Poll: Dead heat for Obama and GOP candidates
August 22nd, 2011
05:47 PM ET
3 years ago

Poll: Dead heat for Obama and GOP candidates

(CNN) - President Barack Obama is closely matched in hypothetical head-to-heads with 2012 Republican presidential candidates, according to a poll released Monday.

The Gallup survey showed Obama within the sampling error among registered voters when pitted against Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney led the president 48 percent to 46 percent while Obama was tied with Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 47 percent. The president led Rep. Ron Paul of Texas by two percentage points with 47 percent and Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota with four percentage points at 48 percent.

The new figures are similar to those from a recent CNN/ORC International Poll released earlier in August, which showed Obama ahead of Perry by five percentage points, Bachmann by six percentage points and Romney by one percentage point.

Gallup surveyed 879 registered voters by phone August 17 through August 18 with a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Republicans
soundoff (335 Responses)
  1. Tony in Maine

    Which means little 15 months out except that mud sticks and most people only know the candidates names – not the absurdities that have spewed from their mouths.

    August 22, 2011 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  2. ConservaFASCISTS/TeaHadists/Tea Queda/TeaLiban

    Not one TEApublican candidate has a great record on the economy. Massachusetts was ranked 47th in job creation under Romney. The good job numbers for Gov. YeeHaw Perry are primarily gov't jobs. The other candidates are irrelevant. When polls show Michelle Bachmann as a serious contender, that's when I know not to take the poll seriously.

    August 22, 2011 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  3. RJWTimes Bradford England

    This is a shame. With what he is up against, he should be an outright win for Obama, but I don't have control of the US vote.

    August 22, 2011 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  4. vet in texas

    "ha ha" – Nelson from the Simpsons

    "they are what we thought they were" – Coach Denny Green

    "while I may have not voted for him, he's the president and I hope he does a good job" – John Wayne on JFK

    August 22, 2011 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  5. A Repulbican

    Same poll at this time of the election showed Reagan loosing, Jimmy Carter winning, George Snr winning, George W. loosing and Clinton loosing reelection. Just giving the facts, it's a long way to go. Or, by judging at the polls previously it's probably going to be an Obama win.

    August 22, 2011 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  6. DIANA

    Who are they polling?! Even the Republican's don't like the list they have. I don't believe he's only four points ahead of Bachmann. Can you imagine if she won? Or even Perry – this country would go so far back into the dark ages we'd think the sun stopped shining.

    August 22, 2011 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  7. Republicans Are The American Taliban

    I cant understand who would choose Republican in any poll. Republicans certainly cannot get the
    1. Hispanic vote
    2.Gay vote
    3. Black vote or
    4. Womens vote

    August 22, 2011 06:15 pm at 6:15 pm |
  8. Tea Party Mike

    Looks like support for the field of potential Republican candidates is trending up. CNN is correct to state these results are close to the CNN poll taken in August. But the new Gallup poll shows improvement for everyone of the Republicans over the CNN poll with Perry showing the greatest movement going from down 5 in the CNN poll to a tie in new Gallup. The Gallup poll has a + or – error factor of 4% so support for the Republicans could be even somewhat stronger. In any case it shows a bump for the Republicans. It is a long time to November 2012, a lot can change. But a Republican field with 4 candidates within the margin or error of either defeating or tying Obama has the look of a very strong field. This will drive the left nuts, more so than they already are. Maybe someone should tell Obama to stop talking and skip the bus tours and town halls. Seems like the more Obama talks the lower his ratings fall. Maybe that gift of speech he is so proud of is not really anywhere near as impressive as he thinks.

    August 22, 2011 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  9. Becca

    Well it is all hit and miss when you note. They all promise so much to the people until they are voted into office. Then no one gives what was promised. One thing like Obama promised to help the seniors as they all strugle to buy food and medicine. Everything has went up in price and seniors have not had a raise in their SS checks. So not too sure that anyome can tell the truth. I am not sure that to vote is not a waste of time any more. No matter if still working or not Mr.Obama went on vacation but the poor people can not have such such money to do this. Our country has less jobs and so so many people are out of work and they can not go on a vacation. Something is just not right here at all in our country. We need some one who will stop imports and bring our jobs back to us. Most people will pay a little more for Made In America. But to find something made in America is few and far between.

    August 22, 2011 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  10. Woman In California

    Well, they DID NOT ask me. I wouldn't even slightly entertain the thought of voting for ANY republican from now on. Gone are the real fiscal conservatives and those who REALLY cared about this country. I would go so far as to vote for Richard Nixon (and he's dead) before I vote for ANY of these extremists. Eisenhower was the last real republican to hold office. Only the hateful, racists extremists run now. As G.I. Joe stated earlier they have shown their true colors in the last 2 1/2 years and I won't EVER forget it.

    August 22, 2011 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  11. kayla

    if he is doing that poor in the polls, how come it's head to head with the gops' that means they are really doing worst

    August 22, 2011 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  12. Ron

    LOL. What a joke. This poll was taken before world event started to unfold...and the President's policy proved to be the right way to do things in Libya. And, before it became public that republicans intend to block the President's extension of the payroll tax – you know, the one that put $1000 in the pockets of the average middle class family! We'll see how republicans/tea party folks respond to having their taxes RAISED by their elected officials when these same people would rather crash the US economy than increase taxes on the top 2%. Those poor guys must feel like a bunch of fools today.

    August 22, 2011 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  13. J-NW

    Question: Did the Bush/Cheney's tax cuts for the rich create a strong economy? A) Yes B) No
    Question: Hitler was A) leftwing, B) rightwing
    If you answered (A) to both of these, you are just just what the GOP is looking for... poorly educated.
    Question: what is the most toxic nut on Earth? Answer: rightwing nuts.

    August 22, 2011 07:08 pm at 7:08 pm |
  14. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Democrats leave this poll to the Republicans to fight over because they must decide who to select, not us, we've made our selection. Obama all the way.

    August 22, 2011 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  15. dd

    People are nuts! that is all i can say...very sad ! if obama could actually do his job i wonder what it would be...thanks a bunch repubs! ur racism seems to be working. pathetic is what you all are

    August 22, 2011 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  16. The Anti-Facebook

    The GOP does not have a one middle of the road candidate, you can put lipstick on a pig, but it is still a pig. The GOP is now represented by right wing wacko tea baggers. It's time to wake up and smell the coffee.

    August 22, 2011 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  17. SOUTHERN HOTTIE

    Bah! Polls are unscientific and their methodologies highly suspect. Additionally, they are best suited for qualitative purposes/analysis rather than quantitative.

    August 22, 2011 07:23 pm at 7:23 pm |
  18. Clwyd

    I pray to God that he will give the American public and voters in particular the intelligence to see what nuts these right wing republicans are and what a disaster they would be for our country.

    August 22, 2011 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  19. Four and The Door

    Yeah, but Republicans have Caller ID on their phones and they actually get out and vote. Especially next year. 2010 was just a warm-up. In 2012 Obama's name will actually be on the ballot. Republicans and Independents will make sure to send him back home to Chicago on a one way ticket.

    August 22, 2011 07:38 pm at 7:38 pm |
  20. Don't believe the hype

    The GOP is so desperate to beat President Obama by any means necessary, that they are actually skewing statistical data in their favor.

    August 22, 2011 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  21. Not Another Stupid and useless poll !

    Once again another useless poll ! There is still over a year till the elections and the primaries haven't even started ! We don't have a clue as to who will be the nominee on the republican side because the front runners seem to change from week to week ! BTW these polls are usually weighted to get a desired result and can easily be manipulated because of how small the sample size is ! A poll a week before the general election will be far more accurate as to what will happen because by then people will know all they need to know about the candidates !

    August 22, 2011 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  22. kWag

    I will never, ever, ever, ever vote for a Republican. Period. Many, many of them are scary politicians who don't care about the rest of us. Their motto is 'if it's not happening to them, then it's not happening." The are bullies, cramming unreasonable and dangerous ideas and rhetoric down our throats and it's just plain frightening. Never, ever, ever.

    August 22, 2011 07:41 pm at 7:41 pm |
  23. Grudoon

    Let Mittens keep at that mantra that corporations are people while the others continue to prove themselves as whack job idiots. It will be no contest.

    August 22, 2011 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  24. William

    I'm a Democrat that will vote for Obama, but "God be with us", if Perry or Bachmann were to win the Republican nomination and even be considered for the presidency. I'm sorry, in that I just do not think this poll is accurate.

    August 22, 2011 07:49 pm at 7:49 pm |
  25. Larry L

    It's not a close race for anybody with a brain. That collection of radical freaks the Republicans have assembled is absolutely frightening! The whole party is now run by angry, white, bigoted, homophobic, evangelical, Tea Party members of the American Taliban. Perry might make a good homecoming queen but President? He's a Bush clone – but less intelligent.

    August 22, 2011 07:51 pm at 7:51 pm |
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