Poll: Where's Santorum's homefield advantage?
June 15th, 2011
10:16 AM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Where's Santorum's homefield advantage?

(CNN) - It may be his home state, but a new poll indicates that Rick Santorum is not on top in Pennsylvania in the fight for the GOP presidential nomination.

And the Quinnipiac University survey of Keystone state voters released Wednesday also indicates that President Barack Obama's re-election numbers are on the rise in the crucial battleground state.

According to the poll, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney leads the Republican field at 21 percent, followed by Santorum at 16 percent and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin at 11 percent. No one else was in double digits and 17 percent are undecided.

Santorum represented Pennsylvania for two terms in the U.S. Senate before he was defeated by double digits in his 2006 re-election bid.

"Native son Rick Santorum is not feeling the love among Pennsylvania Republicans or among voters in general," Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Assistant Director Tim Malloy added. "But Santorum does better in a GOP primary than other more nationally-known candidates such as Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich, who gets just 5 percent of the Republican vote."

The poll indicates that in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup, Obama tops Romney 47 to 40 percent among Pennsylvania voters, with the president leading Santorum by a 49 to 38 percent margin.

According to the survey, by a 48 to 46 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters say the president deserves to be re-elected. That's up from April, when Keystone state voters said Obama didn't deserve another term in the White House by 52 to 42 percent.

Sen. John Kerry narrowly captured Pennsylvania in his 2004 election loss to President George W. Bush. Obama carried the state by ten points in his 2008 presidential election victory. But Republicans stormed back in last year's midterm elections, capturing the governor's office, a Senate seat and five House seats from the Democrats.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted June 7-12, with 1,277 Pennsylvania voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Pennsylvania • Rick Santorum • Sarah Palin
soundoff (35 Responses)
  1. LovesIrony

    "I will not call him the knuckle-dragging Neanderthal that perhaps others want to call him, I'll let his wife call him that instead," Sarah Palin on Santorum

    June 15, 2011 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  2. Oldie in TampaBay

    talk to the people of PA & they will tell you all about Santorum ... he doesn't have a snowballs' chance! Dog catcher, maybe .. anything else .... nada ..

    June 15, 2011 10:27 am at 10:27 am |
  3. Randy, San Francisco

    The GOP/Tea Party field of presidential hopefuls is made up of dwarfs. It is led by a Romney who cannot excite the party faithfuls or Tea Party zealots and distracted by an undeclared publicity seeking egomaniac, the only two with double digits. Bachmann who supposedly raised her stocks in the NH debate is still in the single digit. This is a sad slate of stunted underperforming candidates.

    June 15, 2011 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  4. CBR

    I love CNN's hard hitting informative political coverage.

    Forget the polls and talk about the real issues we face.

    June 15, 2011 10:33 am at 10:33 am |
  5. Mike

    SAntorum can't even carry his own state. What chance does he have nationally? None. He is simply wasting money.

    June 15, 2011 10:34 am at 10:34 am |
  6. greyhackles

    Considering PA kicked his rear out of office, I'm surprised Santorum did that well...

    June 15, 2011 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  7. blf83

    Gumby, Micky Mouse, even Anthony Weiner could beat Sarah Palin. Santorum is simply too one-note, wrong-note, to win.

    June 15, 2011 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  8. Bill

    When will idealogues like Santorum realize that most of America is not obsessed with social issues and abortion? Maybe 10% of the voting public at best. Go home Rick and save your time and money.

    June 15, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  9. chuck

    Palin is a nobody-a scanky celebrity wannabe, absolutely no threat to Obama. The end contenders will be Obama and Romney. Obama will likely win, especially if the economy pick up. People still trust the good guy intellectual in the end. Obama is leagues above Romney with the IQ factor.

    June 15, 2011 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  10. JOE

    I've changed my mind. Bachmann's got my vote 6 to 9. That is, I'd like to see Bachmann and Palin in a 69. I wonder who'd come out on top. Yea, the both would make an attractive team. What a platform that would be.

    June 15, 2011 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  11. ThinkAgain

    Palin's in third place, yet CNN insists on including her name in the article title.

    What will CNN do when Palin's just another footnote in the history books? You might have to have to do *gasp* ACTUAL REPORTING!

    June 15, 2011 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  12. FM

    Romney can smile now but I really doubt how long this smile will go. Through the experience we witnessed during the Dem campaign 2008, it never cross my mind at all that Hillary in whatever way can lose to anyone. I do sense out now the same to GOP. Am afraid to say Romney will not emerge as GOP candidate!

    June 15, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  13. Republicans Are The American Taliban

    Romney is on top of Palin....where is Santorum to teabag??

    June 15, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  14. Al-NY,NY

    Even if the country was in full depression, Ricky boy would still get slaughtered in the general election. He stands no chance but go Rick and push all the candidates further to the zealot's side. It'll make reeclection so much easier once people really see what the GOP candidates want to do

    June 15, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  15. The Elephant In The Room

    Rick Santorum is fond of saying that Pennsylvania is a state "where workers still make things".

    Little wonder then that President Obama, you know, the "community organizer", Tops corporate raider Mitt Romney.

    Mitt has cost industrial regions like PA, Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin & Missouri coutless numbers of jobs simply to line his own pockets.

    Mitt`s a "Firer-er not a Hire-er". He has NO BUSINESS skills that are relevant to job creation. His tenure as a 1-term Governor of Massachusetts provides clear evidence of this.

    Romney ranked 3rd FROM THE BOTTOM in job creation among his peers.

    If Santorum truly wants any respect in his homestate, he`d better challenge Mr. Romney on this point.

    June 15, 2011 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  16. Cat

    Wow, smarter and better than Palin?? That does not take very much. Just a hair off the ground, rather than slithering on it.

    June 15, 2011 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  17. GOP = Greed Over People

    The GOP better rally round Mittens if they hope to have a chance in 2012.

    But, of course they will not.

    June 15, 2011 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  18. NYCMovieFan

    C'mon, the Repulicans know 2012 is a throwaway year, when they can't win. Who in their right mind would WANT the oval office right now, when there's still so much Bush/Cheney garbage to clean up. Better to wait until the Democrats restore the country, and the office, to some dignity before frat-boy trashing the place again. So the Republican nominee will be some old guy taking a goodbye lap, like Dole did and McCain did, and Bush did in 2000, except that the Supreme Court ignored the will of the People and handed him the job by ONE VOTE. So who do they have, even for a nonsense lap of defeat? Christie would be funny to watch, he can't keep a story straight for 5 minutes and he has worked to destroy the people of his state, or Jeb Bush would be fun,to hear him try to distance himself from his brother but those 2 are too ambitious to run for nothing. Palin would be the most fun, especially at the debates where Obama just has to show up to win, because she knows nothing useful but makes stuff up on a daily basis. But the Republicans are not progressive enough to run a woman as the top of the ticket, and they don't really have a respected old guy to take to the road for nothing, so Romney will do, because even his own party does not like him. He is the most likely fall guy for 2012.

    June 15, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  19. ThinkAgain

    None of these candidates has any solution to offer except to lower taxes on the wealthy – even though after 10 years, it's been proven that this DOES NOT result in job creation here at home.

    While average Americans suffer, Republicans stand firm with their wealthy individual and corporate interests. The rest of us are on our own.

    The Republicans do NOT believe in a United States; they believe in a corporate oligarchy in which the top 1% own and control everything and the rest of us are just a mass of cheap labor, easily exploited by fear and ignorance.

    If you disagree with me, PROVE ME WRONG by citing examples of what Republicans have done for our country in the last 10 years (note: done FOR our country, not TO our country).

    June 15, 2011 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  20. bassman

    I am not surprised by Palin's poll numbers. Our media has worked form the day McCain introduced her to destroy her. The jig is up with the release of her emails. As the Anchorage Daily News put it, “There are no bombshells, no ‘gotcha’ moments.’’ Instead, as the Washington Post reported, “Palin felt passionately about issues of importance to her state, the documents show, and she waged battle with foes large and small.’’
    Our media loves human interest stories. There is no greater story then the email Gov. Palin wrote to her unborn son. Written in the hand of God. Humanizing Palin is not something our media is capable in doing.

    June 15, 2011 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  21. Lost in Texas FOREVER

    if yesterday's so-called debate is any indication of how this race is going to go, then Obama will probably win anyway, not in a landslide but should win. I think most people are growing tired of the GOP cut taxes for the wealthy to creat jiobs mantra that hasn't worked well yet.

    June 15, 2011 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  22. C. Howe Yulikit

    Every one of the GOP troglodytes are unelectable.

    June 15, 2011 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  23. paul

    Republicans are searching, searching, searching. Palin, Gingerich, Trump, Cain, Huckabee, Indiana gov., Christie, etc. etc. The next person that comes down the road is their next candidate. Probably if Joe the Plumber can re-surface he will be the front runner. And they all preach the same talking points. No ideas, just throw bombs at Obama.

    June 15, 2011 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  24. Pat in IL

    I'm an Independent, so have no particular loyalty to either party, but do try to make informed choices before voting. Right now, too many of the Republicans seems to think that social issues are more important than the American economy, joblessness rates, foreign policy, etc. Too many of them think that smoking, having babies, who to marry (or not) etc. are more important issues, and they need to get off that and back to what governing the country really means.

    June 15, 2011 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  25. Dave

    Santorum is a mouth-breathing idiot and that's a fact. Then again, that can be applied to 99% of the Republican party membership.

    June 15, 2011 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
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