3rd straight Iowa poll has Bachmann at top
July 14th, 2011
08:01 AM ET
3 years ago

3rd straight Iowa poll has Bachmann at top

(CNN) - Call it a polling hat trick. For the third time this week, a survey of likely Iowa GOP caucus goers has Republican presidential candidate and Rep. Michele Bachmann at the top.

According to a new poll from Mason Dixon Polling and Research, 32 percent of people questioned in the survey say they are backing the congresswoman from neighboring Minnesota for the GOP presidential nomination. At 29 percent is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second bid for the White House. Bachmann's lead is well within the poll's sampling error.

The survey indicates that seven percent are supporting former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, with former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at six percent. Everyone else was in the low single digits.

Bachmann was also at the top of surveys of likely Iowa caucus goers released earlier this week from the American Research Group and the IowaRepublican.com.

All three polls follow a much reported recent survey from the Des Moines Register which had Romney at 23 percent and Bachmann at 22 percent. That poll sparked some favorable stories for Bachmann, who earlier in June received positive headlines for her performance at the much-watched CNN/WMUR/New Hampshire Union Leader GOP presidential debate.

A strong showing in next February's Iowa caucuses, which kick off the presidential caucus and primary calendar, is crucial for Bachmann's hopes of winning her party's nomination.

The release of the new surveys comes just a month away from a straw poll in Ames, Iowa. Bachmann and Pawlenty, as well as Rep. Paul of Texas and a couple of other candidates, are putting a lot of time and effort into getting supporters to attend the influential straw poll.

The Mason Dixon Polling and Research survey was part of an overall survey conducted for the Every Child Matters Education Fund. Three hundred likely Iowa GOP caucus goers were questioned by telephone from July 5-7. The poll's sampling error is plus or minus 5.7 percentage points.

– Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN


Filed under: 2012 • Iowa • Michele Bachmann
soundoff (16 Responses)
  1. Jeff Brown in Jersey

    Bless her pointy little head!

    July 14, 2011 08:11 am at 8:11 am |
  2. FM

    I have a question to those who were polled. Do you support this woman because she is capable to take the toughest job in the entire world, OR do you support her as a conservative as you are? If it is the latter, am afraid the country is heading to the huge trouble no one dreamt of!

    July 14, 2011 08:25 am at 8:25 am |
  3. ConservaFASCISTS/Domestic Terrorists/Taliban/Al Queda/TRAITORS

    T-Paw called her out for not achieving ANYTHING in her political career and he was absolutely correct.

    July 14, 2011 08:26 am at 8:26 am |
  4. Rudy NYC

    I said in 2008 and I will say for 2012. The Republicans would be smart to select Rep. Ron Paul to run against Barack Obama. But, since the Republican Party has been in a steady decline since Gingrich was House Speaker, they will select the candidate who has the best *image* instead of the one with the best ideas.

    Ever since Reagan, Republicans have leaned toward the candidate who talks the toughest. They like to strength and resolve in their candidates.
    The polls this year have reflected that trend from week to week. All of them have. Anytime someone opened their mouth and said something hard and tough, that person shot up the polls.

    Bachman may be on top for now, but her own tough talk will be her undoing. Obama is just to big a target to pass up. He has big 'D' behind his name, which is all it takes. Just talk tough. Don't worry about making any sense. You don't have to.

    July 14, 2011 08:27 am at 8:27 am |
  5. Rudy NYC

    So, Bachmann's "small business experience" amounts to a store front church that just might be committing fraud. I am going to give the Bachmanns benefit of the doubt and assume that she is not dumb enough to brag about a family business that commits Medicare fraud. If you talk and brag about it, you know people are going to take a look at it and verify your claims. She cannot possibly be that stupid.

    July 14, 2011 08:32 am at 8:32 am |
  6. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Remember that this is a primary and can lead to momentum in the race. The question is do the Republicans really want someone who doesn't have any understanding as to what the government does running it? She seems to believe that there is no need for the government to have any support for people. That should only be done by charities; how many have nation wide reach that accept everyone? No one charity can do that.

    July 14, 2011 08:40 am at 8:40 am |
  7. diridi

    she is just like Sarah Palin, and Tim Pawlenty, o.k, the biggest idiot, knows nothing....I mean, absolutely "Nothing". o.k,

    July 14, 2011 09:01 am at 9:01 am |
  8. john

    All these polls show is how easily Iowa GOP voters are manipulated. Its no wonder why the road to presidency for the GOP starts in the ignorant backwaters of America.

    July 14, 2011 09:04 am at 9:04 am |
  9. BobAD

    If you understood the small minds that the Religious Right has control over here you would then understand her being on top. She Signed The Pledge, what pledge any pledge she doesn’t read them she just signs them. Autograph time……..

    July 14, 2011 09:14 am at 9:14 am |
  10. Terry Gloege

    Great news!!!!! If you're a Democrat!!

    July 14, 2011 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  11. Senor Ed

    Three polls have now confirmed it ... the 'I' in Iowa really does stand for idiots.

    July 14, 2011 09:23 am at 9:23 am |
  12. Randy, San Francisco

    Bachmann's lead in the polls is to be expected. Iowa is Bachmann country and Romney is not seriously campaigning there. The real test for Bachmann is New Hampshire. Can she win outside of Tea Party strongholds and the Southern Bible belt?

    July 14, 2011 09:27 am at 9:27 am |
  13. Joe E.

    It appears that Florida doesn't have a lock on the market for flaky wing nuts. Iowa appears to have its fair share. This woman isn't qualified to be dog catchers pooper scooper assistant, but I'd contribute to her campaign. Anything to spoil the Tea Party/GOP is good with me.

    July 14, 2011 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  14. Indy

    As a fortune teller I can tell you there is some huge dissapointment on the way for Bachmann in every other state.The truth is a coming and Bachmann will be crashing as fast as a falling star very soon.

    July 14, 2011 09:30 am at 9:30 am |
  15. Dale

    The Ayatolla Bachmann is looking good for the Republican nomination. Her homophobic, xenophobic, racist views play well with the base. More power to her. The farther she gets, the better Obama's chances for re-election.

    July 14, 2011 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  16. T

    Only in AMERICA.........fools of fools

    July 14, 2011 09:32 am at 9:32 am |