent voters. So a Republican beats a Democrat President in a poll where no Democrats are polled. I bet if you surveyed 426 registered Democrats and independents the results would pretty much flip flop..Like Romney

    April 22, 2011 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  4. is this real?

    If I read this correctly, the poll was of 426 registered Republican and independent voters and he only lost to one potential GOP candidate and beat the others soundly? Either the statement at the end of the article is incorrect or Obama has absolutely nothing to worry about in New Hampshire. And the writer should actually be condemned for producing an article that misleads at best. This is much of the problem with the media in the US....all tag lines and no substance.

    April 22, 2011 09:06 am at 9:06 am |
  5. Marry

    Polls, polls – here another ridiculous one! What is it to tell us??? To match the President who is working for the people against not even declared candidates that do nothing more than run their mouth. CNN, please, do not start already with polls that say nothing and are a complete waste of time and energy.

    April 22, 2011 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  6. kd

    too early for any of this.

    Never been to New Hampshire. I hear it's pretty.

    April 22, 2011 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  7. dlh in Texas

    It's amazing how short the momories of the voters can be when it comes to choosing between dems and repub, after all 2008 was just 24 months ago and some of us still remember where the Republicans had us before BO.

    April 22, 2011 09:13 am at 9:13 am |
  8. John

    I forget... How many electorals does NH have??

    April 22, 2011 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  9. w l jones

    Take a Democratic poll and see who will win.

    April 22, 2011 09:17 am at 9:17 am |
  10. Too early

    Like every other pole, it is too early. But so nice of the media to try and shape our views before we actually have them.
    Still, this Granite Stater is voting for Obama.

    April 22, 2011 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  11. yuri

    Obama lost big time to Hillary in the Dem. primary 3 yrs. ago. Hence it ain't no surprise. What will be a surprise is the possibility of him beating Romney neck and crop in 2012. Obama has helluva lot of home work to do to reverse the trend. It will be fun to watch.

    April 22, 2011 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  12. fbnut

    OBAMA= "One and Done!"

    April 22, 2011 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  13. Walt

    Romney has the turnaround record this country needs. The voters see right through Obama in NH. Ultimately, republicans and independents will go for Romney. Anyone complaining about "romneycare" or comparing it to "obamacare" is a fool

    April 22, 2011 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  14. juliei4

    Too bad for the GOP he won't make it out of the primaries. He would be my choice for the GOP nomination – at least we would have 2 decent candidates.

    April 22, 2011 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  15. rusty155

    You people In New Hampshire really can't be that dumb. The Republican want to take everything a way from the Middle Class,the POOR and The OLD.

    April 22, 2011 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  16. Jake

    I really wish the major news outlets would not conduct polls. As far as I'm concerned they serve only two, frustratingly unproductive functions: 1) influence the voting behavior of those who make decisions based on what everyone else does, and 2) notify politicians which way they need to lean on issues to get the support of "The American People." Plus the election is so far off it isn't even worth speculating right now. News outlets should report the candidates' positions. Period. Let people make up their own minds rather than leading them in a direction that is dramatic or fits the narrative.

    April 22, 2011 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  17. SuperD

    After seeing what we've seen, doing what he's done. How can anyone with a straight face could claim Obama is doing a good job as president? And would want 4 more years of this malaise?

    April 22, 2011 09:33 am at 9:33 am |
  18. Michigan Don

    Whoopie! New Hampshire is and has been a Republican controlled state since Gensis 1. It would have been newsworthy to find that New Hampshire endorsed Obama over the apostate.

    April 22, 2011 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  19. Dave

    The reality is that President Obama has failed as President (even with the democrats controlling Congress for the first two years of his tenure). The President lacks experience, is unsure of his own policies, has increased debts and deficits, and has not accomplished any of his goals (except the health care bill that most people don't like). There are a few things about Romney I don't like, but I believe he has the right mix of public and private service as well as a record of accomplishment and bi-partisanship.

    April 22, 2011 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
  20. Nelson Colorado Springs Co.

    It 's always bad new for President Obama. What new

    April 22, 2011 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  21. ConservaFascists -aka- Mammon

    All the President is call Hypocrite Mitt out on his flip flops and he should win. RomneyCare = Obamacare. Mitt was pro-choice then and pro-life now. He's not consistent in his beliefs which is why he will ultimately lose a general election. Romney needs to be more concerned about Trump.

    April 22, 2011 09:41 am at 9:41 am |
  22. ...

    New Hamshire can have Romney! The rest of us will take Barry!

    Obama 2012!!!

    April 22, 2011 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  23. Indy

    The president does not pass the 50 percent threshold when pitted against every potential GOP candidate except Palin and Trump, a sign many voters are prepared to vote against the president when they learn more about the other Republican candidates. Obama carried New Hampshire by 9 points over Sen. John McCain in the 2008 general election.

    426 people polled, yeah ! You can almost guarantee that the more that people learn about the other so called candidates they will vote for anyone BUT a Republican. These other candidates are nothing but a bunch of people that have no solutions for Joe Average and are on tour for the sole purpose of making money and spreading division and hate from their whoppers of lies.

    April 22, 2011 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  24. maine liberal

    Thats 3 electoral votes ... wow 267 to go. good luck in ny, ct, ma, pa, ca, fla, oh, me ....

    April 22, 2011 09:43 am at 9:43 am |
  25. John in Brooklyn

    Well DUH! New Hampshire is traditionally red state and Romney is from massachusetts – right next door! No surprises there. But, of course, since Romney has no hopes of being the nominee because the Christian Right will not tolerate a Morman nominee, this poll is moot.

    April 22, 2011 09:44 am at 9:44 am |
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