Perry continues to shake up GOP field, lead polls
September 6th, 2011
10:55 AM ET
3 years ago

Perry continues to shake up GOP field, lead polls

Washington (CNN) - Three new polls provide more evidence that the entrance of Texas Gov. Rick Perry has drastically changed the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll has Perry atop the field with 36 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 17 percent and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann and Texas Rep. Ron Paul tied at 10 percent.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll delivered similar results. Perry is 38 percent of respondent's first choice for the nomination, followed by Romney at 23 percent, Paul at 9 percent and Bachmann at 8 percent.

The Washington Post/ABC News Poll released Tuesday night showed Perry leading at 27 percent among all Republicans and GOP-leaning independents. Romney followed behind at 22 percent, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who hasn't entered the race, came in third place with 14 percent.

These polls are only the most recent to show Perry out in front of the field. Earlier polls from Gallup, Quinnipiac and CNN/ORC International all show a similar picture of the field.

Perry, the most recent entrant into the race, announced his run on Aug. 13, the same day that Bachmann won the Ames Straw Poll in the first-in-the-nation caucus state of Iowa.

Since that high point in her campaign, Bachmann has slipped in the polls.

Bachmann's former campaign manager Ed Rollins, who stepped down Monday due to health problems, said Perry's entrance "took a lot of our momentum."

"Legitimately, it's a Romney-Perry race," Rollins said. "I think she's the third candidate at this point in time, which is way different and better than we thought when we started this thing. She's very much in this thing."

The race for the GOP nomination will continue to evolve in September, a month that features three debates, including CNN's "Tea Party Republican Debate" on Sept. 12 in Tampa Florida.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground Poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters over the phone and was conducted between Aug. 28 and Sept. 1. The poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll surveyed 1,000 adults over the phone from Aug. 27 to Aug. 31, and it has a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The Washington Post/ABC News poll surveyed 1,001 adults over the phone from Aug. 29 to Sept. 1, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Republicans • Rick Perry
soundoff (19 Responses)
  1. Chad from Tampa

    I don't care who the Republicans run, anyone is better than Obama!

    September 6, 2011 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  2. Rudy NYC

    Perry is going to lose some of that teflon skin when he starts showing for debates, which he has thus far skillfully avoided.

    $4 GAS: People love to point out the average price of gas when Obama took office was around $2. They ignore two critical facts. Six months before he took office, the price of gas was higher than it is now, $4.50 per gallon. They ignore the fact of what drove the price down, which was the draconian drop in demand resulting the precipitous drop in the price of oil and gas world wide. As the economies of the world recovered, so has the price of gas and oil.

    September 6, 2011 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  3. GonzoinHouston

    Hopefully, the independent voters will keep their wits about them and look at Perry's record and positions before arbitrarily voting their displeasure with the unemployment rate. If they do, Obama will flatten him. Perry is GWB on steroids, and would do even more damage. On the other hand, if the independents don't keep their wits, America could be in some seriously deep kimchee

    September 6, 2011 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  4. The Real Tom Paine

    Bachmann's support was always soft, but, argueably, so is Perry's. He has not held any sort of private sector job in over 2 decades, jumped parties when it became convenient, doubled spending while governor, and led the nation in the creation of largely minimum-wage jobs: meanwhile, education has suffered, taking away one of the best tools he has for long-term growth of good-pying jobs in the state: who wants to raise kids in a state with some of the worst schools in the nation? His claims about low taxes are a farce, since texas has some of the highest property taxes in the country, something municipalties were forced to do make up for lost revenue from the state.

    I seem to remember that John McCain was written off at this point 4 years ago. I think Romney could come back, but I don't think either he nor Perry could beat Obama at this stage, because none of them offer any new solutions. Independents are solution driven, and if all they offer is the same dish made by a different cook, the Independents will probably break for Obama. Name-calling and min-wage jobs won't win the White House, but it could hand the House back to the Dems and help them keep the Senate.

    September 6, 2011 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  5. ConservaFASCISTS/TEAliban/TEAhadists

    Between Perry and Romney, I'm trying to determine who is the biggest falsifier. Romney touts his record as a job creator which I find totally absurd. Then Gov. Yeehaw fails to admit that most of the jobs created in Texas are public jobs. I thought he was all for small government.

    September 6, 2011 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  6. DDanny1

    Judging from the record drought and this weekends wildfires in Texas, God might indeed be keeping his eye on Perry. After a Perry designated "Day of Prayer" to end the drought in June, and last months "The Response", an all day fast and pray-in at Texas Reliant Stadium, God seems to be taking action. It's puzzling as what God is trying to say with his "Response". Maybe he's mad at the people who DIDN'T pray in June or show up for the revival last month. It couldn't be God telling Perry to stop using his name like God's his running mate. The last Republican President did the same thing and look how much his two terms helped all of us.

    September 6, 2011 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  7. Brian

    Romney is the most competent but Perry the more electable. Amaericans are fed up with failed government interference in their Economy, Life, & job and want less government, lower taxes, Less spending and a whole lot less waste.

    September 6, 2011 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  8. Randy, San Francisco

    The rise of Perry in the polls signifies the final take over of the GOP by Tea Party and social conservative extremists. Guess the GOP/Tea Party do not want to win back the White House. GOP voters don't get it....Perry is too extreme for moderate and independent voters.

    September 6, 2011 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  9. Fair is Fair

    "They ignore the fact of what drove the price down, which was the draconian drop in demand resulting the precipitous drop in the price of oil and gas world wide. As the economies of the world recovered, so has the price of gas and oil."
    -----
    Are you implying that $4 gas is the new norm?

    Oil is pretty much like any commodity. Yes, the market price is determined by supply and demand. It's also very closely tied to the value of the currency in which it's priced – dollars. If the value of the dollar is lower, perceived or real, the price goes up. Since pretty much EVERYTHING in the commodities market is going up, I'd venture to say the latter is more the case than basic supply and demand.

    Inflationary pressures are building.

    September 6, 2011 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  10. carolyn

    I am a registered Independent- I think Perry, Bachman, Romney are all idiots; Perry wants Texas to secede, Bachman doens' tknow when Elivis died and Romeny is rich dunderhead ( I still have nightmare's of his speech at the Repub convention). they can't do any better I'm going with Obama; period.

    September 6, 2011 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  11. Bill L.

    Rick Perry and Mitt Romney are frauds, they are Republicrats just like Obama...How can people not see this? All of them are establishment candidates bought and paid for by banks and lobbyists. They don't care about you at all. They are gov't thieves and will lead this country of the cliff with a bankruptcy and dollar crises. Wake up America our time is running out. One choice in 2012 Ron Paul for Bankruptcy Trustee (President) 2012. Democrats and Independents we need your help our country is at stake!

    September 6, 2011 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  12. Beverly - NYC

    Millions of people in the US and the best the Republicans can do is yet another D student from Texas. Come on people we baby sat the the Bush family idiot for 8 years doesn't that grant us something? At this rate President Obama's approval can be in the single digits, against Romney, Perry & Bachmann he is still the best choice.

    September 6, 2011 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  13. MTATL67

    This just shocks the heck out of me. When it was first talked about him entering the race. I researched him and within the first 30minutes of reaching the Secessionist governor it was crystal clear that he would not make a good President. In fact he does not even make a good governor if fiscal responsibility is the platform as the Republican are campaigning on. Texas debt of $27B that he caused, Shady land deal for Horseshoe bay and the Texas emerging technology fund that gave money to friends and campaign supporter by side stepping the review process.

    September 6, 2011 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  14. Rudy NYC

    Fair is Fair asked:
    Are you implying that $4 gas is the new norm?
    -------------
    Yes, and it has been the norm since 2008. We had $4 gas six months before Obama took office. Demand took a big hit when the global financial crisis hit, and the prices for a barrel of oil and a gallon of gas dropped accordingly. Don't forget that a barrel of oil exceeded $140 in 2008 when gas was selling at $4.50. The price of dropped by 50% to $70 a barrel and the price for a gallon of gas was cut in half, too. The current prices simply reflect a recovery to pre-Recession levels.

    September 6, 2011 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  15. FM

    GOP, you better know how to play your cards right, contrary to this, get ready to witness another upset!

    September 6, 2011 12:15 pm at 12:15 pm |
  16. Rudy NYC

    Fair is Fair wrote:
    Yes, the market price is determined by supply and demand. It's also very closely tied to the value of the currency in which it's priced – dollars. If the value of the dollar is lower, perceived or real, the price goes up. Since pretty much EVERYTHING in the commodities market is going up, I'd venture to say the latter is more the case than basic supply and demand.
    -------------
    If the price increases over the last 3 years are due to devaluation of the dollar and not a drop in demand, then how do you explain why the price dropped in the first place? By your logic, that means the dollar increased in value when the global economy when into a tail spin. Demand has ruled the price of a barrel of oil. We have seen price increases *following* the increase in oil, not the other way around.

    September 6, 2011 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  17. Fair is Fair

    "If the price increases over the last 3 years are due to devaluation of the dollar and not a drop in demand, then how do you explain why the price dropped in the first place?"
    ----–
    Oh, believe me – supply and demand plays a role. So does currency valuation. At the time, the dollar was trading at 90+ yen and 1.2 euros. Now it's at 75 yen and 1.5 euros. Do the math.

    I will say this, though – if $4 gas and $90 oil are the new norms – in this CRAPPY economy – can you imagine what the price will be in a robust economy (using your logic). The inflationary ripples this will send throughout the rest of the economy will make any recovery VERY shallow for a VERY long time.

    September 6, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  18. RobertFTL

    I like how no one has heard Perry speak yet he is now on top of the polls. It just proves that religion come first before anything else our country is facing.

    September 6, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm |
  19. Fair is Fair

    correction – 75 yen and it costs $1.50 to get a euro.

    September 6, 2011 12:35 pm at 12:35 pm |