Perry near the top in GOP 2012 race in second straight poll
July 27th, 2011
11:20 AM ET
3 years ago

Perry near the top in GOP 2012 race in second straight poll

Washington (CNN) - As Texas Gov. Rick Perry comes closer and closer to jumping into the race for the White House, a second straight national poll indicates the Texas governor is close to the top of the list in the battle for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination.

According to a Gallup survey released Wednesday, Perry appears to be the strongest challenger to Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the nomination and who is at the top of the GOP list in most polls.

Among the announced candidates, 27 percent of Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP say that Romney is their first choice for their party's presidential nomination, with 18 percent backing Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and 11 percent supporting Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who's making his third run for the White House. Every other announced candidate listed polled in the single digits.

But add Perry to the mix and it appears to be a different ball game, with Romney at 23 percent and Perry at 18 percent, Bachmann at 13 percent and Paul at 10 percent.

Add in former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and things get even more crowded near the top of the pack, with Romney at 17 percent, Perry at 15 percent, Palin at 12 percent, and Giuliani and Bachmann at 11 percent, Paul at eight percent and everyone else in the low single digits. While both Giuliani, who ran for the presidency four years ago, and Palin, the Republican vice presidential nominee in 2008, have flirted with bids, neither has taken concrete steps towards launching a campaign.

"Romney is the nominal front-runner for the Republican nomination, though his status is weaker now than a month ago and could be weakened further by the entry of a candidate like Perry, Palin, or Giuliani," says Gallup's analysis of their poll. "Still, none of those potential candidates' support exceeds Romney's at the moment."

The Gallup survey mirrors a CNN/ORC International Poll released last Friday. According to the CNN survey, 14 percent picked Perry as their first choice for their party's nomination, just two points behind Romney. Romney's two point margin over Perry was within the survey's sampling error.

The CNN poll indicated that Giuliani and Palin were at 13 percent, Bachmann at 12 percent and everyone else in single digits.

According to the poll, Perry appears to be changing some GOP minds.

"In May, 50 percent of Republicans said that they did not want Perry to throw his hat in the ring; now, 50 percent say they would welcome a bid by Perry," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

The Gallup poll was conducted July 20-24, with 1,088 Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

The CNN poll by ORC International was conducted July 18-20, with 455 Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points for questions regarding the GOP presidential nomination horserace.


Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Rick Perry
soundoff (22 Responses)
  1. sammieb51

    I heard on the radio last week that he has done such a GOOD job in Texas that school kids will now have TO PAY TO RIDE THE SCHOOL BUS - IN THIS THE "GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD" WITH BASIC EDUCATION AVAILABLE FOR ALL IF YOU CAN AFFORD THE RIDE .....

    July 27, 2011 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  2. gt

    might as will get in.... not many like the field the gop has now..

    July 27, 2011 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  3. rs

    The Republicans ARE on a suicide mission! After the absolute disaster that was the Bush II administration (Wars AND tax cuts- a first!) that they can't even bring themselves to be able to admit to or discuss, they are actually thinking about ANOTHER "all hat and no pony" cowboy Governor from the No-star state??

    I would say we need an intervention to save Republicans from themselves (or at least their Tea Party crackpots), but you know, America just might be better off without them.

    July 27, 2011 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  4. Lynda/Minnesota

    Anyone who wants to secede from the United States absolutely gets my vote for President of the United States. Well, if I were a TeaPer, they would. Which I am not. Sorry, Perry, old boy. No can do.

    July 27, 2011 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  5. Al-NY,NY

    Duh DUh Duh-bya ruined any chance of another Texas republican EVER getting into the White House. Go ahead Ricky. Throw your hat in and make things even more amusing for the people as we watch the candidates all try to out-do each other in citing that tax-and-spend Reagan as their hero

    July 27, 2011 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  6. Bill from GA

    If he doesn't do well as a repug, will he try again as a democrat, like when he started? I guess 'God' will guide him on that.

    July 27, 2011 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  7. Rick McDaniel

    Gotta have someone viable to oppose Obama the spendthrift.

    July 27, 2011 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  8. Bill from GA

    You ( CNN ) do us a great dis-service with: "Every other announced candidate listed polled in the single digits."

    Some of us like to gloat at the low ratings of newt, paylenty, cain, etc.

    Give us details. Just for laughs!!

    July 27, 2011 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  9. AZ DEM

    Perry's announcement should only worry Mittens because if no one else jumps in he's probably got the nomination sewn up...the secession talk will be a rough patch for him but his states economy will be able to get enough GOP support..and the fact that he isn't Mormon helps him A LOT...just sayin

    July 27, 2011 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  10. Republican

    Thank God for Perry as he`s saved me thousands $$$$$$$$$$ in taxes-- Enough for me to buy more land at a real bargain. --- He`s my man.

    July 27, 2011 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  11. Revolution

    Perry, get out. Ron Paul is the man.

    July 27, 2011 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  12. Bill

    Perry is best likened to Jefferson Davis, anothervile and cursed disease on this nation. Nothing but a racist and secessionist. Good luck with this one GOP wingnuts!

    July 27, 2011 12:10 pm at 12:10 pm |
  13. Indy

    Fred Flinstone would poll higher then all of the current has beens, so it is no surprise that Perry would lead in any poll. There is no viable republican candidate that has any ideas of their own that would help anyone but the rich

    Fred Flinstone/Barney Rubble 2012

    July 27, 2011 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  14. Mr. Moderate

    Yep, we need someone who creates government jobs at twice the rate of private sector jobs.

    July 27, 2011 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  15. Fair is Fair

    "Might just as well raise the dept ceiling no strings attached and be done with it. "
    --------–
    Sorry, Lynda – not buying it. That just kicks the can further down the road, like it's always been done. S&P has already come out and said that if there's not at least a $4 trillion package (composed of whatever, as long as it's $4 trillion of REAL savings), a downgrade is in the offing. It does not matter HOW we got here. We're here and it is what it is. It's on Obama's watch, and he had to LEAD – NOT DICTATE.

    July 27, 2011 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  16. fayse

    All that I have to say about Rick Perry is this, OMG, OMG !!! He is a disastor waiting to happen. I am a Texan and, I would love to have him out as Governor but I wouldn't wish this moron on the rest of the Country. Everything that you have been reading about Texas facing a $20 plus shortfall, low ranking in health and education and the fact that a suburb of Dallas will be charging students to ride the school bus, are all true. Yes we don't have a State Income Tax but, the property taxes and the sales tax are very high. I think that every poitician that decides to run for a Higher office should be required to resign their current office. I know that is not going to happen, but that would be one way to get rid of Perry so, It doesn't hurt to dream.

    July 27, 2011 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  17. fayse

    sorry I was typing so fast the short fall is around $24 Billion.

    July 27, 2011 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  18. Randy, San Francisco

    Isn't this the wingnut who advocated treason and secession from the union? How can the American people trust him to uphold and defend the US Constitution if he advocated Texas secession from the Union? Let's see how he holds up to closer scrutiny.

    July 27, 2011 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  19. Alex Santana

    Oh yes, just what we need...another stupid sounding Texan....does he ever listen to what he says? He sounds as stupid as Bush did...he wanted to secede Texas from the US...and make it illegal for TSA to do body scans...this guy is truly dangerous...I wish he would get Texas to secede...what a loser state!! He can go back to Mexico, it would make the rest of the US far better off...we dont' need Texas and God knows, we don't need Perry...OMG he is awful!

    July 27, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  20. Rudy NYC

    S&P has already come out and said that if there's not at least a $4 trillion package (composed of whatever, as long as it's $4 trillion of REAL savings), a downgrade is in the offing. It does not matter HOW we got here. We're here and it is what it is. It's on Obama's watch, and he had to LEAD – NOT DICTATE.
    -------------
    Funny you said that because S&P also said our credit rating would suffer if we pass a short term deal. A warning that Obama has repeated, but you call it dictating.

    July 27, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  21. Rudy NYC

    Republican wrote:
    Thank God for Perry as he`s saved me thousands $$$$$$$$$$ in taxes– Enough for me to buy more land at a real bargain. - He`s my man.
    --------------
    Well said. Another vote cast that proves "trickle down" does not create jobs.

    July 27, 2011 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  22. Fair is Fair

    "Funny you said that because S&P also said our credit rating would suffer if we pass a short term deal. A warning that Obama has repeated, but you call it dictating."
    --------
    And pray tell, enlighten us on the leadership Obama is showing. We're waiting.

    July 27, 2011 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |