Washington (CNN) – A new national survey is further proof that Texas Gov. Rick Perry's entrance earlier this month into the race for the White House has dramatically altered the battle for the Republican presidential nomination.
According to a CNN/ORC International Poll of Republicans and independent voters who lean towards the GOP, Perry now sits atop the list of Republican presidential candidates, with strong support from most demographic groups.
Full results (pdf)
The survey, released Monday, indicates that 27 percent of Republicans nationwide support Perry for their party's nomination, with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second bid for the White House, at 14 percent. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin follows at ten percent, with Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani at nine percent, and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who's making his third bid for the presidency, at six percent. Every one else listed on the questionnaire registered in the low single digits.
The survey follows a Gallup poll out last week which also placed Perry at the top of the GOP field. Other polling released in the past week also confirms the findings of the CNN and Gallup surveys.
"Perry's support is higher among Republican men, at 32 percent, than Republican women, at 23 percent, but he has more support among either group than any other candidate," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.
According to the survey, Perry supporters tend to be older and have higher incomes, but the longtime Texas governor also tops the list, albeit by smaller margins, among lower-income Republicans and those under 50 years old.
"Perry's biggest support comes from Republicans who say they are supporters of the tea party movement - he wins 37 percent of their vote - but he also edges Romney by a couple of points among Republicans who don't call themselves tea party supporters," adds Holland.
While both Palin, the 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, and Giuliani, who ran for the 2008 GOP presidential nomination, have both frequently flirted with bids for the White House, neither has taken concrete steps to launch a campaign.
Take Palin and Giuliani out of the mix and listing only the announced candidates, and the poll indicates Perry with 32 percent support, followed by Romney at 18 percent, Bachmann at 12 percent, Gingrich at seven percent, Paul at six percent, and everyone else in the low single digits.
While Perry has surged in the polls following his late entry into the race, the question remains whether he can maintain his position in future surveys. The last two candidates who made high profile late entries into the race for the White House did not have staying power.
"In 2003, Wesley Clark was a late entrant in the Democratic field and almost immediately jumped to the top of the pack. Fred Thompson did the same thing four years later on the GOP side and quickly was in a virtual tie for first place. But by November, both men had dropped in the polls and neither did very well when the voting started," says Holland. "Bill Clinton was a late entry in 1991 - he filed his papers with the Federal Election Commission in August - but the Democratic field that year was much less crowded than the GOP field today."
Much could change in the coming weeks, as the pace of the race for the White House picks up with a vengeance over the next two months, with five GOP presidential debates (including two CNN debates) and six major events that will also attract many of the candidates.
Meanwhile, the survey indicates that number of Democrats and independents who lean towards the Democratic party who would like the party to nominate someone else besides President Barack Obama has topped out after months of steady growth. Seventy-two percent of Democrats want to see Obama re-nominated, with 27 percent wanting a different candidate. That's virtually unchanged since early August, although it is higher than in June.
The CNN/ORC International Poll was conducted August 24-25, with 467 Republicans and independents who lean Republican, and 463 Democrats and independents who lean Democratic, questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
Anyone would be better than Obama. He complained and criticized President Bush for FOUR YEARS. He placed direct blame for the economy on President Bush.
However, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Congressional Budget Offic, the average unemployment rate under President Bush was 5.3%. Under Barack Obama, the average unemployment rate has been 9.4%!!!
Yeah, Barack Obama has been a major mistake for America. It is time to move on from his experimental economic policies that have been destroying America.
I would take a Rick Perry - the governor of a huge state with low unemployment, no state income tax, and many other low taxes - than the prospect of four more miserable years of Barack Obama.
The more I observe and hear him, the more he looks like Bush to me. Don't me have enough Bush?
NO,NO,NO,NO,Noooooo !!!!! I wouldn`t wish our Gov. on the rest of the US. He balances the Texas budget on the backs of ordinary middle class citizens while the rich keep their low property tax rates and corp. breaks. --All the budget cuts are passed on down to local gov`ts to dig their own way out.--- Also, 80% of these jobs "created" are part time, below minimum wage without ANY benefits. ---– But don`t listen to me, check all his "bragging points" out yourself.
Just like Texas, we have a saying in Florida, "Fool me once, . . .something ...something. . .something. Fool me twice, something . . .something. But fool me a third, fourth and fifth time, and you know I am a republican "
its early and a long way to go...
The Great GOP Hope. They will put every dime and borrow some more to make this nut look presidential. He will not win b/c
his boys in the house have already burn the toast. Save the social security, the medicare, medicaid from the hatchers.
Sits atop the GOP? Even CNN is ignoring Ron Paul's consist rankings at each poll, debate, and forum. Yet no one dares mention his name, unless they can quote him out of context. If the media did its job, they report stories, instead of sensationalizing lame topics and politicians who wouldn't do one right thing for the country.
poor little mittens, if you were not so terrified of the cowboy & went after him, but this Great Country knows that you have no spine & this guy will continue to eat the low-life morman for lunch. Perry, not a Morman. where do I get that bumper sticker???????????????
Wow!! Just tells me how week the Republican field is. Has this 27 percent taken the time to really examine this guy? I would think that conservative values aside one would conclude that Perry is a walking sound bite disaster and a borderline bafoon. Obama may not be all we thought he'd be but the opposition in congress to him has damaged his progress. I will still vote for BO no matter who the Repubs nominate.
Still, with Guliani & Palin registering, itLs clear that some in the GOP are saying, " is THIS THE BEST we can do?".
Mitt Romney – you free ride is over. Now you`ll have to demonstrate why anyone should pick you. The nomination is not your exclusive birthright.
Quite the cultural unifier y'all got going for yourselves with candidate Perry, GOPers. He ought to fit in right well with the 20%ers come election day.
“While Perry has surged in the polls following his late entry into the race, the question remains whether he can maintain his position in future surveys. The last two candidates who made high profile late entries into the race for the White House did not have staying power.”
"In 2003, Wesley Clark was a late entrant in the Democratic field and almost immediately jumped to the top of the pack. Fred Thompson did the same thing four years later on the GOP side and quickly was in a virtual tie for first place. But by November, both men had dropped in the polls and neither did very well when the voting started," says Holland.”
I think ricky perry is just the newest shiny object for Tea Partiers to be infatuated with. They were in love with donald trump who quickly sank in Repub polls with vetting in progress.
I have learned to much about perry’s REAL past and it’s mind boggling. perry will sink once the real vetting begins and all his rattling skeletons have been let out of the closet.
IF unemployment is over 8% come Nov 2012...welcome aboard President Perry...like it or not, USA.
Just keep a cmera and a microphone aimed at Perry. That is all that you need to do.
Perry is on top....... until the first debate that is.... If he is too extreme for Rove and Bush, what does that tell ya?
There comes another Texan. It is cool to watch how things will get nasty when the actual election starts.
What is it about Republican voters and Bible thumping, shoot from the hip cowboys?
Perry's the guy. I know he has faults but if your looking for someone perfect, he/sge does not exist.
Perry is waaaaaay better than Obama.
The shows you that the GOP has learned nothing from putting Bush in the WH. Perry is a clone Bush. Bush is the one who told Perry to run. Don't believe that bull that Bush and Perry don't get along.
Perry is 4 more years of Bush.
The republicans are a sad bunch.
Perry means 4 more years of Obama
way to go GOP!
Will never vote for a politician who uses faith to drive votes.. or that looks and sounds like George W.
Good. Romney is an empty suit, and a fake conservative. He also was the recipient of a big Federal bailout when he was the CEO of a company. He pocketed the money and laid off all his employees. His "business savvy" is vastly overrated. His famous father was the CEO of American Motors, which wasn't exactly a success story either. The Romneys are all hype and no substance.
I doubt this guy won't last past the debates and serious scrutiny. At least I hope so!