Poll: Dead heat for Obama and GOP candidates
August 22nd, 2011
05:47 PM ET
7 years ago

Poll: Dead heat for Obama and GOP candidates

(CNN) - President Barack Obama is closely matched in hypothetical head-to-heads with 2012 Republican presidential candidates, according to a poll released Monday.

The Gallup survey showed Obama within the sampling error among registered voters when pitted against Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney led the president 48 percent to 46 percent while Obama was tied with Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 47 percent. The president led Rep. Ron Paul of Texas by two percentage points with 47 percent and Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota with four percentage points at 48 percent.

The new figures are similar to those from a recent CNN/ORC International Poll released earlier in August, which showed Obama ahead of Perry by five percentage points, Bachmann by six percentage points and Romney by one percentage point.

Gallup surveyed 879 registered voters by phone August 17 through August 18 with a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Republicans
soundoff (335 Responses)
  1. Sam

    Just think if the liberal press was not a branch of the Obama White House communications office. So much of what comes out is packaged neatly and positively for Obama. Thnk if Bush's first term was as bad as his second. Obama's first term has been worse than Bush's 2nd term which is horrendous and they still put lipstick on that pig ever morning. Its really pathetic. Any of the GOP frontrunners are significantly better than Obama. They all have records of having performed well in positions which is different from Obama.

    August 23, 2011 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  2. GOP Hate America

    Obamas got my vote, whatever

    August 23, 2011 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  3. AlaskaPalin

    Why should those who believed we are evolved baboons be allowed to ruled over those who believed we are dignified human beings. Speaking of education, the colleges that the evolved apes went to have their history in religious dignified human beings. In concern for the non religious they allowed them into these colleges and that was the beginning of the brain washing of all by the intolerant evolved apes. So without the religious most of those who called social conservatives uneducated might not have been educated today. That is ungratefulness?

    August 23, 2011 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  4. GOP Hate America

    2008 showed McLame and Obama in a dead heat the whole time until election night when Obama just blew the doors off McPhonys already sunken submarine. These polls are just there to keep people glued to the TV. Obama's got my vote put that in your stats.

    August 23, 2011 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  5. ted

    Being an Obama supporter, I know who I will be voting for. What is wildly amusing is the group of lunatics that the GOP has and how unhappy most on the right are with the choices. I don't care as Obama will win. The right wing needs to recall how screwed up the eight years of Bush were and if Perry or any of the other wackjobs get in there, it will be deja vu all over again.

    August 23, 2011 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  6. Sniffit

    Sorry, that shoudl have read:

    "Then, they proceeded to continue setting records for fillibusters, blocking appointments and gridlocking the legislative process by refusing to compromise or negotiate in good faith whatsoever."

    August 23, 2011 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  7. just saying . . .

    at this time in 2007 Rudy G was leading Hillary 47 to 40. . .

    August 23, 2011 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  8. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    Obama will win. He will pull the growing minority vote and THAT is what keeps the entire GOP leadership wide awake at night.
    You mean the minorities that have the highest unemployment rates? So you think they will all vote for 4 more years of failure and continued high unemployemnt just because they are a minority and Obama is a minority? So you think race trumps economic reality? For the sake of minorities, it better not, but I can't say that I woiuld be surprised if it did.

    August 23, 2011 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  9. Earthchild

    Let us get organized and follow President Obama. He is our only hope. I agree with u, Phil ryan. We have to give him back Congress and the Senate so he can implement his well thought through and sound ideas to help move this country forward.

    Our president is one hell of a guy. He gets things done the right, smart way. We should be begging him to run for President. Peace.

    August 23, 2011 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  10. Sniffit

    "Fact 1, candidate Obama promised to close Gitmo, he in fact signed Executive Order 13492 in Jan 2009 to close it, as of now, it remains open."

    Congress refused to fund the closure. Can't blame Obama for that.

    August 23, 2011 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  11. Former Rep.

    I can no long support the Republican Party. The crazies are running this party and I want no part of it. I never liked Obama but he made it clear with the debt ceiling that he was willing to comprise. He was the ONLY one prepared to go to work for the country. My party sadly had many member that wanted to default. Until the Republican party can produce some smart representative and push the psycos out I'm DONE!

    August 23, 2011 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  12. Sniffit

    "Fact 2, the promise to release Abu Ghraib pictures did not realize, he backed off after the generals advised against it."

    Oh, so when a general says "I want X more troops," Obama is supposed to simply obey without question and not take the time to meet with the Joint Chiefs or review reports to make an informed decision the way the founding fathers envisioned a CIVILIAN Commander in Chief doing in order to protect our soldiers from rampant militarism...but when it comes to generals, the Joint Chiefs and national security teams advising him to do something and him taking that advice, he's supposed to reject it? I see.

    August 23, 2011 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  13. Sniffit

    "Fact 3, Obama wanted to end the war, now the US has more troops at war. "

    Fact: Joint Chiefs monthly reports show that the average number of boots on the ground per month in Iraq and Afghanistan for Fiscal Years 2008-2012 are as follows:

    FY08 – 187,900
    FY09 – 183,600
    FY10 – 151,800
    FY11 – 106,200
    FY12 – 67,500

    That's a 64% reduction from the level of troops since Obama took office.

    Source: Congressional Research Service and Joint Chiefs of Staff monthly reports.

    August 23, 2011 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  14. Polarization indeed

    It is really amusing to watch Obama supporters blow off the poll as meaningless or unreliable, and GOP supporters try to paint the poll as convincing evidence that he can't beat anyone. Bottom line is, folks, all that matters is how independent voters feel the morning of 11/6/12. Am I better off than I was 4 years ago? If yes, the incumbent wins. If no, the incumbent loses. Remember, Obama was a NOBODY in 2008...the ONLY reason he won is that people answered NO to this question, so it did not matter who the GOP fielded.

    August 23, 2011 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  15. Sniffit

    "Fact 4, candidate Obama boasted the "ABILITY to work across the aisle", an ability that did not exist, and now he blamed congress. "

    And in response to his promise to try to work across the aisle, the GOP solemnly told the entire populace that their core strategy for Obama's presidency was to (1) hope he fails and (2) make sure he's a one term president. They then proceeded to obstruct, refuse compromise, demagogue, continue to set fillibuster records, negotiatein bad faith, engage in massive misinformation campaigns and conjure up Astroturf Frankenstein as their political cover for their sociopathic conniption fit.

    Please explain how Obama was supposed to be able to reach across the aisle and work with them in light of the above.

    August 23, 2011 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  16. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    Congress refused to fund the closure. Can't blame Obama for that.
    CORRECTION: Democratic controlled Congress refused to fund the closure. Can't blame Obama for that.

    HIS OWN PARTY stuck it to him because he was so far out of touch with the country.

    August 23, 2011 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  17. Sniffit

    "Fact 5, health care reform was 1990 pages long, the lawmakers who voted for it did not even read everything in that reform. "

    Obama is not responsible for Congresscritters that fail to do their job because they were too busy misinformation campaigning, holding town meetings to demagogue the legislation, hold press breifings to pander and spew rhetorical nonsense about what was in it, etc.,...too busy fighting it to read it. This begs the question: if they didn't read it and therefore had no idea what was in it, how could they have known they opposed it?

    Reality: they read it and they had staffers hard at work reading it, dissecting it, finding quotes from it to take out of context, inventing was to misrepresent and purposefully misinterpret selected provisions in it, etc.

    August 23, 2011 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  18. Positive

    A vote for a Republican President will allow them carry out the Paul Ryan budget which will destroy Medicare. Then, they will move to Social Security. They can't wait to get all that money that you and I paid into "private" (rich) hands like Insurance company exacts and Wall Street. Oh, but you'll get a nice little voucher.

    It is unbelievable to me that people who live with these two programs are selfish enough to vote for people who will destroy them for their children and grandchildren. If you think these are good ideas then surely you would support them being put into effect immediately (meaning impact you instead of just others), right?

    August 23, 2011 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  19. JoeInNC

    These responses strongly reflect CNN's overwhelmingly liberal audience. Wake up and smell the coffee, liberals.... these numbers are real! The economy is not expected to get any better over the next two years, unfortunately.... Obama is a one term President!

    August 23, 2011 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  20. Malory Archer


    I know CNN caters to Liberals, which as a conservative, I blog here. But the idea that Obama has the support of the general public is really pushing the truth envelope.

    The business sector has already made up it's mind. No jobs or hiring until the uncertainty of the Obama Adm is gone.

    Want a job? Vote Republican.

    In other words, vote for Conglomo, Inc's. candidates or you're fired. That's extortion and it's wrong. Frankly, thinking Americans should tell your ilk to take a hike, jobs be damned! Conglomo, Inc. can continue to pillage the third world until the inhabitants have had enough. Meanwhile, Real Americans will welcome Mom & Pop back into the fold, and we'll all be better for it.

    August 23, 2011 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
  21. Publius Novus

    @KCRick. "The fact is that no modern president has ever been re-elected with a 7.2% unemployment rate or higher." Unless of course, you believe that FDR was not "modern." In fact, FDR was reelected handily. Why? Because although the unemployment rate was well above 7.2%, the reason it was that high was due to gross mismanagement of the economy by a series of Republican presidents. Republican presidents who repeatedly cut taxes and federal budgets. The same will apply here, unless the GOP is able to induce mass amnesia on the electorate. The Republicans and their corporate masters will try mightily, but the people were fooled once in 2000. They are not likely to drink the same tea again, at least so soon.

    August 23, 2011 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  22. Mullins

    Don't you love how Democrats keep propogating the lie the the GOP how gone farther right than ever before. Fact is Obama had the most liberal voting record in the Senate and people were stupid enough to elect him President. In reality the Democratic party is so liberal that President Kennedy is more conservative that some of our candidates this year. By the same token Clinton and Huntsman are very similar. Although I iwll say Clinton was a heck of a President and Huntsman is not fit to carry his boots.

    August 23, 2011 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  23. Sniffit

    "HIS OWN PARTY stuck it to him because he was so far out of touch with the country."

    Still, can't blame him for it. The person I was responding to was trying to make people angry with him for him having failed to follow through on the promise to close it. He was prevented from doing so. As a practical matter, it's therefore not his fault that the promise remains unfulfilled. Stick with the issue at hand...injecting your own tangential knee-jerk criticism is irrelevant.

    BTW, it's fun to watch you basically claim that the Dem congress was supremely in tune with the will of the public solely because it was convenient to your desire to make some vague criticism of Obama. Please, let us know when we'll be returning to your regularly scheduled generalized blather about the Dems being out of touch.

    August 23, 2011 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  24. LifelongGOP

    But we on the right strill don't have a truly viable candidate. Yes, the GOP circus car continues to spit out more clowns, but we still haven't seen a viable candidate emerge. Until the GOP produces a viable, electable candidate, we on the right would be well advised to shut our mouths and get on our knees and pray for a candidate.

    August 23, 2011 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  25. Sniffit

    "The business sector has already made up it's mind. No jobs or hiring until the uncertainty of the Obama Adm is gone."

    Simple fix: give the Dems congress, teach the business sector that it's here to serve the American public, not rule it, and give it the certainty that it needs, i.e., that the rest of the American populace wants there to be a strong and growing middle-calss, wants the wealth/income disparity to shirnk not grow, wants Medicare and SS to exist and be healthy and if that takes taxing the rich we're more than freekin willing to do it. The business sector may try to recoil from it or punish the rest of us for it, but the reality is, they'll learn very very quickly that they need us and the demand we represent far more than we need those in the business sector who choose not to play nice and seek to destroy what the founding fathers intended to be an egalitarian society, not a third-world banana republic plutocracy.

    August 23, 2011 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
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