Poll shows big challenge for Obama, GOP, and Trump
April 26th, 2011
09:22 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll shows big challenge for Obama, GOP, and Trump

Washington (CNN) - There's plenty of bad news to go around in a new survey out Tuesday that suggests both President Obama and his eventual Republican challenger will face a substantial portion of the electorate who refuse to vote for them - especially if that challenger is Donald Trump or Sarah Palin.

According to the new survey from USA Today/Gallup, 46 percent of Americans say Obama will definitely not get their vote – a number that suggests the president has little room for error in his effort to win reelection.

But the GOP can't quite pop the champagne either – about an equal percentage of Americans say they definitely won't vote for Mitt Romney or Mike Huckabee – the two Republicans and former presidential candidates that are leading in most primary polls.

Not surprisingly, given Obama does not face a fractured field to win the nomination of his party like the GOP contenders do, 31 percent say they will definitely vote for him while less than 10 percent say the same about Romney and Huckabee.

The news is worst for Donald Trump and Sarah Palin however: 64 percent said they definitely wouldn't vote for the "Celebrity Apprentice" host while 65 percent said the same about the former vice presidential nominee.

The poll surveyed 1,013 adults by telephone from Wednesday to Saturday and has a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.


Filed under: Mike Huckabee • Mitt Romney • President Obama
soundoff (70 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    For some reason, CNN really REALLY doesn't want you to see the following historic trend of African American vote splits...3rd try...probably because it completely obliterates the stupid conservative/GOP talking point about African Americans voting for Obama solelly based on race:

    1984 Walter Mondale 90% Ronald Reagan 9%
    1988 Michael Dukakis 90% George H.W. Bush 10%
    1992 Bill Clinton 83% George H.W. Bush 10%
    1996 Bill Clinton 84% Bob Dole 12%
    2000 Al Gore 90% George W. Bush 9%
    2004 Kerry 88% George W. Bush 11%

    It's based on party, because the GOP/conservative policies have alienated the majority of minority voters for several decades.

    April 26, 2011 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  2. Rudy NYC

    I find it most interesting how many comments interpreted "not one of us" to mean race.
    The very same people who may utter that exact phrase and deny that it has anything to do with race.

    April 26, 2011 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  3. Ernie

    CNN is a very liver network, when the numbers are againist Obama at a large rate they will cut off the survey. But continue on all the Republicians that are running for President. If everyone noticed that it only mentioned Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Donald Trump and Sarah Palin, but the reporter failed to mentioned all the rest of the candidates that are considering runing for President. If the numbers show that only 46% of the people will not vote for Obama add another 15 points that would be 61% of the people who won't vote for Obama. If rhe numbers are always bad for Obama add another 10 points that will give the real number.

    April 26, 2011 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  4. Sniffit

    "NO ONE, including the news media, reports on the FACT that the majority of blacks will vote for Obama simply because he is black"

    Untrue...historic trends beg to differ:

    1984 Walter Mondale 90% Ronald Reagan 9%
    1988 Michael Dukakis 90% George H.W. Bush 10%
    1992 Bill Clinton 83% George H.W. Bush 10%
    1996 Bill Clinton 84% Bob Dole 12%
    2000 Al Gore 90% George W. Bush 9%
    2004 Kerry 88% George W. Bush 11%

    It's divided along party lines because of policy...and the GOP's policies have spent several decades alienating the majoriy of minority communities. Say it with me: "Southern Strategy."

    April 26, 2011 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  5. Realistic

    President Obama has shown great leadership in a time of great turmoil. The economy is not controlled by one man and no one man can solve all problems that face this nation. What the president has done is allow the conversation proceed and when needed he interjected with great effect. . The future is now because unless we take care of now, tomorrow will be today repeated and the mess will still be here. We as a nation and a people can not gut programs that help those in need to fulfill the promise of the republicans to fill the coffers of their rich supporters. Riding the curtail of the disadvantage is not taking care of the future but generating more dispair for tomorrow. Until we take care of today, the future will be a bad sequal of our problems we face today. President Obama has been open to debate and open to solutions from all sides but the solutions can not be only to perserve entitlements for the wealthy while burdening 95% of populous.

    April 26, 2011 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  6. Randy, San Francisco

    The GOP/Tea Party presidential candidate will hurt his or her chances of winning the White House by moving too far to the right of the political spectrum on econiomic and social issues. Wingnuts and Tea Party activists will not allow their candidate to deviate from their extreme ideological positions. Failure to move towards the center by the GOP/Tea Party candidate will result in the loss of support from independents and moderate voters, which bodes well for Obama.

    April 26, 2011 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  7. TTommy

    Rudy NYC You forgot to subtract the race card from Obama's numbers. 20% of voters will never vote for Obama simply because he is "not one of us". .................................... Or the 98% who will vote for him no matter how bad a job he does because he IS one of us,

    April 26, 2011 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  8. Bubba

    Based on a sample of a THOUSAND PEOPLE? I hate to tell you, but a gypsy fortune teller with a pack of cards is more accurate than that. She says Trump will not run, but his hair will receive write-in votes in every state. Obama will be the first three-term president since Roosevelt.

    April 26, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  9. a little sad

    I think after the last election, people will realize the peril of not voting.

    I wager that a number of the 46% that will "not vote" for Obama will still vote AGAINST the other guy.

    April 26, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  10. TTommy

    Sniffit – Wake up, The democratic party has made a living keeping the minorities down. By making them dependent on them for their entitlements. The Republicans have been trying to break that endless cycle of dependency for years. And by the way, how's all that been working out for you lately?

    April 26, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  11. Knox

    Obama has been the Bermuda Triangle for the economy and employment. His love affair with unions and vengenace on corporations that employ most of us has been astounding. The meteoric rise in oil prices is another spike to his balloon. Isn't it funny how the more he has limited the oil companies through the EPA and unilateral closure of drilling permits has shot prices through the roof. Obama is not going to get the support he did from the independs this time. He will get the same drools he always will get but he has been a loser President and no sound minded person would vote for him.

    April 26, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  12. M-AZ

    diridi

    Right on! I have voluntarily been without a car for almost 4 years; I do just what you suggested. I walk, ride the bus, bike, and walk and walk, which can't hurt the average American. People, if you would just park your car through the week it would reduce fuel consumption by billions of gallons. Not the mention you would save. I don't have a garden yet, but I am working on it.

    "Education, Energy independence, And Infrastructure, Public Transportation" is the way to go. Young people, people in general we need to support President Obama.

    Obama/Biden 2012!!!!

    April 26, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  13. Henry Miller, Libertarian

    They need to add "None of the above" to the ballots.

    April 26, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  14. razmataz

    @ un-Realistic: No Obama has shown no leadership. He waffles, he lies, he vacillates. He primarily waits to see which way the winds are blowing before he says or does anything. He was unprepared for the job and even many of the folks that voted him are starting to see this as true. Only the blinded by koolade liberals, apparently much like yourself, still beleive the man has anything approaching the capabilities to fullfill the office he, unfortunately, holds.

    April 26, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  15. david

    yeah and 98% of black voted for bill clinton...so what? Any democrat usually gets the black/hispanic vote. Period!

    April 26, 2011 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  16. Silence Dogood

    46% say Obama won't get their vote. An equal number say that an R won't get their vote either. That adds up to 94%, leaving us with 6%, which is usually the number of people who vote anyway.

    Or, if 46% won't vote for Obama, that means 54% will vote for an R. Additionally, if 46% won't vote for an R, that means 54% will vote for Obama. So both Obama and an R will win the presidency with 108% of the total votes.

    I realize I'm playing with math. The point is the statistic is useless. Just because someone won't vote for Obama doesn't mean they'll run to the poll and vote R. They'll more likely just sit out and complain, just like Americans typically have.

    Folks, you need to vote, or nothing will change.

    April 26, 2011 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  17. david

    when Obama suggested moving money around to pay for his health care plan...the Republicans at townhalls acted like the world was ending when Republican paul ryan puts out a plan to literally GUT medicare and medicaid what do we get? barely a whimper?

    April 26, 2011 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  18. $1.89

    That ($1.89) was the national average proce for a gallon of gas the day day Obama took office, I would say he will have a VERY rough time getting re-elected.

    April 26, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  19. CNNLover

    "TTommy
    Sniffit – Wake up, The democratic party has made a living keeping the minorities down. By making them dependent on them for their entitlements. The Republicans have been trying to break that endless cycle of dependency for years. And by the way, how's all that been working out for you lately?"

    Because every black person is on an entitlement program, right? IDIOT.

    April 26, 2011 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  20. HunterThompson

    They all lie and they all suck. America will keep getting worse and worse no matter who is in office. Anarchy in the USA.

    April 26, 2011 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
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