Poll: Romney still ahead in New Hampshire
July 5th, 2011
07:11 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Romney still ahead in New Hampshire

(CNN)-Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney tops a new WMUR Granite State Poll, with more likely Republican primary voters saying they'd support him in the first-in-the-nation primary state. His first-place showing in the poll hasn't wavered since February 2009.

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann took over second place in the survey but still trails Romney by double digits.

More than one-third of likely Republican primary voters–35 percent– said they would vote for Romney, who also sought the GOP nomination in 2008. Twelve percent said they'd back Bachmann.

But support for the three-term congresswoman has increased by 8 percentage points since a well-received performance at the first CNN/WMUR/New Hampshire Union-Leader GOP primary debate and the formal announcement of her presidential bid in June.

With single-digit support, Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who has not announced a bid for the 2012 Republican nomination for president, are tied at seven percent in the poll. Former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, another candidate still mulling over a bid, are also all tied up at three percent support each.

Two percent of likely primary voters support both former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman and businessman Herman Cain. One percent back former House Speaker Newt Gingrich. Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum polled below one percent support.

The top pick for Republican primary voters fares well against incumbent President Barack Obama in the poll, and better than any other potential GOP nominee: Romney leads Obama 47 to 43 percent in a hypothetical matchup. But the four-point margin falls within the poll's sampling error, indicating the match is statistically tied.

Most voters simply haven't made up their minds. Three-quarters of voters likely to vote in the first primary in the nation say they're still trying to decide whom to support for president.

And of all those questioned, two in 10 know whom they wouldn't support: Sarah Palin. Twenty-three percent of likely Republican primary voters say they would not vote for the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee under any circumstances-more than any other GOP candidate in the field.

The WMUR Granite State Poll was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center from June 21-July 1 by telephone among 773 New Hampshire adults. It has a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The poll included 357 likely 2012 Republican primary voters with a sampling error of 5.2 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Michele Bachmann • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls
soundoff (11 Responses)
  1. Patrick from Minnesota

    Except one thing: New Hampshire accounts for less than 1% of the American population!

    July 5, 2011 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  2. Four and The Door

    This is Mitt Romney showing a solid, consistent lead. As much as some Democratic posters on this site have said Republicans would not nominate a Mormon, they seem to be wrong. Republicans are more interested in the real issues and capabilities than personal selectivity. And Republicans are united in that we will pick someone who will win the General Election by a wide margin. November was just a good warm up for 2012. There are still a lot of good debates yet and time to develop each candidacy so it stays interesting.

    July 5, 2011 07:30 pm at 7:30 pm |
  3. Anonymous

    He's a liar. He needs to pray to Joseph Smith for forgiveness.

    He'll never get a vote from me for ANYTHING!

    July 5, 2011 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  4. Bill in Florida

    Don't worry Rich: I'm sure your "less than 1%" rating will increase eventually, Hell, you might even break 2% by next February...

    July 5, 2011 07:53 pm at 7:53 pm |
  5. Jess C

    Hard to fathom that there are people out there who'd put our country in the hands of Bachman. How very scary! I'm not Mitt fan either, but she's ridiculous.

    July 5, 2011 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  6. Indy

    Only Republicans would support putting an unemployed bum in the Whitehouse. You have to wonder why they would support someone who lost big time in his last attempt for the highest land in the job and has done nothing since his failure. I guess Republicans just dont care about their country just power trips.

    July 5, 2011 08:08 pm at 8:08 pm |
  7. Anonymous

    At least most of them agree NOT to let $ara get near that red button. McFlake needs to apoloogize to the entire nation for unleashing that hate-monger on the lower 48.

    July 5, 2011 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  8. GI Joe

    Their brains are still frozen.

    July 5, 2011 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
  9. A weary Independent

    All this means is that the two front runners in the poll are documented liars but I guess that is the first requisite quality in a republican candidate.

    July 5, 2011 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
  10. truth2power

    No surprise here, the only people crazier than Bachmann are those who would actually vote for her!!
    She does not have the education, the intellect OR the temperament to actually hold the highest office in the land.

    July 5, 2011 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  11. me

    The Republican primary is going to bring out how crazy the extreme part of the party really is. Romney is probably the only one maybe Huntsman that can appeal to the middle. That being said if the Democrats want to be successful they have to win over a majority of independents and hispanic voters and blue collar workers in the Midwest before the end of the GOP primaries. plus the economy turning around would help and painting the republicans in washington as out of touch with the American middle class and what not... should be an interesting summer next year...

    July 5, 2011 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |