Romney on top in 2 new New Hampshire polls
May 5th, 2011
10:24 AM ET
3 years ago

Romney on top in 2 new New Hampshire polls

(CNN) – Two new polls indicate that Mitt Romney remains the early front-runner in the battle for the New Hampshire primary.

According to a WMUR/Granite State poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire, 36 percent of likely New Hampshire primary voters say they would support the former Massachusetts governor and 2008 GOP White House candidate if the contest were held today.

Romney's at 35 percent in a Suffolk University/7 News survey. Romney has a large lead over the other probable Republican presidential candidates in both polls, which were released Wednesday evening.

Romney's lead in these two new polls, as well as other GOP horserace surveys conducted in New Hampshire earlier this year, are no surprise. Romney is well known in the Granite state. Massachusetts media dominates in the heavily populated southern part of New Hampshire. Romney has campaigned heavily in the state in the 2008 primary, and he has a summer home in the state's lakes region.

According to the WMUR/Granite State poll, Donald Trump's in second place at 11 percent. The billionaire businessman, real estate mogul and reality TV star says he'll decide by June if he's running for the White House. Everyone else is in single digits. No one other than Romney cracks double digits in the Suffolk University/7 News survey.
But take all these early polls with some skepticism.

"Most primary voters do not settle on a choice until the very end of the campaign, so early poll numbers are a better gauge of a candidate's popularity now than an indication of who voters will end up supporting," says Andrew Smith of the UNH Survey Center. "In the most recent poll, 79 percent of likely Republican primary voters say they are still trying to decide who they will eventually vote for in 2012, 16 percent are leaning toward a candidate, and only 5 percent say they have definitely decided who they will vote for."

The WMUR/Granite State poll was conducted April 15-May 2, with 415 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.

The Suffolk University/7 News poll was conducted April 30-May 2, with 400 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

–Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls
soundoff (22 Responses)
  1. ConservaFASCISTS -aka- Mammon

    I guess after the White House Correspondents Dinner, people in New Hampshire see Trump for the JOKE that he truly is.

    May 5, 2011 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  2. Texas Doc

    Good luck beating the President who got Bin-Laden. The GOP is finished.

    May 5, 2011 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  3. Michael

    I think Mittiooo is the best Republicans have anyway unless someone better pop out of nowhere.....

    May 5, 2011 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  4. Four and The Door

    Mitt Romney will have his hands full trying to recover the American economy and US Treasury from their pillaging by Democratic Administration, House and Supermajority in the Senate from 2008 – 2010. But he's the guy to do it. He actually knows what he is doing!

    May 5, 2011 10:41 am at 10:41 am |
  5. vet in texas

    Sorry Mitt, the majority of America does not believe in Jon Smith or Brigham Young, nor the western version of Islam. Charlie Sheen has a better chance of getting elected then these 2. Keep trying guys.

    May 5, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  6. Rudy NYC

    If Romney discovered the power of original thinking and independent thought, he could win in 2012.

    May 5, 2011 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  7. Darko

    No Romney. Will the MSN please stop trying to pick the GOP candidate.

    May 5, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  8. Proud to be an Independent !

    At this point who cares really ? None of them have a chance at beating President Obama ! All President Obama has to do is stay focused on our domestic problems and it should be an easy win for him , because he has already proven that he is far better than them on national security !

    May 5, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  9. Four More For Sure

    Mitt Romney will have his hands full trying to explain how his policies are different than the ones from the previous Republican debacle that has us all just now witnessing the recovery of the American economy and US Treasury due to the pillaging by the Bush Administration and his old political "capital" that destroyed a surplus and ran up a ridiculous deficit by engaging in such foolhardy policies like 2 unfunded wars, tax cuts for the rich that trickled down nothing but further economic hardship. But Mitt's not the guy to do it. He actually knows what he is doing one day only to flip flop and pander the next! What does Willard stand for today? Who knows...... Romneycare rules, esp the mandate. Attaboy Mitt, you can't run from your past....

    May 5, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  10. shawn

    Romney has a Long road to travel,after the last years "Events" of their Party? Americas Black American Community,middleclass, Independants,and sensible voters need to look at "Extremism" in the Republican Party? Candidates such as Palin,Trump Rand,Bachmann,Pawlenty,racism Issues??? Corporate Greed! The South has been decades of Gop Oppression ? We need to come together as a whole,and vote "Limbaugh" Glenn Beck" type racism and oppression OUT!!!!!. Kudos to Obama Administration and our Military Heros for "JOB WELL DONE!

    May 5, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  11. Rudy NYC

    @Four and The Door:
    Mitt Romney will have his hands full trying to recover the American economy and US Treasury from their pillaging by Democratic Administration, House and Supermajority in the Senate from 2008 – 2010. But he's the guy to do it. He actually knows what he is doing!
    ---------------------–
    That is false and misleading. The 2008-2009 budget was $700B in hole before a $700B TARP was added to it. The people cried out, "You helped Wall St., but what about Main St.". The result was another $700B Stimulus, which provided money to bainks to loan to small businesses. The banks used the money to pay of TARP and invest overseas.

    The 2009-2010 budget suffered from reduced revenue through job losses and high unemployment. Most of the Stimulus money was spent during this year (most of which was wasted thanks to the banks) which combined to again push the annual deficit in excess of $1.4T.

    The 2010-2011 budget has been the headline in the news for the first three months of this year. This budget has been designed by the Republican controlled House. Those are the facts. Spin it any way you wish, but those are the facts.

    May 5, 2011 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  12. PalmReader

    "In the most recent poll, 79 percent of likely Republican primary voters say they are still trying to decide who they will eventually vote for in 2012,"

    [GOPers ... Still ... Trying ... To ... Decide] Doesn't bode well at all for the general election. By this time 2007, McCain was up and running full steam ahead. And still lost.

    May 5, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  13. Alan

    @Proud, I understand what you're saying, but you have to start focusing on the economy before you can stay focused on the economy.

    May 5, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  14. The Situation

    Mitt Romney will have his hands full trying to recover the American economy and US Treasury from their pillaging by Democratic Administration, House and Supermajority in the Senate from 2008 – 2010. But he's the guy to do it. He actually knows what he is doing!

    Please, Mitt will have a tough time trying to critize Obama Healthcare when he provided the same type of health care to the people of Massachusetts. We will see him trying to flip flop. Also his record as a so-call business owner isn't that great since he sent jobs to China and put people out of work. NIce Try!

    May 5, 2011 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  15. PalmReader

    "But he's the guy to do it. He actually knows what he is doing!"

    Might want to google Mitt's pre-recession Governorship. One percent job growth during America's prosperity years of a national 5.3 percent job growth rate isn't what I would call a stellar endorsement of Mitt's accomplishments.

    May 5, 2011 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  16. Randy, San Francisco

    Not a surprise...after all the absurd and outrageous things wingnut//Tea Party favorite candidates like Palin, Bahcmann, and Trump have been saying. With the circus atmosphere created by these fringe candidates, even a supposedly moderate but unispiring and boring candidate like Romney looks presidential.

    May 5, 2011 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  17. Shawn

    Bring it on, Mittens! This big flip-flopping yawn could never beat Obama.

    May 5, 2011 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  18. carrotroot

    I hope Mitt runs because it takes Health care off the table. Obama's already proven his resolve on National Security, all that is left is for him to focus on Jobs, which seems to be gradually improving.

    May 5, 2011 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  19. The Day of Financial Reckoning is HERE - The Great Democrat Welfare Society Ends

    Romney is the definite front runner. Experience and competence (especially when dealing with finances) that Obama can only dream about having.

    May 5, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  20. Fair is Fair

    "The GOP is finished."

    Oh really, Texas Doc? Seems I heard the same thing in 2008. All it took was 2 years of democrats in charge to hand them the biggest mid-term shellacking (Obama's words, not mine) in a generation.

    May 5, 2011 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  21. thomas

    I can not Vote for Romney. How many of his children volunteered for military service ? NONE !

    May 5, 2011 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  22. Concerned

    Former Republican Governors have 0 batting average against the economy.

    May 5, 2011 11:58 am at 11:58 am |